Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle Previsione

Eredivisie Eredivisie · Regular Season - 10
FT
Post on X
Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht
Previsione AI Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Utrecht
57%
24%
20%
Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle: Sportiko assegna a Utrecht una probabilità di vittoria del 57%, a PEC Zwolle del 20% e al pareggio del 24%. Ultimo aggiornamento 24 Oct 2026, 16:26.

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Timeline

O. Agougil Yellow Card
26' ▮
⇄ 45'
Dylan Mbayo ⇄ Elias Sørensen
HT 0–0
Niklas Vesterlund ⇄ Adrian Blake
62' ⇄
⇄ 71'
Damian van der Haar ⇄ Jan Bürger
⚽ 0–1 72'
Elias Sørensen assist: Thijs Oosting
Yoann Cathline ⇄ Sem van Duijn
74' ⇄
Ángel Alarcón ⇄ Artem Stepanov
74' ⇄
▮ 76'
Gilles van der Wal Yellow Card
⇄ 83'
Gilles van der Wal ⇄ Koen Kostons
Siebe Horemans ⇄ N. Amrabat
83' ⇄
O. Agougil ⇄ Davy van den Berg
83' ⇄
▮ 87'
Tobias Sommer Yellow Card
Joris van Overeem Yellow Card
89' ▮
Sem van Duijn
90+1' ⚽ 1–1
FT 1–1
Utrecht

Match Stats

PEC Zwolle
60% Ball Possession 40%
1.57 Expected Goals (xG) 0.95
23 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Goal 5
8 Shots off Goal 3
10 Blocked Shots 1
14 Shots insidebox 7
9 Shots outsidebox 2
7 Corner Kicks 2
2 Offsides 1
11 Fouls 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
4 Goalkeeper Saves 4
516 Total passes 348
408 Passes accurate 255
7 Free Kicks 11
Utrecht
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
17 Sem van Duijn F 8.2 16' 1 – 1 3 (1%) 1
3 Matisse Didden D 7.3 90' – – 1 80 (65%) 3
22 Sergio Padt G 7.0 90' – – – 38 (27%) –
15 Adrian Blake F 7.0 28' – – 4 10 (7%) –
92 Arthur Zagre D 6.9 90' – – – 50 (40%) 1
2 Siebe Horemans D 6.8 83' – – 1 49 (40%) 1
11 Ángel Alarcón M 6.7 74' – – 5 24 (21%) 1
5 Nikolas Panagiotou D 6.6 90' – – – 67 (55%) 2
38 O. Agougil M 6.6 83' – – 3 38 (33%) 2
39 N. Amrabat F 6.5 7' – – – 4 (2%) –
10 Yoann Cathline M 6.4 74' – – 4 21 (13%) –
8 Joris van Overeem M 6.4 90' – – – 73 (60%) 4
9 Artem Stepanov F 6.3 16' – – 1 6 (4%) –
20 Dani de Wit F 6.2 90' – – 1 30 (22%) –
23 Niklas Vesterlund M 6.1 62' – – 1 10 (8%) –
34 Davy van den Berg M 6.0 7' – – – 7 (6%) 2
PEC Zwolle
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 Elias Sørensen F 7.5 44' 1 – 3 13 (7%) –
25 Thijs Oosting M 7.2 90' – 1 1 11 (10%) –
28 Simon Graves D 7.2 90' – – – 50 (42%) 2
10 Koen Kostons F 6.9 7' – – – 2 (1%) –
3 Olivier Aertssen D 6.8 90' – – – 21 (15%) 2
8 Tobias Sommer M 6.8 90' – – – 55 (44%) –
6 Jan Bürger D 6.7 19' – – – 5 (2%) 1
33 Damian van der Haar D 6.6 71' – – 1 20 (14%) 1
11 Dylan Mbayo M 6.6 46' – – – 13 (11%) –
1 Jasper Schendelaar G 6.5 90' – – – 31 (18%) –
30 Ryan Thomas M 6.4 90' – – 1 47 (32%) –
37 Gilles van der Wal M 6.3 83' – – 1 17 (11%) 3
24 Nick Viergever D 6.2 90' – – 1 37 (29%) 1
17 Sydney van Hooijdonk F 6.0 90' – – 1 24 (18%) –
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Confidence Medium (57%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio
Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Utrecht
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Utrecht
LWDWW
PEC Zwolle
DWLDW
Last 3 meetings Utrecht · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Eredivisie clash, Utrecht faces PEC Zwolle, both teams entering the match with contrasting form. Utrecht has shown resilience, currently ranked higher and boasting a strong home record this season. Their attacking unit, led by key forwards, has been effective in creating chances, averaging 1.8 goals per match. Conversely, PEC Zwolle struggles defensively, conceding 1.9 goals per game, which could be exploited by Utrecht's dynamic offense. This matchup is crucial for Zwolle to avoid falling deeper into the relegation zone, while Utrecht aims to solidify their top-half position.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
57%
45%
Draw
24%
45%
Away
20%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Head to Head: Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle

