Atlante FC vs Leon Previsione

Liga MX · Apertura - 6

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Leon

Away

Estadio Banorte, Mexico City

Previsione AI Leon o pareggio

31%

28%

42%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Atlante FC vs Leon: Sportiko assegna a Atlante FC una probabilità di vittoria del 31%, a Leon del 42% e al pareggio del 28%. Ultimo aggiornamento 29 Aug 2026, 03:55.

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Timeline

HT 0–0

⇄ 46'

Diber Cambindo ⇄ José Alvarado

⇄ 46'

Ismael Díaz ⇄ Daniel Arcila

⇄ 46'

⇄ Jordi Cortizo

▮ 71'

Sebastián Vegas Yellow Card

⇄ 73'

Sebastián Vegas ⇄ Bryan Colula

Luis Puente Yellow Card

74' ▮

⚽ 0–1 81'

José Alvarado Penalty

⇄ Joaquin Moxica

87' ⇄

Armando Escobar ⇄ Jairón Charcopa

87' ⇄

Eugenio Pizzuto Yellow Card

89' ▮

Martín Sarrafiore assist: Jairón Charcopa

90+1' ⚽ 1–1

Martín Sarrafiore ⇄ Octavio Vázquez

90+2' ⇄

FT 1–1

Atlante FC

Player statistics not available.

Leon

Player statistics not available.

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Confidence Low (42%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

Leon o pareggio

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.3%

Both teams to score

54%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

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Atlante FC

DLDDL

Leon

DWLWL

Match summary

In the upcoming Liga MX clash, Atlante FC faces León in what promises to be a competitive match. Atlante has shown solid form at home with a strong defensive record, conceding an average of 1 goal per match this season. León, known for their attacking prowess, typically averages 2 goals per game, making this a battle between defense and offense. Both teams will be looking to secure crucial points, with Atlante needing to leverage their home performance against a formidable León side. Key players to watch include Atlante's playmaker, who has contributed significantly to their goal tally, and León's top scorer, who poses a constant threat in the final third.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

31%

10%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

42%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Leon goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8	9	9	5	2	1
1	6	13	10	5	2	1
2	4	6	5	3	1
3	1	2	2	1
4		1
5

↑ Atlante FC goals · most likely 1–1 (13.2%)

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Players in form

Atlante FC

No scorer data.

Leon

D. Arcila 4 gls

D. Cambindo 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

42%

Home Win

31%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

42%

Home Win

31%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

68% Away (No Draw) 32% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

27% Away Win by 2+ 9% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

49% Away Scores More 28% Equal Goals 23% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.2%	9.4%	9.0%	5.0%	2.1%
1	5.6%	13.3%	9.7%	5.3%	2.2%
2	3.8%	6.3%	5.2%	2.9%	1.2%
3	1.4%	2.2%	1.9%	1.0%	0.4%
4	0.4%	0.6%	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

39%

35%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

47%

1.5

54%

75%

2.5

25%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

19%

27%

28%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Atlante FC	Draw	Leon
Atlante FC	12.0%	4.3%	3.1%
Draw	10.3%	17.6%	21.1%
Leon	1.5%	3.8%	26.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

34%

37%

20%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

67%

0.5

33%

94%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

51%

1.5

49%

78%

2.5

22%

92%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

19%

32%

26%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Atlante FC vs Leon

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Atlante FC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Puebla	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	H CF Pachuca	L	0 - 3
06 Sep	A Atlas	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	H Leon	D	1 - 1
22 Aug	A Tigres UANL	L	2 - 0

Leon — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
21 Sep	A Club Queretaro	D	1 - 1
15 Sep	H Atletico San Luis	W	2 - 0
11 Sep	A U.N.A.M. - Pumas	L	3 - 1
06 Sep	H Club America	W	1 - 0
03 Sep	A Toluca	L	2 - 0

Liga MX Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Toluca	9	6	1	2	20	9	+11	19
2	Guadalajara Chivas	9	5	3	1	17	8	+9	18
3	Club America	8	5	2	1	17	8	+9	17
4	Cruz Azul	9	5	0	4	16	15	+1	15
5	Club Queretaro	8	4	2	2	11	8	+3	14
6	Club Tijuana	8	4	2	2	12	10	+2	14
7	Leon	9	4	2	3	12	10	+2	14
8	Puebla	9	4	2	3	11	11	0	14
9	Atlas	9	4	2	3	13	15	-2	14
10	Monterrey	8	4	1	3	14	10	+4	13
11	CF Pachuca	9	3	3	3	15	10	+5	12
12	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	9	3	3	3	12	13	-1	12
13	Atletico San Luis	9	2	3	4	11	16	-5	9
14	Atlante FC	9	1	5	3	8	13	-5	8
15	Necaxa	9	2	2	5	10	16	-6	8
16	Tigres UANL	9	1	4	4	9	13	-4	7
17	Santos Laguna	9	2	1	6	9	15	-6	7
18	FC Juarez	9	1	0	8	6	23	-17	3

Leon

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Javier Gandolfi

23 García

5 Vegas

25 Bellón

3 Guevara

7 Moreno

203 Lara

11 Díaz

6 Beltrán

20 Echeverría

8 Dominguez

27 Cambindo

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
23	Oscar García	G
7	Iván Moreno	D
3	Juan Guevara	D
25	Paul Bellón	D
5	Sebastián Vegas	D
203	Jesús Lara	M
8	Juan Dominguez	M
20	Rodrigo Echeverría	M
6	Fernando Beltrán	M
11	Ismael Díaz	M
27	Diber Cambindo	F

Substitutes

4	Bryan Colula	D
26	Salvador Reyes	M
22	Sebastián Santos	M
185	Christopher Mora	D
29	José Rodríguez	M
16	Jordi Cortizo	M
13	Daniel Arcila	M
15	Sebastian Fierro	M
19	José Alvarado	F
181	Irving Martinez	G

Atlante FC

Formation: 5-3-2 Coach: Ernesto Herrera Aguirre Miguel

1 Jiménez

27 Escobar

44 Quirós

4 Tercero

14 Alfaro

29 Portales

16 González

30 Sarrafiore

8 Pizzuto

7 Julio

9 Puente

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Óscar Jiménez	G
29	Walter Portales	D
14	Cristobal Alfaro	D
4	Eduardo Tercero	D
44	Aarón Quirós	D
27	Armando Escobar	D
8	Eugenio Pizzuto	M
30	Martín Sarrafiore	M
16	José González	M
9	Luis Puente	F
7	Jhojan Julio	F

Substitutes

33	Jordan García	G
6	Nicolas Carrera	D
3	Luis Sánchez	D
32	Diogo Bagüí	D
37	Walter Clar	D
10	Octavio Vázquez	M
25	Martín Fernández	M
15	Jairón Charcopa	F
11	Joaquin Moxica	F
20	Gilberto Adame	M