CF Pachuca vs Puebla Previsione

Liga MX · Apertura - 4

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Puebla

Away

Previsione AI Vittoria o pareggio difficile per CF Pachuca

61%

25%

15%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico CF Pachuca vs Puebla: Sportiko assegna a CF Pachuca una probabilità di vittoria del 61%, a Puebla del 15% e al pareggio del 25%. Ultimo aggiornamento 18 Aug 2026, 05:06.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 16'

Emiliano Gómez assist: Eduardo Mustre

⚽ 0–2 33'

Kevin Velasco Penalty

Salomón Rondón assist: Carlos Sánchez

42' ⚽ 1–2

HT 1–2

Elías Montiel ⇄ Rodolfo Pizarro

46' ⇄

Kenedy ⇄ Nicolás Vallejo

46' ⇄

Salomón Rondón Penalty

63' ⚽ 2–2

⇄ 65'

Sergio Sanabria ⇄ Alonso Ramirez

Oussama Idrissi ⇄ Gael Álvarez

77' ⇄

⇄ 83'

Eduardo Mustre ⇄ Óscar Villa

⇄ 83'

Emiliano Gómez ⇄ Luifer Hernández

⇄ 83'

Iker Moreno ⇄ Lucas Camilo

Salomón Rondón ⇄ Adrián Alcaraz

83' ⇄

Carlos Sánchez ⇄ Alan Mozo

83' ⇄

⇄ 87'

Brayan Garnica ⇄ Carlos Baltazar

⚽ 2–3 90+3'

Facundo Almada assist: Luifer Hernández

FT 2–3

CF Pachuca

Match Stats

Puebla

60% Ball Possession 40%

0.69 Expected Goals (xG) 1.08

11 Total Shots 5

1 Shots on Goal 2

9 Shots off Goal 2

1 Blocked Shots 1

7 Shots insidebox 5

4 Shots outsidebox 0

3 Corner Kicks 0

1 Offsides 0

5 Fouls 8

Yellow Cards

Red Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

224 Total passes 151

182 Passes accurate 111

81% Passes % 74%

-0.62 goals_prevented -0.62

CF Pachuca

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
23 Salomón Rondón F	7.5	50'	1	–	5	12 (7%)	–
30 Sergio Rodríguez M	7.2	50'	–	–	–	21 (20%)	3
14 Carlos Sánchez D	7.0	50'	–	1	1	22 (16%)	1
26 Alan Bautista M	6.9	50'	–	–	1	13 (12%)	1
4 Eduardo Bauermann D	6.7	50'	–	–	–	42 (31%)	1
2 Sergio Barreto D	6.5	50'	–	–	–	24 (19%)	–
10 Elías Montiel M	6.5	50'	–	–	–	21 (21%)	–
29 Kenedy M	6.5	50'	–	–	1	23 (19%)	–
11 Oussama Idrissi M	6.3	50'	–	–	2	23 (18%)	–
25 Carlos Moreno G	6.2	50'	–	–	–	5 (4%)	–
6 Mauricio Isais D	6.2	50'	–	–	–	18 (15%)	1

Puebla

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
11 Emiliano Gómez M	7.6	50'	1	–	1	7 (7%)	2
26 Kevin Velasco M	6.9	50'	1	–	1	14 (10%)	1
21 Sergio Sanabria M	6.9	50'	–	–	–	15 (14%)	4
12 Iker Moreno D	6.7	50'	–	–	–	16 (14%)	1
5 Facundo Almada D	6.6	50'	–	–	–	18 (12%)	1
4 Juan Pablo Vargas D	6.5	50'	–	–	–	13 (12%)	–
7 Fernando Monarrez D	6.3	50'	–	–	–	13 (10%)	–
24 Alejandro Organista M	6.3	50'	–	–	–	12 (11%)	–
29 Eduardo Mustre F	6.3	50'	–	1	1	5 (5%)	–
27 Brayan Garnica M	6.3	50'	–	–	1	19 (11%)	1
28 Daniel Gutierrez G	6.0	50'	–	–	–	19 (5%)	–

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Confidence Medium (61%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

Vittoria o pareggio difficile per CF Pachuca

Most likely score

1:0 · 15.8%

Both teams to score

39%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

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CF Pachuca

DWWDD

Puebla

DLWLW

Last 2 meetings CF Pachuca · 1W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Liga MX clash, CF Pachuca will face Puebla. Both teams have shown contrasting form; Pachuca has a solid home record, winning 70% of their matches at home last season, while Puebla struggled on the road, securing only 30% of their away games. Key players to watch include Pachuca's striker, who scored 15 goals last season, and Puebla's playmaker, who provided 10 assists. The match will be crucial for both teams as they aim to secure points early in the season. Expect a tactical battle with Pachuca likely to dominate possession.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

61%

45%

Draw

25%

45%

Away

15%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Puebla goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	12	6	2	1
1	16	13	4	1
2	13	9	3	1
3	7	5	1
4	3	2	1
5	1	1

