Motherwell vs Dundee Previsione

Premiership · Regular Season - 19

19 Dec 2026, 15:00

Post on X

Dundee

Away

Fir Park, Motherwell

Previsione AI Motherwell o pareggio

48%

28%

24%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Motherwell vs Dundee: Sportiko assegna a Motherwell una probabilità di vittoria del 48%, a Dundee del 24% e al pareggio del 28%. Ultimo aggiornamento 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 13.5%

Both teams to score

54%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

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Motherwell

LLLWD

Dundee

WLDLW

Last 3 meetings Motherwell · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premiership clash, Motherwell will host Dundee. Motherwell has shown a solid defensive record at home, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match this season, while Dundee has struggled to find the net, averaging just 0.9 goals per away match. Both teams will look to capitalize on set pieces, with Motherwell converting 15% of their set plays into goals compared to Dundee’s 10%. This match could hinge on Motherwell's ability to maintain their defensive solidity while exploiting Dundee's vulnerabilities on the counter-attack.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

48%

45%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

24%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Dundee goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	6	4	1
1	10	13	6	2	1
2	9	10	5	2
3	5	5	3	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Motherwell goals · most likely 1–1 (13.4%)

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Players in form

Motherwell

A. Lowry 2 gls

Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise 1 gls

Dundee

J. Westley 3 gls

B. Fink 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

48%

Draw

28%

Away Win

24%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

24%

1.5

76%

50%

2.5

50%

73%

3.5

27%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

48%

Draw

28%

Away Win

24%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

67% Home (No Draw) 33% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

26% Home Win by 2+ 9% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

48% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals 24% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

24%

1.5

76%

50%

2.5

50%

73%

3.5

27%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.5%	5.9%	3.9%	1.4%	0.4%
1	9.7%	13.5%	6.3%	2.2%	0.6%
2	9.0%	9.6%	5.1%	1.8%	0.5%
3	4.9%	5.1%	2.7%	1.0%	0.3%
4	2.0%	2.1%	1.1%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

33%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Motherwell	Draw	Dundee
Motherwell	30.2%	4.3%	1.5%
Draw	17.1%	17.5%	9.4%
Dundee	2.4%	4.3%	13.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

53%

1.5

48%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

20%

32%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

35%

37%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Motherwell vs Dundee

1 Motherwell Wins

0 Draws

2 Dundee Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
19 Sep 2026	Dundee	2 - 1	Motherwell
07 Mar 2026	Dundee	2 - 1	Motherwell
20 Dec 2025	Motherwell	1 - 0	Dundee

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Motherwell — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Dundee	L	2 - 1
15 Sep	H Aberdeen	L	0 - 4
05 Sep	A Rangers	L	1 - 0
02 Sep	H Dundee Utd	W	3 - 0
30 Aug	A ST Mirren	D	3 - 3

Dundee — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Motherwell	W	2 - 1
06 Sep	A Heart Of Midlothian	L	2 - 1
02 Sep	H ST Johnstone	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	H Hibernian	L	1 - 2
22 Aug	A Dundee Utd	W	0 - 2

Premiership Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Celtic	7	6	0	1	14	4	+10	18
2	Rangers	7	5	1	1	8	4	+4	16
3	Heart Of Midlothian	7	4	1	2	14	8	+6	13
4	Dundee	7	3	1	3	9	7	+2	10
5	ST Mirren	7	3	1	3	8	9	-1	10
6	ST Johnstone	7	2	2	3	9	10	-1	8
7	Aberdeen	7	2	2	3	7	8	-1	8
8	Dundee Utd	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
9	Motherwell	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
10	Hibernian	7	2	1	4	8	11	-3	7
11	Falkirk	7	1	3	3	6	9	-3	6
12	Kilmarnock	7	1	2	4	6	15	-9	5

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.