Motherwell vs ST Mirren Previsione

Premiership Premiership · Regular Season - 12
FT
Post on X
Fir Park, Motherwell
Previsione AI Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Motherwell
50%
26%
24%
Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Motherwell vs ST Mirren: Sportiko assegna a Motherwell una probabilità di vittoria del 50%, a ST Mirren del 24% e al pareggio del 26%. Ultimo aggiornamento 31 Oct 2026, 16:53.

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  • 1st Half Over 0.5 75%
  • Ospite a Segno 70%
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Timeline

Joe Hodge Yellow Card
38' ▮
HT 0–0
▮ 50'
M. Fraser Yellow Card
▮ 51'
R. Carr Yellow Card
⇄ 59'
Eseosa Sule ⇄ Jake Young
⇄ 59'
R. Carr ⇄ Samu
Martin Moormann Yellow Card
60' ▮
Joe Hodge ⇄ Oscar Priestman
65' ⇄
J. Kanga ⇄ Regan Charles-Cook
65' ⇄
⇄ 72'
L. Thomas ⇄ Declan John
Tawanda Maswanhise ⇄ Callum Hendry
73' ⇄
Sebastian Palmer-Houlden ⇄ Eythor Bjørgolfsson
73' ⇄
Regan Charles-Cook Penalty confirmed
79' 🖵
Lukas Fadinger Penalty
82' ⚽ 1–0
⇄ 85'
Henry Fieldson ⇄ C. Mochrie
▮ 86'
Alexander Gogić Yellow Card
Regan Charles-Cook Yellow Card
89' ▮
Emmanuel Longelo Yellow Card
90' ▮
▮ 90+1'
Samu Yellow Card
▮ 90+2'
Killian Phillips Yellow Card
Ibrahim Said ⇄ Paul McGinn
90+3' ⇄
FT 1–0
Motherwell

Match Stats

ST Mirren
52% Ball Possession 48%
2.36 Expected Goals (xG) 0.23
11 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Goal 1
6 Shots off Goal 3
3 Blocked Shots 1
10 Shots insidebox 2
1 Shots outsidebox 3
6 Corner Kicks 3
1 Offsides 2
17 Fouls 14
4 Yellow Cards 5
0 Red Cards 0
1 Goalkeeper Saves 1
451 Total passes 430
379 Passes accurate 349
13 Free Kicks 16
Motherwell
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
45 Emmanuel Longelo D 7.7 90' – – 1 33 (27%) 1
8 Lukas Fadinger M 7.7 90' 1 – 1 44 (40%) 1
3 Jake Girdwood-Reich D 7.5 90' – – 1 77 (68%) 2
7 Tom Sparrow D 7.2 90' – – 2 51 (41%) 2
19 Ibrahim Said M 7.1 93' – – 3 23 (20%) 1
1 Alex Paulsen G 7.0 90' – – – 59 (53%) –
5 Martin Moormann D 7.0 90' – – – 55 (48%) 1
12 Oscar Priestman M 6.9 25' – – – 14 (9%) 1
13 J. Kanga M 6.8 65' – – – 14 (13%) –
14 Callum Hendry F 6.6 17' – – – 5 (2%) –
71 Joe Hodge M 6.6 65' – – – 35 (31%) 1
15 Eythor Bjørgolfsson F 6.6 17' – – 1 8 (3%) –
47 Sebastian Palmer-Houlden F 6.5 73' – – – 12 (8%) –
18 Tawanda Maswanhise M 6.3 73' – – 2 15 (11%) 2
17 Regan Charles-Cook F 6.3 25' – – – 6 (5%) –
ST Mirren
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
8 R. Carr M 6.9 59' – – – 41 (38%) 2
53 Henry Fieldson D 6.8 85' – – 1 57 (46%) –
30 F. Taylor M 6.8 90' – – – 43 (39%) 6
13 Alexander Gogić D 6.7 90' – – – 80 (73%) 1
3 Declan John D 6.6 18' – – – 8 (5%) 1
23 C. Mochrie M 6.5 5' – – – 3 (3%) –
10 Samu M 6.4 31' – – 2 10 (9%) –
9 Eseosa Sule F 6.4 59' – – 2 6 (2%) 1
47 Calvin Ramsay M 6.4 90' – – – 27 (21%) 2
16 L. Thomas M 6.3 72' – – – 26 (18%) 6
22 M. Fraser D 6.2 90' – – – 38 (31%) 1
1 J. Chapman G 6.1 90' – – – 43 (26%) –
48 P. Nsio M 6.0 90' – – – 18 (14%) 1
88 Killian Phillips M 5.9 90' – – – 26 (21%) 1
20 Jake Young F 5.9 31' – – – 4 (3%) –
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Confidence Medium (50%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio
Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Motherwell
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Motherwell
DWDLL
ST Mirren
LLDWL
Last 3 meetings Motherwell · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

