Excelsior vs Groningen Previsione

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 8

11 Oct 2026, 14:45

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Groningen

Away

Previsione AI Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Excelsior

55%

28%

17%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Excelsior vs Groningen: Sportiko assegna a Excelsior una probabilità di vittoria del 55%, a Groningen del 17% e al pareggio del 28%. Ultimo aggiornamento 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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72% 71%

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 13.2%

Both teams to score

46%

Over 2.5 goals

43%

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Excelsior

DLDWW

Groningen

WDDLL

Last 3 meetings Excelsior · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

Excelsior faces Groningen in an Eredivisie matchup that will be crucial for both teams as they seek to solidify their positions in the league. Excelsior has shown a solid home record, averaging 1.5 goals per game, while Groningen struggles defensively, conceding an average of 2 goals per match on the road. The key battle will be in midfield, where Excelsior's possession-based style could exploit Groningen's tendency to lose control in crucial moments. Expect a tactical contest with both teams looking to capitalize on the other's weaknesses.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Groningen goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	11	6	3	1
1	13	13	5	1
2	12	9	4	1
3	6	5	2	1
4	3	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Excelsior goals · most likely 1–1 (13.2%)

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Players in form

Excelsior

A. Sliti 3 gls

Groningen

T. van Bergen 4 gls

B. Willumsson 4 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

55%

Draw

28%

Away Win

17%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 46% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

29%

1.5

71%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

55%

Draw

28%

Away Win

17%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

76% Home (No Draw) 24% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

30% Home Win by 2+ 6% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

55% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals 17% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

29%

1.5

71%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 46% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

19%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.6%	5.7%	2.9%	0.8%	0.2%
1	13.0%	13.2%	4.7%	1.2%	0.3%
2	11.7%	9.4%	3.8%	1.0%	0.2%
3	6.3%	5.0%	2.0%	0.5%	0.1%
4	2.5%	2.0%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

33%

25%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Excelsior	Draw	Groningen
Excelsior	34.7%	3.7%	1.0%
Draw	19.5%	18.5%	7.4%
Groningen	2.1%	3.7%	9.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

53%

1.5

48%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

20%

32%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

45%

36%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

93%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Excelsior vs Groningen

1 Excelsior Wins

0 Draws

2 Groningen Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
02 May 2026	Groningen	2 - 3	Excelsior
05 Dec 2025	Excelsior	0 - 2	Groningen
25 Feb 2023	Groningen	3 - 0	Excelsior

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Excelsior — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Ajax	D	2 - 2
13 Sep	H Utrecht	L	1 - 2
08 Sep	A NEC Nijmegen	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	A Willem II	W	0 - 3
29 Aug	H Sparta Rotterdam	W	2 - 1

Groningen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H PEC Zwolle	W	3 - 0
12 Sep	A GO Ahead Eagles	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	H Twente	D	2 - 2
28 Aug	H Fortuna Sittard	L	2 - 3
23 Aug	A PSV Eindhoven	L	5 - 1

Eredivisie Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	18	6	+12	19
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	25	7	+18	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	24	10	+14	16
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	15	7	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	21	9	+12	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	4	1	2	13	14	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15	9	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15	13	+2	11
9	GO Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	16	14	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	11	9	+2	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	12	13	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	10	17	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5	12	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	10	19	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11	24	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	1	1	5	6	20	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	0	2	5	7	17	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6	20	-14	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.