FC Lugano vs FC Thun Previsione

Super League · Regular Season - 17

12 Dec 2026, 16:00

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FC Thun

Away

Previsione AI FC Thun o pareggio

24%

26%

49%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico FC Lugano vs FC Thun: Sportiko assegna a FC Lugano una probabilità di vittoria del 24%, a FC Thun del 49% e al pareggio del 26%. Ultimo aggiornamento 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 12.4%

Both teams to score

59%

Over 2.5 goals

57%

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FC Lugano

WWDWW

FC Thun

WLLLD

Last 3 meetings FC Lugano · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Super League clash, FC Lugano will face FC Thun. FC Lugano has shown a strong home performance with a solid win rate this season, while FC Thun has struggled on the road, resulting in fewer points away from home. Key players to watch for Lugano include their leading goal scorer, who has been instrumental in recent matches. The tactical approach of both teams will be crucial; Lugano typically employs a possession-based game, while Thun may opt for a more counter-attacking strategy. The outcome will likely hinge on Lugano's ability to maintain control and capitalize on scoring opportunities.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FC Thun goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7	8	8	5	2	1
1	5	12	10	6	3	1
2	4	7	6	4	2	1
3	1	3	2	1	1
4		1	1
5

↑ FC Lugano goals · most likely 1–1 (12.3%)

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Players in form

FC Lugano

D. Moncada 3 gls

H. Delcroix 3 gls

FC Thun

B. Labeau 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

49%

Draw

26%

Home Win

24%

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

19%

1.5

81%

43%

2.5

57%

66%

3.5

34%

83%

4.5

17%

93%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

49%

Draw

26%

Home Win

24%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

67% Away (No Draw) 33% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

28% Away Win by 2+ 10% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

49% Away Scores More 26% Equal Goals 24% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

19%

1.5

81%

43%

2.5

57%

66%

3.5

34%

83%

4.5

17%

93%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Exact Goals

12%

24%

23%

17%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.5%	7.7%	8.2%	4.9%	2.2%
1	4.7%	12.4%	9.8%	5.8%	2.6%
2	3.7%	6.6%	5.9%	3.5%	1.6%
3	1.5%	2.6%	2.4%	1.4%	0.6%
4	0.4%	0.8%	0.7%	0.4%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

50%

1.5

50%

78%

2.5

22%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

21%

29%

28%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FC Lugano	Draw	FC Thun
FC Lugano	14.4%	4.6%	2.9%
Draw	8.9%	15.5%	17.1%
FC Thun	1.6%	4.2%	30.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

47%

1.5

53%

74%

2.5

26%

90%

3.5

10%

Away Exact Goals

17%

30%

27%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: FC Lugano vs FC Thun

2 FC Lugano Wins

0 Draws

1 FC Thun Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
04 Apr 2026	FC Lugano	1 - 0	FC Thun
22 Nov 2025	FC Thun	0 - 1	FC Lugano
27 Jul 2025	FC Lugano	1 - 2	FC Thun

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FC Lugano — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Lausanne	W	0 - 4
16 Sep	H FC ST. Gallen	W	4 - 1
12 Sep	H BSC Young Boys	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	A FC Basel 1893	W	1 - 3
03 Sep	H Servette FC	W	1 - 0

FC Thun — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A FC Vaduz	W	1 - 2
16 Sep	H Servette FC	L	2 - 4
12 Sep	H Grasshoppers	L	0 - 1
06 Sep	A FC Sion	L	3 - 2
02 Sep	H Lausanne	D	0 - 0

Super League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Lugano	9	8	1	0	27	7	+20	25
2	BSC Young Boys	9	5	4	0	31	18	+13	19
3	FC Sion	9	6	1	2	23	14	+9	19
4	FC Basel 1893	9	4	1	4	17	17	0	13
5	FC ST. Gallen	9	4	1	4	16	19	-3	13
6	FC Luzern	9	3	3	3	17	18	-1	12
7	FC Zurich	9	3	2	4	14	20	-6	11
8	Servette FC	9	3	1	5	11	13	-2	10
9	FC Thun	9	3	1	5	15	23	-8	10
10	Grasshoppers	9	2	2	5	13	24	-11	8
11	FC Vaduz	9	2	0	7	18	21	-3	6
12	Lausanne	9	1	3	5	7	15	-8	6

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.