Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners Previsione

A-League A-League · Regular Season - 2
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Previsione AI Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Wellington Phoenix
53%
26%
22%
Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners: Sportiko assegna a Wellington Phoenix una probabilità di vittoria del 53%, a Central Coast Mariners del 22% e al pareggio del 26%. Ultimo aggiornamento 25 Oct 2026, 03:53.

Timeline

HT 0–0
⇄ 46'
Alexander Bolton ⇄ Arthur De Lima
Rafael Duran assist: Matthew Sheridan
55' ⚽ 1–0
Corban Piper assist: Kazuki Nagasawa
57' ⚽ 2–0
▮ 59'
Ali Auglah Yellow Card
⇄ 61'
Haine Eames ⇄ Jesse Mantell
⇄ 62'
Ty Mckibbin ⇄ Luke Becvinovski
⇄ 62'
Bailey Brandtman ⇄ Shumba Mutokoyi
Rafael Duran
70' ⇄
⇄ 72'
Ali Auglah ⇄ Max Naylor
B. Duke ⇄ Nathan Walker
84' ⇄
Corban Piper ⇄ Luke Mitchell
84' ⇄
▮ 90+2'
Shumba Mutokoyi Yellow Card
FT 2–0
Wellington Phoenix

Match Stats

Central Coast Mariners
44% Ball Possession 56%
Expected Goals (xG)
13 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Goal 2
4 Shots off Goal 1
4 Blocked Shots 2
10 Shots insidebox 4
3 Shots outsidebox 1
1 Corner Kicks 1
2 Offsides 5
9 Fouls 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
Red Cards
1 Goalkeeper Saves 3
348 Total passes 450
261 Passes accurate 350
75% Passes % 78%
goals_prevented
Wellington Phoenix
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
8 Max Anderson M 7.9 89' – – 1 39 (35%) 3
28 Bill Tuiloma D 7.7 89' – – – 40 (31%) –
14 Alex Rufer M 7.3 89' – – 1 38 (29%) 1
23 James McGarry D 7.2 89' – – 1 37 (26%) 1
25 Kazuki Nagasawa M 7.2 89' – 1 1 22 (19%) 1
27 Matthew Sheridan D 7.2 89' – 1 – 27 (16%) –
9 Rafael Duran F 6.9 70' 1 – 2 17 (10%) –
7 B. Duke M 6.9 84' – – 1 38 (33%) 2
18 Lukas Kelly-Heald D 6.7 89' – – – 43 (38%) –
99 Corban Piper F 6.6 84' 1 – 1 17 (8%) –
13 Henry Gray G 6.6 89' – – – 24 (11%) –
11 Riley Bidois F 6.3 19' – – 1 2 (1%) –
17 Nathan Walker F — 5' – – – 1 (1%) –
35 Luke Mitchell M — 5' – – – 3 (3%) –
Central Coast Mariners
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
39 Alexander Bolton M 7.3 45' – – – 16 (13%) 5
12 Noah Mccann D 7.2 89' – – – 63 (53%) 1
6 Haine Eames M 7.0 61' – – – 38 (30%) –
3 Diesel Herrington D 6.9 89' – – – 74 (64%) 1
42 Max Naylor F 6.7 17' – – – 1 1
30 Andrew Redmayne G 6.5 89' – – – 31 (23%) –
22 Arthur De Lima M 6.5 44' – – – 6 (4%) 2
5 Lucas Mauragis D 6.3 89' – – – 31 (25%) –
72 Ali Auglah M 6.3 72' – – – 21 (13%) –
37 Bailey Brandtman M 6.3 62' – – 1 20 (11%) 1
9 Oliver Lavale F 6.3 89' – – 1 24 (21%) –
41 Shumba Mutokoyi D 6.3 27' – – – 13 (9%) 1
43 Luke Becvinovski F 6.3 27' – – – 5 (1%) 1
51 Ty Mckibbin D 6.3 62' – – 1 31 (26%) 2
8 Chris Donnell M 6.2 89' – – – 59 (44%) –
45 Jesse Mantell M 6.2 28' – – – 17 (13%) –
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Confidence Medium (53%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio
Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Wellington Phoenix
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Wellington Phoenix
DWWWL
Central Coast Mariners
LDLDD
Last 2 meetings Wellington Phoenix · 1W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming A-League clash, Wellington Phoenix will face Central Coast Mariners. Both teams have shown competitive form recently, with Wellington scoring an average of 1.5 goals per game in their last five outings, while Central Coast Mariners have maintained a solid defensive record, conceding only 0.8 goals per game on average during the same period. The matchup will likely hinge on Wellington's ability to exploit their attacking prowess against the Mariners' organized defense. Key players to watch include Wellington's top scorer, who has been instrumental in their recent successes, and Central Coast's goalkeeper, who has been crucial in maintaining clean sheets. This contest promises to be tightly contested as both teams vie for vital points.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
53%
45%
Draw
26%
45%
Away
22%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Wellington Phoenix
C. Piper 3 gls
R. Bidois 2 gls
N. Walker 1 gls
R. Durán 1 gls
Central Coast Mariners
O. Lavale 3 gls