Motherwell faces St Mirren in a crucial Premiership clash on October 31, 2026. Both teams have shown varying form this season, with Motherwell currently averaging 1.2 goals per match while St Mirren sits at 1.0. Defensively, Motherwell has conceded an average of 1.5 goals, indicating potential vulnerabilities that St Mirren could exploit. Historically, encounters between these teams have been closely contested, which suggests a competitive match is likely. Key players' performances, particularly in midfield, will be pivotal in determining the outcome.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
50%
45%
Draw
26%
45%
Away
24%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Motherwell
A. Lowry 3 gls
ST Mirren
K. Phillips 3 gls

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Head to Head: Motherwell vs ST Mirren

2 Motherwell Wins
1 Draws
0 ST Mirren Wins
Date Home Score Away
30 Aug 2026 ST Mirren 3 - 3 Motherwell
21 Feb 2026 ST Mirren 0 - 5 Motherwell
03 Jan 2026 Motherwell 2 - 0 ST Mirren
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Motherwell — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov A Dundee Utd D 1 - 1
31 Oct H ST Mirren W 1 - 0
28 Oct A ST Johnstone D 2 - 2
25 Oct H Heart Of Midlothian L 0 - 2
17 Oct A Kilmarnock L 3 - 2

ST Mirren — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov H Rangers L 0 - 2
31 Oct A Motherwell L 1 - 0
28 Oct H Hibernian D 1 - 1
24 Oct H Dundee W 2 - 1
17 Oct A Aberdeen L 3 - 1

Premiership Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Celtic
12 9 1 2 +17 28
2
Rangers
12 8 3 1 +12 27
3
Heart Of Midlothian
11 6 2 3 +7 20
4
Falkirk
12 5 3 4 +3 18
5
Dundee
12 5 2 5 +3 17
6
Dundee Utd
12 4 5 3 0 17
7
ST Johnstone
13 4 5 4 -3 17
8
ST Mirren
13 4 2 7 -10 14
9
Motherwell
13 3 4 6 -6 13
10
Hibernian
12 3 2 7 -2 11
11
Aberdeen
12 3 2 7 -6 11
12
Kilmarnock
12 2 3 7 -15 9

ST Mirren

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Arturo Ruiz
1 Chapman
53 Fieldson
13 Gogić
22 Fraser
16 Thomas
30 Taylor
8 Carr
47 Ramsay
48 Nsio
88 Phillips
9 Sule

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 J. Chapman G
22 M. Fraser D
13 A. Gogić D
53 Henry Fieldson D
47 C. Ramsay M
8 R. Carr M
30 F. Taylor M
16 L. Thomas M
88 K. Phillips M
48 P. Nsio M
9 Eseosa Sule F

Substitutes

4 L. Donnelly M
6 Louis Jackson D
3 D. John D
37 C. McEvoy M
23 C. Mochrie M
10 Samu M
2 J. Richardson D
20 J. Young F
35 Grant Tamosevicius G

Motherwell

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Arturo Ruiz
1 Paulsen
45 Emmanuel
5 Moormann
3 Girdwood-Reich
7 Sparrow
8 Fadinger
71 Hodge
13 Kanga
19 Said
18 Maswanhise
47 Palmer-Houlden

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 A. Paulsen G
7 T. Sparrow D
3 J. Girdwood-Reich D
5 M. Moormann D
45 M. Emmanuel D
71 J. Hodge M
8 L. Fadinger M
18 Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise M
19 I. Said M
13 J. Kanga M
47 S. Palmer-Houlden F

Substitutes

15 E. Björgólfs­son F
17 R. Charles-Cook F
14 C. Hendry F
4 Jamie Knight-Lebel D
63 D. Levitt M
21 M. Connelly G
6 J. McGhee D
16 P. McGinn D
12 O. Priestman M

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