Motherwell vs Kilmarnock Previsione

Premiership · Regular Season - 17

05 Dec 2026, 15:00

Post on X

Kilmarnock

Away

Fir Park, Motherwell

Previsione AI Motherwell o pareggio

36%

31%

33%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Motherwell vs Kilmarnock: Sportiko assegna a Motherwell una probabilità di vittoria del 36%, a Kilmarnock del 33% e al pareggio del 31%. Ultimo aggiornamento 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 14.9%

Both teams to score

50%

Over 2.5 goals

42%

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Motherwell

LLLWD

Kilmarnock

DWDDL

Last 3 meetings Motherwell · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premiership match, Motherwell will face Kilmarnock. Both teams have shown varying form this season, with Motherwell sitting mid-table and Kilmarnock struggling near the relegation zone. Motherwell's home record has been solid, boasting a win rate of around 55% at home, while Kilmarnock has found it challenging to secure points on the road, with only 20% of their away matches resulting in victories. Key players to watch include Motherwell's leading scorer, who has contributed significantly to their attack, and Kilmarnock’s defense, which has been porous, conceding an average of two goals per game in away fixtures. This matchup will be crucial for Kilmarnock as they seek to escape relegation worries.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Kilmarnock goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	11	9	6	2	1
1	10	15	8	3	1
2	7	8	5	2	1
3	3	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Motherwell goals · most likely 1–1 (14.9%)

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Players in form

Motherwell

A. Lowry 2 gls

Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise 1 gls

Kilmarnock

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

36%

Away Win

33%

Draw

31%

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS No 50% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

36%

Away Win

33%

Draw

31%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

52% Home (No Draw) 48% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

16% Home Win by 2+ 14% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

36% Home Scores More 33% Away Scores More 31% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS No 50% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

19%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.1%	9.2%	6.3%	2.4%	0.7%
1	9.6%	14.9%	7.6%	3.0%	0.9%
2	6.9%	8.0%	4.6%	1.8%	0.5%
3	2.8%	3.2%	1.9%	0.7%	0.2%
4	0.8%	1.0%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

70%

1.5

30%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Motherwell	Draw	Kilmarnock
Motherwell	20.8%	4.4%	1.7%
Draw	14.0%	20.4%	13.2%
Kilmarnock	1.8%	4.4%	19.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

31%

36%

21%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Motherwell vs Kilmarnock

2 Motherwell Wins

1 Draws

0 Kilmarnock Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
24 Jan 2026	Motherwell	4 - 0	Kilmarnock
22 Nov 2025	Kilmarnock	1 - 3	Motherwell
30 Aug 2025	Motherwell	2 - 2	Kilmarnock

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Motherwell — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Dundee	L	2 - 1
15 Sep	H Aberdeen	L	0 - 4
05 Sep	A Rangers	L	1 - 0
02 Sep	H Dundee Utd	W	3 - 0
30 Aug	A ST Mirren	D	3 - 3

Kilmarnock — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Heart Of Midlothian	D	1 - 1
15 Sep	A Hibernian	W	0 - 1
12 Sep	H Aberdeen	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	A Aberdeen	D	0 - 0
02 Sep	H ST Mirren	L	0 - 1

Premiership Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Celtic	7	6	0	1	14	4	+10	18
2	Rangers	7	5	1	1	8	4	+4	16
3	Heart Of Midlothian	7	4	1	2	14	8	+6	13
4	Dundee	7	3	1	3	9	7	+2	10
5	ST Mirren	7	3	1	3	8	9	-1	10
6	ST Johnstone	7	2	2	3	9	10	-1	8
7	Aberdeen	7	2	2	3	7	8	-1	8
8	Dundee Utd	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
9	Motherwell	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
10	Hibernian	7	2	1	4	8	11	-3	7
11	Falkirk	7	1	3	3	6	9	-3	6
12	Kilmarnock	7	1	2	4	6	15	-9	5

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.