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Head to Head: Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners

1 Wellington Phoenix Wins
1 Draws
0 Central Coast Mariners Wins
Date Home Score Away
21 Dec 2025 Wellington Phoenix 3 - 1 Central Coast Mariners
02 Nov 2025 Central Coast Mariners 1 - 1 Wellington Phoenix

Wellington Phoenix — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov A Auckland D 0 - 0
31 Oct A Newcastle Jets W 0 - 3
25 Oct H Central Coast Mariners W 2 - 0
18 Oct H Melbourne Victory W 2 - 1
24 Apr A Macarthur L 4 - 0

Central Coast Mariners — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
06 Nov A Sydney L 4 - 1
01 Nov A Melbourne Victory D 1 - 1
25 Oct A Wellington Phoenix L 2 - 0
17 Oct H Newcastle Jets D 2 - 2
22 Jul A Sydney United D 1 - 1

A-League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Wellington Phoenix
4 3 1 0 +6 10
2
Sydney
4 2 1 1 +3 7
3
Melbourne City
4 2 1 1 0 7
4
Perth Glory
4 2 0 2 +3 6
5
Western Sydney Wanderers
4 1 2 1 +2 5
6
Macarthur
3 1 2 0 +1 5
7
Auckland
4 1 2 1 -1 5
8
Brisbane Roar
2 1 1 0 +1 4
9
Melbourne Victory
3 0 2 1 -1 2
10
Newcastle Jets
4 0 2 2 -4 2
11
Central Coast Mariners
4 0 2 2 -5 2
12
Adelaide United
2 0 0 2 -5 0

Central Coast Mariners

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Arturo Ruiz
30 Redmayne
5 Mauragis
12 Mccann
3 Herrington
51 Mckibbin
8 Donnell
39 Bolton
6 Eames
37 Brandtman
72 Auglah
9 Lavale

Starting XI

# Player Pos
30 Andrew Redmayne G
51 Ty Mckibbin D
3 Diesel Herrington D
12 Noah Mccann D
5 Lucas Mauragis D
8 Chris Donnell M
72 Ali Auglah M
37 Bailey Brandtman M
6 Haine Eames M
39 Alexander Bolton M
9 Oliver Lavale F

Substitutes

22 Arthur De Lima M
45 Jesse Mantell M
41 Shumba Mutokoyi D
43 Luke Becvinovski F
42 Max Naylor F
50 Jai Ajanovic G
46 Callum McCaskey D

Wellington Phoenix

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Arturo Ruiz
13 Gray
23 McGarry
18 Kelly-Heald
28 Tuiloma
27 Sheridan
25 Nagasawa
14 Rufer
8 Anderson
7 Duke
9 Duran
99 Piper

Starting XI

# Player Pos
13 Henry Gray G
27 Matthew Sheridan D
28 Bill Tuiloma D
18 Lukas Kelly-Heald D
23 James McGarry D
7 Bryce Duke M
8 Max Anderson M
14 Alex Rufer M
25 Kazuki Nagasawa M
99 Corban Piper F
9 Rafael Duran F

Substitutes

11 Riley Bidois F
30 Alby Kelly-Heald G
24 Tze-xuan Loke F
34 Dylan Gardiner D
5 Walter Scott D
17 Nathan Walker F
35 Luke Mitchell M

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