1 Utrecht Wins
2 Draws
0 PEC Zwolle Wins
Date Home Score Away
22 Feb 2026 Utrecht 1 - 1 PEC Zwolle
31 Aug 2025 PEC Zwolle 0 - 2 Utrecht
01 Feb 2025 PEC Zwolle 3 - 3 Utrecht
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Utrecht — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
01 Nov A Telstar L 4 - 2
29 Oct A Kozakken Boys W 0 - 1
24 Oct H PEC Zwolle D 1 - 1
18 Oct A Twente W 1 - 2
11 Oct H Willem II W 3 - 1

PEC Zwolle — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
06 Nov A Willem II D 1 - 1
01 Nov H ADO Den Haag W 1 - 0
28 Oct H FC OSS L 1 - 2
24 Oct A Utrecht D 1 - 1
18 Oct H GO Ahead Eagles W 4 - 1

Eredivisie Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Feyenoord
11 7 4 0 +21 25
2
Ajax
11 7 3 1 +17 24
3
PSV Eindhoven
11 7 2 2 +22 23
4
Twente
11 7 2 2 +18 23
5
AZ Alkmaar
11 6 2 3 +7 20
6
Fortuna Sittard
12 5 5 2 0 20
7
Heerenveen
11 5 3 3 +6 18
8
GO Ahead Eagles
12 4 5 3 -3 17
9
Groningen
11 4 3 4 +2 15
10
Cambuur
11 4 3 4 +1 15
11
Utrecht
11 3 3 5 -12 12
12
Sparta Rotterdam
12 3 3 6 -8 12
13
PEC Zwolle
12 3 3 6 -11 12
14
NEC Nijmegen
11 2 5 4 -2 11
15
Excelsior
12 3 2 7 -13 11
16
Telstar
12 2 4 6 -7 10
17
ADO Den Haag
12 2 3 7 -9 9
18
Willem II
12 0 3 9 -29 3

PEC Zwolle

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Salvatore Bocchetti
1 Schendelaar
33 Haar
24 Viergever
28 Graves
3 Aertssen
8 Sommer
30 Thomas
11 Mbayo
25 Oosting
37 Wal
17 Hooijdonk

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 J. Schendelaar G
3 O. Aertssen D
28 S. Graves D
24 N. Viergever D
33 D. van der Haar D
30 R. Thomas M
8 T. Sommer M
37 Gilles van der Wal M
25 T. Oosting M
11 D. Mbayo M
17 S. van Hooijdonk F

Substitutes

41 D. Verduin G
4 T. Velthuis D
9 E. Sørensen F
42 Dylan Ruward D
20 G. Reiziger M
26 Jadiel Pereira da Gama M
7 Y. Namli F
10 K. Kostons F
34 N. Fichtinger M
16 T. de Graaff G
6 Jan Bürger D
22 I. Cissoko F

Utrecht

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: A. Correia
22 Padt
92 Zagré
5 Panagiotou
3 Didden
2 Horemans
38 Agougil
8 Overeem
11 Alarcón
10 Cathline
23 Vesterlund
20 Wit

Starting XI

# Player Pos
22 S. Padt G
2 S. Horemans D
3 M. Didden D
5 N. Panagiotou D
92 A. Zagré D
8 J. van Overeem M
38 O. Agougil M
23 N. Vesterlund M
10 Y. Cathline M
11 Ángel Alarcón M
20 D. de Wit F

Substitutes

39 N. Amrabat F
15 A. Blake F
31 M. Eppink G
33 K. Gadellaa G
32 P. Kloosterboer D
18 J. Medić D
6 G. Offerhaus D
21 N. Ogidi Nwankwo D
9 Artem Stepanov F
34 D. van den Berg M
17 S. van Duijn F

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