FC Luzern vs BSC Young Boys Previsione

Super League · Regular Season - 13

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BSC Young Boys

Away

Stadion Wankdorf, Bern

Previsione AI BSC Young Boys o pareggio

31%

23%

46%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico FC Luzern vs BSC Young Boys: Sportiko assegna a FC Luzern una probabilità di vittoria del 31%, a BSC Young Boys del 46% e al pareggio del 23%. Ultimo aggiornamento 7 Nov 2026, 18:58.

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1st Half Draw or Away 76%
Oltre 2.5 Gol 73%

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Timeline

Mio Zimmermann ⇄ Tyron Owusu

7' ⇄

⚽ 0–1 22'

Christian Fassnacht

Daniel Mikołajewski Penalty confirmed

36' 🖵

Matteo Di Giusto Penalty

38' ⚽ 1–1

HT 1–1

▮ 56'

Isaac Schmidt Yellow Card

⚽ 1–2 64'

Bahereba Guirassy assist: Isaac Schmidt

⇄ 77'

Isaac Schmidt ⇄ Stefan Bukinac

⇄ 77'

Bahereba Guirassy ⇄ Alan Virginius

▮ 79'

Moritz Jenz Yellow Card

Daniel Mikołajewski ⇄ Lars Villiger

79' ⇄

Andrejs Cigaņiks ⇄ Aurelio Oehlers

79' ⇄

Levin Winkler assist: O. tshikomb

82' ⚽ 2–2

Pius Dorn Yellow Card

85' ▮

Loïc Lüthi Yellow Card

89' ▮

Aurelio Oehlers Yellow Card

90' ▮

O. tshikomb ⇄ Bung Hua Freimann

90+1' ⇄

⇄ 90+1'

Alvyn Sanches ⇄ Mamadou Kaly Sene

⇄ 90+1'

Armin Gigović ⇄ Dominik Pech

⚽ 2–3 90+2'

Samuel Essende assist: Alan Virginius

⇄ 90+6'

Christian Fassnacht ⇄ Gregory Wüthrich

FT 2–3

FC Luzern

Match Stats

BSC Young Boys

48% Ball Possession 52%

2.17 Expected Goals (xG) 1.87

19 Total Shots 16

7 Shots on Goal 8

6 Shots off Goal 3

6 Blocked Shots 5

13 Shots insidebox 12

6 Shots outsidebox 4

5 Corner Kicks 4

5 Offsides 1

12 Fouls 16

3 Yellow Cards 2

0 Red Cards 0

5 Goalkeeper Saves 5

343 Total passes 374

281 Passes accurate 293

15 Free Kicks 12

FC Luzern

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
29 Levin Winkler M	7.2	90'	1	–	2	18 (16%)	2
11 Matteo Di Giusto M	6.8	90'	1	–	4	39 (34%)	–
22 Rúben Dantas D	6.7	90'	–	–	2	40 (33%)	1
14 Andrejs Cigaņiks M	6.6	79'	–	–	1	28 (27%)	–
30 Karlo Letica G	6.5	90'	–	–	–	25 (14%)	–
16 O. tshikomb M	6.5	91'	–	1	–	15 (12%)	2
13 Bung Hua Freimann D	6.4	90'	–	–	1	43 (38%)	2
19 Daniel Mikołajewski F	6.4	79'	–	–	5	16 (11%)	–
24 Tyron Owusu M	6.3	83'	–	–	1	31 (26%)	–
27 Lars Villiger F	6.3	11'	–	–	–	6 (4%)	–
7 Aurelio Oehlers F	6.2	11'	–	–	–	5 (5%)	–
21 Loïc Lüthi D	6.1	90'	–	–	2	41 (34%)	3
20 Pius Dorn D	5.9	90'	–	–	1	35 (27%)	2
80 Mio Zimmermann M	5.8	7'	–	–	–	1	–

BSC Young Boys

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
99 Samuel Essende F	7.9	90'	1	–	4	21 (15%)	2
12 Bahereba Guirassy M	7.9	77'	1	–	5	22 (18%)	2
1 Marvin Keller G	7.5	90'	–	–	–	26 (20%)	–
10 Alvyn Sanches M	7.2	91'	–	–	2	33 (26%)	3
16 Christian Fassnacht M	7.0	96'	1	–	1	21 (15%)	–
7 Alan Virginius F	6.9	13'	–	1	1	3 (3%)	–
8 Armin Gigović M	6.5	91'	–	–	–	41 (35%)	3
15 Cedric Zesiger D	6.2	90'	–	–	2	44 (35%)	–
27 Lewin Blum D	6.2	90'	–	–	–	37 (26%)	–
33 Stefan Bukinac D	6.1	13'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	–
4 Moritz Jenz D	6.1	90'	–	–	1	39 (32%)	–
22 Isaac Schmidt D	6.0	77'	–	1	–	41 (31%)	3
30 Sandro Lauper M	5.8	90'	–	–	–	42 (34%)	2

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Confidence Low (46%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

BSC Young Boys o pareggio

Most likely score

Both teams to score

Over 2.5 goals

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FC Luzern

LDLWL

BSC Young Boys

WLWWW

Last 3 meetings FC Luzern · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Super League match, FC Luzern will face BSC Young Boys. Luzern has shown a solid home record, with a significant portion of their points coming from home fixtures, while Young Boys typically performs well away, showcasing a strong attacking front. Both teams have demonstrated fluctuating form, but Young Boys' ability to score from set pieces could be pivotal. Luzern will need to tighten their defense to counteract Young Boys' offensive threats. Overall, this match promises to be competitive, with both teams vying for crucial points in the league standings.

