Heerenveen vs Excelsior Previsione
FT
Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen
Previsione AI
Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Heerenveen
60%
22%
18%
Vittoria Casa
Pareggio
Vittoria Ospite
Pronostico Heerenveen vs Excelsior: Sportiko assegna a Heerenveen una probabilità di vittoria del 60%, a Excelsior del 18% e al pareggio del 22%. Ultimo aggiornamento 16 Oct 2026, 19:54.
Pronostici Premium
Premium- Under 4.5 75%
- Home/Draw & Over 1.5 72%
- Home 2H Over 0.5 73%
- Ospite a Segno 70%
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Timeline
Dylan Vente
Penalty
11'
⚽
1–0
▮
43'
Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson
Yellow Card
⇄
45'
David Garden
⇄ Mario Domínguez
HT 1–0
Oliver Braude
assist: Jacob Trenskow
54'
⚽
2–0
⇄
66'
Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson
⇄ Ilano Silva Timas
⇄
66'
Aymen Sliti
⇄ Valentin Sulzbacher
⇄
66'
Simon Janssen
⇄ Osman Turay
Maxence Rivera
⇄ Marko Farji
73'
⇄
⇄
77'
Eric da Silva Moreira
⇄ Noah Naujoks
Nolhan Courtens
⇄ Luca Oyen
82'
⇄
Levi Smans
⇄ Ringo Meerveld
82'
⇄
Dylan Vente
⇄ Roberts Uldriķis
82'
⇄
Luca Oyen
assist: Ringo Meerveld
84'
⚽
3–0
Maas Willemsen
⇄ Hristiyan Petrov
86'
⇄
Jacob Trenskow
88'
⚽
4–0
FT 4–0
Heerenveen
Match Stats
Excelsior
52%
Ball Possession
48%
2.32
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73
14
Total Shots
5
7
Shots on Goal
1
6
Shots off Goal
3
1
Blocked Shots
1
12
Shots insidebox
3
2
Shots outsidebox
2
4
Corner Kicks
1
3
Offsides
0
9
Fouls
10
0
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3
519
Total passes
491
444
Passes accurate
400
9
Free Kicks
8
Heerenveen
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jacob Trenskow M | 9.0 | 90' | 1 | 1 | 5 | 21 (19%) | 1 |
| 45 Oliver Braude D | 8.6 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 66 (57%) | – |
| 3 Maas Willemsen D | 7.7 | 86' | – | – | – | 88 (81%) | 1 |
| 4 Sam Kersten D | 7.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 75 (68%) | – |
| 11 Luca Oyen F | 7.4 | 8' | 1 | – | 1 | – | – |
| 19 Vasilios Zagaritis D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 37 (29%) | 1 |
| 9 Dylan Vente F | 7.2 | 82' | 1 | – | 4 | 13 (9%) | – |
| 10 Ringo Meerveld M | 7.1 | 8' | – | 1 | – | 4 (4%) | – |
| 14 Levi Smans M | 7.1 | 82' | – | – | 1 | 40 (32%) | – |
| 16 Marcus Linday M | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 61 (53%) | 3 |
| 28 Hristiyan Petrov D | 7.0 | 4' | – | – | – | 6 (6%) | – |
| 1 Bernt Klaverboer G | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 48 (39%) | – |
| 17 Roberts Uldriķis F | 6.7 | 8' | – | – | 1 | 3 (2%) | – |
| 21 Marko Farji F | 6.6 | 17' | – | – | – | 5 (3%) | 1 |
| 7 Maxence Rivera M | 6.5 | 73' | – | – | 1 | 22 (16%) | – |
| 8 Nolhan Courtens M | 6.3 | 82' | – | – | – | 29 (25%) | 2 |
Excelsior
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Lennard Hartjes M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 46 (42%) | 2 |
| 19 David Garden F | 6.4 | 46' | – | – | 1 | 7 (6%) | – |
| 9 Mario Domínguez F | 6.4 | 44' | – | – | 1 | 6 (4%) | 2 |
| 7 Aymen Sliti F | 6.3 | 66' | – | – | – | 17 (10%) | – |
| 14 Jan Plug D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 63 (61%) | 2 |
| 8 Irakli Yegoian M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 35 (31%) | 4 |
| 21 Ilano Silva Timas F | 6.2 | 24' | – | – | – | 9 (7%) | – |
| 30 Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson F | 6.1 | 66' | – | – | – | 20 (18%) | – |
| 15 Simon Janssen D | 6.1 | 66' | – | – | – | 32 (29%) | – |
| 4 Casper Widell D | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 67 (52%) | – |
| 18 Valentin Sulzbacher M | 5.9 | 24' | – | – | – | 18 (16%) | 1 |
| 3 Rick Meissen M | 5.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 52 (43%) | 2 |
| 2 Eric da Silva Moreira D | 5.7 | 77' | – | – | – | 37 (31%) | 2 |
| 22 Osman Turay D | 5.7 | 24' | – | – | – | 14 (12%) | – |
| 1 Stijn van Gassel G | 5.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 60 (31%) | – |
| 10 Noah Naujoks M | 5.5 | 13' | – | – | – | 7 (7%) | – |
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Confidence
Medium (60%)
At a glance
Il nostro approccio
Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Heerenveen
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Heerenveen
WWWWW
Excelsior
LLWLL
Last 3 meetings
Heerenveen · 2W 0D 1L
Match summary
