Adelaide United vs Melbourne City Previsione

A-League · Regular Season - 15

29 Jan 2027, 08:40

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Melbourne City

Away

Coopers Stadium, Adelaide

Previsione AI Adelaide United vince o pareggia

73%

21%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Adelaide United vs Melbourne City: Sportiko assegna a Adelaide United una probabilità di vittoria del 73%, a Melbourne City del 6% e al pareggio del 21%. Ultimo aggiornamento 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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72%

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At a glance

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Most likely score

2:0 · 18.4%

Both teams to score

29%

Over 2.5 goals

41%

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Adelaide United

LWLDD

Melbourne City

LWDLW

Last 2 meetings Adelaide United · 2W 0D 0L

Match summary

Adelaide United faces Melbourne City in a key A-League matchup. Adelaide has shown solid form, leveraging a strong home record, while Melbourne City has been consistent with their attacking prowess, currently ranking among the league's top scorers. Both teams will look to capitalize on defensive lapses; Adelaide's defense has been tested recently, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match. Conversely, Melbourne City boasts a well-rounded squad capable of breaking down defenses. This clash could be pivotal for both teams' playoff aspirations.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Melbourne City goals →

	0	1	2
0	11	3	1
1	18	9	2
2	18	7	1
3	12	5	1
4	6	2
5	2	1

↑ Adelaide United goals · most likely 2–0 (18.4%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

73%

Draw

21%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

71% BTTS No 29% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

32%

1.5

68%

59%

2.5

41%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

73%

Draw

21%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

93% Home (No Draw) 7% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

47% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

73% Home Scores More 21% Equal Goals 6% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

32%

1.5

68%

59%

2.5

41%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

71% BTTS No 29% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

21%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.8%	2.9%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
1	18.0%	8.6%	1.5%	0.2%	0.0%
2	18.4%	7.4%	1.5%	0.2%	0.0%
3	11.9%	4.8%	1.0%	0.1%	0.0%
4	5.8%	2.3%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

35%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

34%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Adelaide United	Draw	Melbourne City
Adelaide United	48.9%	2.0%	0.3%
Draw	24.1%	15.2%	2.8%
Melbourne City	1.6%	2.1%	3.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

43%

1.5

57%

70%

2.5

30%

88%

3.5

12%

Home Exact Goals

15%

28%

27%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

78%

1.5

22%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

67%

0.5

33%

94%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

67%

27%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

84%

0.5

16%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

80%

0.5

20%

98%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Adelaide United vs Melbourne City

2 Adelaide United Wins

0 Draws

0 Melbourne City Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
26 Apr 2026	Melbourne City	1 - 2	Adelaide United
21 Nov 2025	Adelaide United	4 - 1	Melbourne City

Adelaide United — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
09 May	A Auckland	L	1 - 0
26 Apr	A Melbourne City	W	1 - 2
19 Apr	H Macarthur	L	0 - 1
11 Apr	A Newcastle Jets	D	1 - 1
03 Apr	H Auckland	D	1 - 1

Melbourne City — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Aug	H Palermo	L	0 - 2
26 Jul	A Weston Bears	W	0 - 3
02 May	A Auckland	D	1 - 1
26 Apr	H Adelaide United	L	1 - 2
18 Apr	A Brisbane Roar	W	2 - 3

A-League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Adelaide United	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Central Coast Mariners	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Newcastle Jets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Perth Glory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Brisbane Roar	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Sydney	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Wellington Phoenix	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Melbourne Victory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Melbourne City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Western Sydney Wanderers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Macarthur	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Auckland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.