Motherwell vs Aberdeen Previsione

Premiership Premiership · Regular Season - 3
FT
Post on X
Fir Park, Motherwell
Previsione AI Motherwell o pareggio
50%
27%
23%
Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Motherwell vs Aberdeen: Sportiko assegna a Motherwell una probabilità di vittoria del 50%, a Aberdeen del 23% e al pareggio del 27%. Ultimo aggiornamento 15 Sep 2026, 20:36.

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  • 1st Half Over 0.5 73%
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Timeline

▮ 12'
Lewis Mayo Yellow Card
⚽ 0–1 38'
Gavin Molloy
Tom Sparrow Yellow Card
40' ▮
⇄ 45'
Lewis Mayo ⇄ Jack Milne
HT 0–1
⚽ 0–2 46'
Connor Ronan assist: Kevin Nisbet
Emmanuel Longelo Yellow Card
53' ▮
Tawanda Maswanhise ⇄ Sebastian Palmer-Houlden
53' ⇄
J. Kanga ⇄ Ibrahim Said
53' ⇄
▮ 63'
Afeez Aremu Yellow Card
⇄ 64'
Afeez Aremu ⇄ Alexander Briedl
Regan Charles-Cook ⇄ W. Vogt
67' ⇄
Joe Hodge ⇄ Dylan Levitt
68' ⇄
⇄ 72'
Findlay Marshall ⇄ Stuart Armstrong
⇄ 72'
Toyosi Olusanya ⇄ Ayoub Mouloua
Alex Lowry ⇄ Eythor Bjørgolfsson
75' ⇄
▮ 76'
Ayoub Mouloua Yellow Card
⚽ 0–3 76'
Ayoub Mouloua assist: Connor Ronan
⇄ 78'
Mats Knoester ⇄ Daniel Happe
⚽ 0–4 87'
Kevin Nisbet assist: Marius Müller
FT 0–4
Motherwell

Match Stats

Aberdeen
69% Ball Possession 31%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Goal 4
5 Shots off Goal 4
2 Blocked Shots 3
5 Shots insidebox 7
7 Shots outsidebox 4
5 Corner Kicks 2
1 Offsides 3
7 Fouls 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
0 Goalkeeper Saves 5
691 Total passes 308
605 Passes accurate 227
12 Free Kicks 7
Motherwell
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
77 W. Vogt F 6.8 23' – – – 4 (4%) –
47 Sebastian Palmer-Houlden F 6.7 37' – – 1 5 (4%) –
8 Lukas Fadinger M 6.6 90' – – 1 80 (75%) 1
71 Joe Hodge M 6.6 68' – – – 72 (65%) 2
19 Ibrahim Said F 6.5 37' – – 1 26 (22%) –
5 Martin Moormann D 6.4 90' – – – 86 (76%) 3
17 Regan Charles-Cook F 6.4 67' – – – 30 (29%) –
15 Eythor Bjørgolfsson F 6.4 15' – – – 4 (1%) –
11 Alex Lowry M 6.3 75' – – 6 56 (47%) 2
13 J. Kanga F 6.2 53' – – – 23 (18%) –
7 Tom Sparrow D 6.2 90' – – – 79 (73%) 2
63 Dylan Levitt M 6.1 22' – – – 32 (30%) –
3 Jake Girdwood-Reich D 6.0 90' – – – 98 (84%) –
18 Tawanda Maswanhise M 5.8 53' – – – 14 (12%) –
45 Emmanuel Longelo D 5.6 90' – – 3 52 (39%) –
1 Alex Paulsen G 5.5 90' – – – 30 (26%) –
Aberdeen
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
25 Connor Ronan M 9.0 90' 1 1 1 34 (26%) 2
15 Kevin Nisbet F 8.4 90' 1 1 3 16 (12%) 1
21 Gavin Molloy D 8.2 90' 1 – 1 29 (24%) 2
27 Marius Müller G 7.8 90' – 1 – 38 (17%) –
5 Mats Knoester D 7.5 78' – – – 33 (29%) 3
9 Ayoub Mouloua F 7.3 18' 1 – 1 7 (2%) 1
28 Christopher Cadden D 7.1 90' – – – 28 (21%) –
26 Daniel Happe D 7.0 12' – – – 2 (1%) –
24 Nesta Guinness-Walker D 7.0 90' – – – 19 (14%) 3
22 Jack Milne D 6.9 44' – – – 23 (18%) –
10 Alexander Briedl M 6.9 26' – – – 7 (7%) 2
23 Lewis Mayo D 6.8 46' – – – 14 (13%) 1
17 Stuart Armstrong M 6.8 18' – – – 1 1
32 Afeez Aremu M 6.6 64' – – 2 27 (22%) 3
20 Toyosi Olusanya F 6.5 72' – – 2 9 (7%) 1
40 Findlay Marshall M 6.3 72' – – 1 21 (14%) –
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Confidence Low (50%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio
Motherwell o pareggio
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Motherwell
LLLWD
Aberdeen
DWDDL
Last 3 meetings Motherwell · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premiership clash, Motherwell will face Aberdeen at home. Motherwell has shown a solid defensive record, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match this season. Conversely, Aberdeen has struggled offensively, averaging just 1 goal per game, which could hinder their ability to secure points. Both teams' midfield battles will be crucial, as possession and control in that area could dictate the match's flow. Expect a tightly contested encounter with potential for low scoring given both teams' recent form.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
50%
45%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
23%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Motherwell
A. Lowry 2 gls
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise 1 gls
Aberdeen
K. Nisbet 3 gls

