Maritimo vs Arouca Previsione

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 21

07 Feb 2027, 16:00

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Arouca

Away

Previsione AI Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Maritimo

59%

26%

16%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Maritimo vs Arouca: Sportiko assegna a Maritimo una probabilità di vittoria del 59%, a Arouca del 16% e al pareggio del 26%. Ultimo aggiornamento 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 12.3%

Both teams to score

48%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

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Maritimo

DLLLD

Arouca

DLDWL

Last 3 meetings Maritimo · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

Marítimo faces Arouca in a Primeira Liga clash where both teams have shown fluctuating form this season. Marítimo's defensive structure will be tested against Arouca's counter-attacking prowess, highlighted by their recent goal-scoring capabilities. Arouca has demonstrated resilience away from home, while Marítimo will need to capitalize on any set-piece opportunities to secure points. The match promises to be competitive, with both sides vying for crucial league positions as the season progresses.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

59%

45%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

16%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Arouca goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	9	5	2	1
1	12	12	4	1
2	12	10	4	1
3	7	6	2	1
4	3	3	1
5	1	1

↑ Maritimo goals · most likely 1–1 (12.3%)

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Players in form

Maritimo

No scorer data.

Arouca

Barbero 4 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

59%

Draw

26%

Away Win

16%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 48% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

59%

Draw

26%

Away Win

16%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

79% Home (No Draw) 21% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

34% Home Win by 2+ 5% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

59% Home Scores More 26% Equal Goals 16% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 48% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.9%	4.7%	2.5%	0.7%	0.1%
1	11.9%	12.3%	4.5%	1.2%	0.3%
2	11.9%	9.8%	4.0%	1.1%	0.2%
3	7.1%	5.8%	2.4%	0.7%	0.1%
4	3.2%	2.6%	1.1%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Maritimo	Draw	Arouca
Maritimo	37.8%	3.6%	1.0%
Draw	19.9%	16.6%	6.6%
Arouca	2.4%	3.6%	8.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

47%

1.5

53%

74%

2.5

26%

90%

3.5

10%

Home Exact Goals

17%

30%

27%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

81%

1.5

19%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

74%

1.5

26%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

44%

36%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

69%

0.5

31%

95%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

92%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Maritimo vs Arouca

0 Maritimo Wins

1 Draws

2 Arouca Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
29 Aug 2026	Arouca	2 - 1	Maritimo
08 Apr 2023	Arouca	1 - 0	Maritimo
23 Oct 2022	Maritimo	1 - 1	Arouca

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Maritimo — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A GIL Vicente	D	1 - 1
14 Sep	A Moreirense	L	3 - 1
05 Sep	H Benfica	L	0 - 3
29 Aug	A Arouca	L	2 - 1
22 Aug	H Academico Viseu	D	2 - 2

Arouca — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Sporting CP	D	2 - 2
13 Sep	H Santa Clara	L	1 - 2
07 Sep	A Estoril	D	0 - 0
29 Aug	H Maritimo	W	2 - 1
23 Aug	A FC Porto	L	2 - 0

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	7	7	0	0	18	3	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	22	7	+15	16
3	Sporting CP	7	4	3	0	17	8	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	11	4	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
6	SC Braga	6	3	2	1	7	5	+2	11
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	9	9	0	11
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	14	14	0	10
9	GIL Vicente	6	2	2	2	5	5	0	8
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	8	12	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	8	14	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	9	7	+2	7
14	Vitória SC	7	1	2	4	5	8	-3	5
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	7	15	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	5	15	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	3	16	-13	4
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	3	10	-7	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.