Heerenveen faces Excelsior in a crucial Eredivisie clash. Heerenveen has shown a solid home record this season, winning 60% of their matches at home, while Excelsior has struggled on the road with only 30% of away games resulting in points. Both teams have been relatively even in terms of goal-scoring, with Heerenveen averaging 1.5 goals per game compared to Excelsior's 1.2. However, Heerenveen's defense has been superior, conceding only 0.9 goals per match versus Excelsior's 1.7. This matchup will likely hinge on Heerenveen's ability to leverage their defensive strength against Excelsior's attacking efforts.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
60%
10%
Draw
22%
45%
Away
18%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Heerenveen
J. Trenskow
6 gls
Excelsior
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Heerenveen vs Excelsior
2
Heerenveen Wins
0
Draws
1
Excelsior Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar 2026 | Excelsior | 1 - 2 | Heerenveen |
| 04 Oct 2025 | Heerenveen | 2 - 1 | Excelsior |
| 19 Jan 2024 | Excelsior | 3 - 0 | Heerenveen |
Heerenveen — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov | H Feyenoord | W | 5 - 3 |
| 31 Oct | H NEC Nijmegen | W | 1 - 0 |
| 28 Oct | A Excelsior Maassluis | W | 0 - 2 |
| 24 Oct | A ADO Den Haag | W | 2 - 3 |
| 16 Oct | H Excelsior | W | 4 - 0 |
Excelsior — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H GO Ahead Eagles | L | 0 - 1 |
| 01 Nov | H Twente | L | 0 - 9 |
| 28 Oct | A MVV | W | 0 - 3 |
| 25 Oct | A Fortuna Sittard | L | 1 - 0 |
| 16 Oct | A Heerenveen | L | 4 - 0 |
Eredivisie Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Feyenoord
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 33 | 12 | +21 | 25 |
| 2 |
Ajax
|
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 30 | 13 | +17 | 24 |
| 3 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 13 | +22 | 23 |
| 4 |
Twente
|
11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 10 | +18 | 23 |
| 5 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 13 | +7 | 20 |
| 6 |
Fortuna Sittard
|
12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
| 7 |
Heerenveen
|
11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 13 | +6 | 18 |
| 8 |
GO Ahead Eagles
|
12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 17 |
| 9 |
Groningen
|
11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 24 | +2 | 15 |
| 10 |
Cambuur
|
11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 22 | +1 | 15 |
| 11 |
Utrecht
|
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 12 |
| 12 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 12 |
| 13 |
PEC Zwolle
|
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 12 |
| 14 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 11 |
| 15 |
Excelsior
|
12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 11 |
| 16 |
Telstar
|
12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 |
ADO Den Haag
|
12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 |
Willem II
|
12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 40 | -29 | 3 |
Excelsior
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: R. den Uil
1
Gassel
15
Janssen
14
Plug
4
Widell
2
Moreira
20
Hartjes
3
Meissen
8
Yegoian
30
Þorsteinsson
19
Garden
7
Sliti
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. van Gassel | G |
| 2 | Eric Emanuel da Silva Moreira | D |
| 4 | C. Widell | D |
| 14 | J. Plug | D |
| 15 | S. Janssen | D |
| 8 | I. Yegoian | M |
| 3 | R. Meissen | M |
| 20 | L. Hartjes | M |
| 7 | A. Sliti | F |
| 19 | D. Garden | F |
| 30 | Á. Þorsteinsson | F |
Substitutes
| 6 | D. van Vianen | M |
| 22 | O. Turay | D |
| 18 | V. Sulzbacher | M |
| 21 | I. Silva Timas | F |
| 10 | N. Naujoks | M |
| 11 | A. Jahanbakhsh | F |
| 28 | N. Groen | F |
| 9 | Mario Domínguez | F |
| 24 | Giulliano Cairo | M |
| 16 | Celton Biai | G |
Heerenveen
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: R. Veldeman
1
Klaverboer
19
Zagaritis
3
Willemsen
4
Kersten
45
Braude
8
Courtens
16
Linday
7
Rivera
14
Smans
20
Trenskow
9
Vente
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | B. Klaverboer | G |
| 45 | O. Braude | D |
| 4 | S. Kersten | D |
| 3 | M. Willemsen | D |
| 19 | V. Zagaritis | D |
| 16 | M. Linday | M |
| 8 | N. Courtens | M |
| 20 | J. Trenskow | M |
| 14 | L. Smans | M |
| 7 | M. Rivera | M |
| 9 | D. Vente | F |
Substitutes
| 23 | D. Bladi | D |
| 49 | Anass Bouziane | M |
| 21 | M. Farji | F |
| 2 | M. Hilgers | D |
| 28 | H. Petrov | D |
| 29 | L. Machine | F |
| 10 | R. Meerveld | M |
| 15 | M. Egbring | D |
| 44 | A. Noppert | G |
| 11 | L. Oyen | F |
| 30 | T. Schreuder | G |
| 17 | R. Uldriķis | F |