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Head to Head: Motherwell vs Aberdeen

2 Motherwell Wins
1 Draws
0 Aberdeen Wins
Date Home Score Away
15 Feb 2026 Motherwell 2 - 0 Aberdeen
09 Nov 2025 Aberdeen 1 - 1 Motherwell
27 Sep 2025 Motherwell 2 - 0 Aberdeen
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Motherwell — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Dundee L 2 - 1
15 Sep H Aberdeen L 0 - 4
05 Sep A Rangers L 1 - 0
02 Sep H Dundee Utd W 3 - 0
30 Aug A ST Mirren D 3 - 3

Aberdeen — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Hibernian D 1 - 1
15 Sep A Motherwell W 0 - 4
12 Sep A Kilmarnock D 1 - 1
05 Sep H Kilmarnock D 0 - 0
02 Sep A Celtic L 3 - 0

Premiership Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Celtic
7 6 0 1 +10 18
2
Rangers
7 5 1 1 +4 16
3
Heart Of Midlothian
7 4 1 2 +6 13
4
Dundee
7 3 1 3 +2 10
5
ST Mirren
7 3 1 3 -1 10
6
ST Johnstone
7 2 2 3 -1 8
7
Aberdeen
7 2 2 3 -1 8
8
Dundee Utd
7 2 2 3 -2 8
9
Motherwell
7 2 2 3 -2 8
10
Hibernian
7 2 1 4 -3 7
11
Falkirk
7 1 3 3 -3 6
12
Kilmarnock
7 1 2 4 -9 5

Aberdeen

Formation: 5-3-2 Coach: S. Robinson
27 Müller
24 Guinness-Walker
21 Molloy
5 Knoester
23 Mayo
28 Cadden
40 Marshall
32 Aremu
25 Ronan
15 Nisbet
20 Olusanya

Starting XI

# Player Pos
27 M. Müller G
28 C. Cadden D
23 L. Mayo D
5 M. Knoester D
21 G. Molloy D
24 N. Guinness-Walker D
25 C. Ronan M
32 A. Aremu M
40 F. Marshall M
20 T. Olusanya F
15 K. Nisbet F

Substitutes

10 A. Briedl M
26 D. Happe D
30 D. Klein G
22 J. Milne D
9 A. Mouloua F
31 M. Ntelo F
11 Lewis Smith F
17 S. Armstrong M
7 Tony Yogane F

Motherwell

Formation: 4-2-2-2 Coach: David Pagou
1 Paulsen
45 Emmanuel
5 Moormann
3 Girdwood-Reich
7 Sparrow
71 Hodge
8 Fadinger
11 Lowry
18 Maswanhise
17 Charles-Cook
13 Kanga

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 A. Paulsen G
7 T. Sparrow D
3 J. Girdwood-Reich D
5 M. Moormann D
45 M. Emmanuel D
8 L. Fadinger M
71 J. Hodge M
18 Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise M
11 A. Lowry M
13 J. Kanga F
17 R. Charles-Cook F

Substitutes

21 M. Connelly G
63 D. Levitt M
2 S. O'Donnell D
47 S. Palmer-Houlden F
19 I. Said F
15 E. Björgólfs­son F
77 W. Vogt F
20 Dylan Williams D
4 Jamie Knight-Lebel D

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