Arouca vs Alverca Previsione

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 26

14 Mar 2027, 16:00

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Alverca

Away

Previsione AI Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Arouca

54%

29%

16%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Arouca vs Alverca: Sportiko assegna a Arouca una probabilità di vittoria del 54%, a Alverca del 16% e al pareggio del 29%. Ultimo aggiornamento 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:0 · 14.6%

Both teams to score

42%

Over 2.5 goals

39%

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Arouca

DLDWL

Alverca

WWLDL

Last 2 meetings Arouca · 1W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Primeira Liga match, Arouca will face Alverca. Arouca has demonstrated solid defensive capabilities, averaging only 1.1 goals conceded per match this season, which may challenge Alverca's offense. Conversely, Alverca has struggled with consistency, holding a lower possession rate and fewer shots on target compared to their rivals. Key players for Arouca will need to capitalize on set pieces, as Alverca has shown vulnerability in defending them. This match could hinge on Arouca's ability to maintain defensive discipline while exploiting Alverca's weaknesses in transition.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Alverca goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	12	6	3	1
1	15	13	4	1
2	12	9	3	1
3	6	5	2
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Arouca goals · most likely 1–0 (14.6%)

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Players in form

Arouca

Barbero 4 gls

Alverca

D. Camara 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

54%

Draw

29%

Away Win

16%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

33%

1.5

67%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

54%

Draw

29%

Away Win

16%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

77% Home (No Draw) 23% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

29% Home Win by 2+ 5% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

54% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals 16% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

33%

1.5

67%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

21%

28%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.1%	6.2%	2.8%	0.7%	0.1%
1	14.6%	13.3%	4.3%	1.0%	0.2%
2	12.2%	8.9%	3.3%	0.8%	0.1%
3	6.2%	4.5%	1.7%	0.4%	0.1%
4	2.4%	1.7%	0.6%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

72%

1.5

28%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

37%

35%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Arouca	Draw	Alverca
Arouca	33.7%	3.5%	0.8%
Draw	20.1%	19.8%	7.2%
Alverca	2.0%	3.6%	9.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

22%

33%

25%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

48%

35%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

72%

0.5

28%

96%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

67%

0.5

33%

94%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Arouca vs Alverca

1 Arouca Wins

0 Draws

1 Alverca Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
24 Apr 2026	Alverca	2 - 1	Arouca
14 Dec 2025	Arouca	1 - 0	Alverca

Arouca — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Sporting CP	D	2 - 2
13 Sep	H Santa Clara	L	1 - 2
07 Sep	A Estoril	D	0 - 0
29 Aug	H Maritimo	W	2 - 1
23 Aug	A FC Porto	L	2 - 0

Alverca — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Rio Ave	W	1 - 0
12 Sep	A Nacional	W	1 - 3
05 Sep	H SC Braga	L	1 - 2
29 Aug	H Santa Clara	D	1 - 1
22 Aug	A Sporting CP	L	3 - 1

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	7	7	0	0	18	3	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	22	7	+15	16
3	Sporting CP	7	4	3	0	17	8	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	11	4	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
6	SC Braga	6	3	2	1	7	5	+2	11
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	9	9	0	11
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	14	14	0	10
9	GIL Vicente	6	2	2	2	5	5	0	8
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	8	12	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	8	14	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	9	7	+2	7
14	Vitória SC	7	1	2	4	5	8	-3	5
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	7	15	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	5	15	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	3	16	-13	4
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	3	10	-7	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.