Live insights

90' Goal 80% sure

Late goal makes it 2-3! BSC Young Boys win probability: 95.4%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 9.5%.

84' time check 80% sure

Min 84: Still level at 2-2. Draw looking likely at 79%. Late goal chance: 22.4%.

83' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 2-2. Draw probability: 76.2%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: BSC Young Boys leads 1-2. Win probability: 82.5%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 17.5%.

65' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-2. BSC Young Boys win: 77.5%. BTTS: 100%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

31%

10%

Draw

23%

45%

Away

46%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

FC Luzern

D. Mikołajewski 4 gls

BSC Young Boys

S. Essende 14 gls

C. Fassnacht 5 gls

A. Sanches 4 gls

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Head to Head: FC Luzern vs BSC Young Boys

0 FC Luzern Wins

1 Draws

2 BSC Young Boys Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
05 Sep 2026	BSC Young Boys	3 - 3	FC Luzern
04 Mar 2026	FC Luzern	1 - 2	BSC Young Boys
14 Dec 2025	BSC Young Boys	2 - 0	FC Luzern

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FC Luzern — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Nov	H BSC Young Boys	L	2 - 3
31 Oct	H FC Sion	D	1 - 1
24 Oct	A FC Zurich	L	2 - 1
17 Oct	A FC Winterthur	W	0 - 1
10 Oct	A FC Lugano	L	4 - 0

BSC Young Boys — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Nov	A FC Luzern	W	2 - 3
01 Nov	H FC Zurich	L	3 - 5
24 Oct	H FC ST. Gallen	W	2 - 0
18 Oct	A Taverne	W	0 - 5
11 Oct	A Grasshoppers	W	0 - 2

Super League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Lugano	12	11	1	0	36	10	+26	34
2	BSC Young Boys	13	8	4	1	41	25	+16	28
3	FC Sion	13	8	2	3	29	18	+11	26
4	FC Zurich	12	6	2	4	25	26	-1	20
5	FC ST. Gallen	12	6	1	5	19	22	-3	19
6	Servette FC	12	5	1	6	17	16	+1	16
7	FC Basel 1893	12	4	2	6	18	22	-4	14
8	FC Luzern	13	3	4	6	21	28	-7	13
9	FC Thun	12	4	1	7	24	34	-10	13
10	Grasshoppers	13	2	5	6	16	29	-13	11
11	FC Vaduz	13	3	1	9	24	29	-5	10
12	Lausanne	13	1	4	8	12	23	-11	7

BSC Young Boys

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: G. Seoane

1 Keller

22 Schmidt

15 Zesiger

4 Jenz

27 Blum

8 Gigović

30 Lauper

12 Guirassy

10 Sanches

16 Fassnacht

99 Essende

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	M. Keller	G
27	L. Blum	D
4	M. Jenz	D
15	C. Zesiger	D
22	I. Schmidt	D
30	S. Lauper	M
8	A. Gigović	M
16	C. Fassnacht	M
10	A. Sanches	M
12	Bahereba Guirassy	M
99	S. Essende	F

Substitutes

7	A. Virginius	F
9	K. Sène	F
13	D. Pech	M
18	J. Mall	G
17	S. Janko	D
34	E. Etoski	M
31	F. Conte	F
33	S. Bukinac	D
5	G. Wüthrich	D

FC Luzern

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: J. Portmann

30 Letica

22 Fernandes

46 Freimann

21 Lüthi

20 Dorn

29 Winkler

80 Zimmermann

14 Cigaņiks

11 Giusto

16 tshikomb

19 Mikołajewski

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
30	K. Letica	G
20	P. Dorn	D
21	L. Lüthi	D
46	B. Freimann	D
22	R. Fernandes	D
80	Mio Zimmermann	M
29	Levin Winkler	M
16	O. tshikomb	M
11	M. Di Giusto	M
14	A. Cigaņiks	M
19	D. Mikołajewski	F

Substitutes

13	B. Freimann	D
9	A. Grbić	F
7	A. Oehlers	F
24	T. Owusu	M
10	Lucas Ferreira	M
1	S. Simoni	G
15	N. Toggenburger	F
27	L. Villiger	F
34	D. Xhemalija	M