↑ CF Pachuca goals · most likely 1–0 (15.8%)

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Players in form

CF Pachuca

S. Rondón 10 gls

Puebla

E. Mustre 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

61%

Draw

25%

Away Win

15%

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS No 39% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

34%

1.5

66%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

61%

Draw

25%

Away Win

15%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

80% Home (No Draw) 20% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

32% Home Win by 2+ 4% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

58% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals 14% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

34%

1.5

66%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS No 39% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

21%

28%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.5%	5.7%	2.3%	0.5%	0.1%
1	15.8%	12.6%	3.6%	0.8%	0.1%
2	13.4%	8.7%	2.8%	0.6%	0.1%
3	7.0%	4.5%	1.5%	0.3%	0.1%
4	2.7%	1.8%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

38%

35%

19%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	CF Pachuca	Draw	Puebla
CF Pachuca	41.0%	3.4%	0.6%
Draw	16.7%	19.6%	5.5%
Puebla	1.4%	3.2%	8.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

54%

1.5

46%

80%

2.5

20%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

97%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

52%

34%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: CF Pachuca vs Puebla

1 CF Pachuca Wins

1 Draws

0 Puebla Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
08 Mar 2026	CF Pachuca	2 - 1	Puebla
23 Sep 2025	Puebla	2 - 2	CF Pachuca

CF Pachuca — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
21 Sep	H Club Tijuana	D	2 - 2
12 Sep	A Atlante FC	W	0 - 3
05 Sep	A FC Juarez	W	0 - 2
29 Aug	H Guadalajara Chivas	D	1 - 1
23 Aug	A Atletico San Luis	D	1 - 1

Puebla — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Atlante FC	D	1 - 1
16 Sep	H Toluca	L	0 - 1
12 Sep	A Necaxa	W	0 - 1
30 Aug	A Club America	L	2 - 0
23 Aug	H Santos Laguna	W	3 - 2

Liga MX Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Toluca	9	6	1	2	20	9	+11	19
2	Guadalajara Chivas	9	5	3	1	17	8	+9	18
3	Club America	8	5	2	1	17	8	+9	17
4	Cruz Azul	9	5	0	4	16	15	+1	15
5	Club Queretaro	8	4	2	2	11	8	+3	14
6	Club Tijuana	8	4	2	2	12	10	+2	14
7	Leon	9	4	2	3	12	10	+2	14
8	Puebla	9	4	2	3	11	11	0	14
9	Atlas	9	4	2	3	13	15	-2	14
10	Monterrey	8	4	1	3	14	10	+4	13
11	CF Pachuca	9	3	3	3	15	10	+5	12
12	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	9	3	3	3	12	13	-1	12
13	Atletico San Luis	9	2	3	4	11	16	-5	9
14	Atlante FC	9	1	5	3	8	13	-5	8
15	Necaxa	9	2	2	5	10	16	-6	8
16	Tigres UANL	9	1	4	4	9	13	-4	7
17	Santos Laguna	9	2	1	6	9	15	-6	7
18	FC Juarez	9	1	0	8	6	23	-17	3

CF Pachuca

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Benjamin Mora

25 Moreno

6 Isais

2 Barreto

4 Bauermann

14 Sánchez

10 Montiel

30 Rodríguez

11 Idrissi

26 Bautista

29 Kenedy

23 Rondón

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
25	Carlos Moreno	G
14	Carlos Sánchez	D
4	Eduardo Bauermann	D
2	Sergio Barreto	D
6	Mauricio Isais	D
30	Sergio Rodríguez	M
10	Elías Montiel	M
29	Kenedy	M
26	Alan Bautista	M
11	Oussama Idrissi	M
23	Salomón Rondón	F

Substitutes

31	Jose Eulogio	G
22	Alan Mozo	D
15	Francisco Venegas	D
13	Jorge Berlanga	D
206	Thomas Contreras	M
187	Gael Álvarez	F
7	Rodolfo Pizarro	M
9	Adrián Alcaraz	M
211	Cristóbal Hernández	F
21	Nicolás Vallejo	F

Puebla

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Gerardo Espinoza

28 Gutierrez

7 Monarrez

4 Vargas

5 Almada

12 Moreno

21 Sanabria

24 Organista

11 Gómez

26 Velasco

27 Garnica

29 Mustre

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
28	Daniel Gutierrez	G
12	Iker Moreno	D
5	Facundo Almada	D
4	Juan Pablo Vargas	D
7	Fernando Monarrez	D
24	Alejandro Organista	M
21	Sergio Sanabria	M
27	Brayan Garnica	M
26	Kevin Velasco	M
11	Emiliano Gómez	M
29	Eduardo Mustre	F

Substitutes

182	Yael Ortega	G
15	Óscar Villa	D
20	Jose Pachuca	D
2	Angel Leyva	D
16	Alonso Ramirez	M
34	Lucas Camilo	M
8	Omar Moreno	F
22	Carlos Baltazar	M
10	Mathías Tomás	M
9	Luifer Hernández	F