Atlas vs Tigres UANL Previsione

Liga MX · Apertura - 4

Post on X

Tigres UANL

Away

Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara

Previsione AI Atlas o pareggio

35%

30%

35%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Atlas vs Tigres UANL: Sportiko assegna a Atlas una probabilità di vittoria del 35%, a Tigres UANL del 35% e al pareggio del 30%. Ultimo aggiornamento 16 Aug 2026, 05:16.

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Casa a Segno 72%
2nd Half Over 0.5 73%
1st Half Draw or Away 73%

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Timeline

Manuel Capasso assist: Arturo González

2' ⚽ 1–0

⚽ 1–1 21'

Juan Brunetta assist: Rodrigo Aguirre

Victor Rios Yellow Card

22' ▮

▮ 30'

Yellow Card

Manuel Capasso Yellow Card

35' ▮

HT 1–1

Victor Rios ⇄ Paulo Ramírez

46' ⇄

▮ 56'

J. Garza Yellow Card

Arturo González ⇄ Luís Esteves

65' ⇄

Jose Martin ⇄ Jorge Rodríguez

65' ⇄

Juan José Purata Red Card

70' ▮

Duk ⇄ Gaddi Aguirre

71' ⇄

⇄ 80'

Francisco Reyes ⇄ Vladimir Loroña

⇄ 80'

Alan Franco ⇄ Juan Vigón

Luís Esteves assist: Edgar Zaldívar

81' ⚽ 2–1

✗ 85'

Juan Brunetta Missed Penalty

⇄ 88'

Joaquim

⇄ 90'

Diego Lainez ⇄ Isac Galván

FT 2–1

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Confidence Low (35%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

Atlas o pareggio

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.7%

Both teams to score

43%

Over 2.5 goals

36%

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Atlas

DLDLW

Tigres UANL

LDDDW

Last 2 meetings Atlas · 0W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Liga MX clash, Atlas will face Tigres UANL, both teams vying for crucial points. Atlas has shown a solid defensive record, conceding an average of only 1 goal per match in the last five fixtures. Conversely, Tigres UANL has demonstrated offensive prowess, scoring an average of 2 goals per match during the same period. This match could hinge on whether Atlas can stifle Tigres' attack while leveraging their defensive strengths. The outcome may also depend on individual performances, particularly from key players on both sides. Expect a tactical battle with potential for both teams to capitalize on any defensive lapses.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

35%

10%

Draw

30%

45%

Away

35%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Tigres UANL goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	14	9	4	1
1	13	15	6	2
2	10	8	4	1
3	4	3	2
4	1	1
5

↑ Atlas goals · most likely 1–1 (14.7%)

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Players in form

Atlas

Luís Esteves 3 gls

Tigres UANL

R. Aguirre 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

35%

Away Win

35%

Draw

30%

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

36%

1.5

64%

2.5

36%

83%

3.5

17%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

35%

Away Win

35%

Draw

30%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

65% Home (No Draw) 35% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

21% Home Win by 2+ 8% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

44% Home Scores More 32% Equal Goals 24% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

36%

1.5

64%

2.5

36%

83%

3.5

17%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

14%

22%

29%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.6%	8.6%	4.4%	1.3%	0.3%
1	13.4%	14.7%	5.6%	1.6%	0.3%
2	9.6%	8.3%	3.6%	1.0%	0.2%
3	4.1%	3.5%	1.5%	0.4%	0.1%
4	1.3%	1.1%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

81%

1.5

19%

96%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

47%

34%

15%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Atlas	Draw	Tigres UANL
Atlas	22.5%	3.6%	1.2%
Draw	20.8%	22.7%	11.5%
Tigres UANL	2.1%	4.0%	11.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

42%

36%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Atlas vs Tigres UANL

0 Atlas Wins

1 Draws

1 Tigres UANL Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
23 Apr 2026	Atlas	0 - 0	Tigres UANL
24 Sep 2025	Tigres UANL	2 - 0	Atlas

Atlas — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H U.N.A.M. - Pumas	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	A Toluca	L	5 - 2
06 Sep	H Atlante FC	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	H Club Queretaro	L	1 - 3
23 Aug	A Cruz Azul	W	0 - 2

Tigres UANL — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A FC Juarez	L	2 - 0
13 Sep	A Monterrey	D	0 - 0
06 Sep	H Necaxa	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	A Santos Laguna	D	0 - 0
22 Aug	H Atlante FC	W	2 - 0

Liga MX Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Toluca	9	6	1	2	20	9	+11	19
2	Guadalajara Chivas	9	5	3	1	17	8	+9	18
3	Club America	8	5	2	1	17	8	+9	17
4	Cruz Azul	9	5	0	4	16	15	+1	15
5	Club Queretaro	8	4	2	2	11	8	+3	14
6	Club Tijuana	8	4	2	2	12	10	+2	14
7	Leon	9	4	2	3	12	10	+2	14
8	Puebla	9	4	2	3	11	11	0	14
9	Atlas	9	4	2	3	13	15	-2	14
10	Monterrey	8	4	1	3	14	10	+4	13
11	CF Pachuca	9	3	3	3	15	10	+5	12
12	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	9	3	3	3	12	13	-1	12
13	Atletico San Luis	9	2	3	4	11	16	-5	9
14	Atlante FC	9	1	5	3	8	13	-5	8
15	Necaxa	9	2	2	5	10	16	-6	8
16	Tigres UANL	9	1	4	4	9	13	-4	7
17	Santos Laguna	9	2	1	6	9	15	-6	7
18	FC Juarez	9	1	0	8	6	23	-17	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.