Marseille vs Toulouse Previsione
Pronostico Marseille vs Toulouse: Sportiko assegna a Marseille una probabilità di vittoria del 49%, a Toulouse del 26% e al pareggio del 25%. Ultimo aggiornamento 1 Nov 2026, 21:42.
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Match Report
Marseille made a blistering start at the Vélodrome, taking the lead through Amine Harit after just 60 seconds. The hosts doubled their advantage in the 25th minute when Amine Gouiri added a second, effectively settling the contest before the half-hour mark. Despite Toulouse enjoying the greater share of possession, Marseille's clinical early burst proved decisive, and the scoreline at the interval already told the story of the match.
The second half offered Toulouse little reward despite their territorial dominance. Casper Tengstedt thought he had pulled one back, only for a VAR review to rule the effort out in the 68th minute — a significant blow to any hopes of a comeback. The visitors finished with seven shots on target to Marseille's three, and an expected goals figure of 1.6 against 1.12, underlining how the game's outcome was shaped entirely by those opening 25 minutes rather than the balance of play.
Marseille's victory was efficient if not dominant, with both goalscorers withdrawn late on as the hosts managed the result comfortably. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Marseille win as the most likely outcome at 49%, a call that proved correct.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Marseille
Match Stats
Marseille
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Amine Gouiri F | 8.6 | 87' | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 (16%) | 2 |
| 77 Amine Harit M | 8.2 | 73' | 1 | – | 1 | 34 (32%) | – |
| 14 Igor Paixão M | 7.7 | 90' | – | 1 | 2 | 32 (23%) | 4 |
| 25 Ulisses Garcia D | 7.6 | 71' | – | – | – | 34 (32%) | 5 |
| 1 Jeffrey de Lange G | 7.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 43 (25%) | – |
| 21 Nayef Aguerd D | 7.4 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 53 (44%) | 1 |
| 22 Tim Weah D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 39 (35%) | – |
| 6 Tochukwu Nnadi M | 7.1 | 87' | – | – | 1 | 50 (45%) | 2 |
| 74 K. Bezahaf D | 7.1 | 17' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | 1 |
| 19 Geoffrey Kondogbia M | 7.0 | 17' | – | – | – | 8 (8%) | 3 |
| 33 Emerson Palmieri D | 6.9 | 19' | – | – | – | 7 (5%) | – |
| 4 Conrad Jaden Egan-Riley D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 57 (46%) | 1 |
| 7 Angel Gomes M | 6.8 | 3' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 23 Pierre-Emile Højbjerg M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 55 (51%) | 1 |
| 8 Himad Abdelli M | 6.4 | 73' | – | – | 1 | 29 (22%) | 5 |
| 11 Neal Maupay F | 6.4 | 3' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | – |
Toulouse
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Cristian Cásseres Jr. M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 4 | 96 (83%) | 3 |
| 13 Jacen Russell-Rowe F | 6.9 | 57' | – | – | 4 | 17 (13%) | 2 |
| 31 Niklas Schmidt M | 6.6 | 23' | – | – | – | 29 (27%) | 1 |
| 3 Mark McKenzie D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 77 (69%) | 3 |
| 11 Sion Oppong F | 6.5 | 44' | – | – | 1 | 18 (17%) | – |
| 9 Santiago Hidalgo F | 6.4 | 33' | – | – | – | 15 (9%) | 1 |
| 2 Rasmus Nicolaisen D | 6.3 | 89' | – | – | – | 68 (60%) | – |
| 8 Thomas Jørgensen M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 30 (22%) | 1 |
| 5 Seny Koumbassa D | 6.2 | 1' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | – |
| 20 Casper Tengstedt F | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 22 (16%) | 2 |
| 16 Guillaume Restes G | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 37 (36%) | – |
| 7 Julian Vignolo F | 6.0 | 1' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
| 14 Niko Sigur M | 5.9 | 89' | – | – | 1 | 66 (56%) | 2 |
| 12 Christ Tapé D | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 44 (32%) | 1 |
| 15 Aron Dønnum M | 5.7 | 46' | – | – | – | 22 (16%) | 1 |
| 94 Ismail Diallo D | 5.7 | 67' | – | – | – | 33 (28%) | 2 |
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Expected goals (xG)
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
A. Gouiri
6 gls
C. Tengstedt
5 gls
T. Jørgensen
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Marseille vs Toulouse
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar 2026 | Toulouse | 0 - 1 | Marseille |
| 04 Mar 2026 | Marseille | 2 - 2 | Toulouse |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Marseille | 2 - 2 | Toulouse |
Marseille — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | A Bayer Leverkusen | W | 0 - 1 |
| 01 Nov | H Toulouse | W | 2 - 0 |
| 25 Oct | H Le Havre | W | 4 - 3 |
| 22 Oct | A Sturm Graz | L | 1 - 0 |
| 18 Oct | A Angers | W | 2 - 5 |
Toulouse — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov | H Strasbourg | W | 3 - 1 |
| 01 Nov | A Marseille | L | 2 - 0 |
| 25 Oct | H Estac Troyes | D | 0 - 0 |
| 16 Oct | A Le Mans | W | 0 - 3 |
| 10 Oct | A Monaco | D | 2 - 2 |
Ligue 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 10 | +12 | 23 |
| 2 |
Paris FC
|
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 10 | +7 | 20 |
| 3 |
Lille
|
9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 18 |
| 4 |
Lyon
|
9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7 | +8 | 17 |
| 5 |
Rennes
|
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 19 | +1 | 16 |
| 6 |
Marseille
|
9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 13 | +7 | 15 |
| 7 |
Monaco
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 |
Nice
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 14 |
| 9 |
Lens
|
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 13 | +3 | 13 |
| 10 |
Toulouse
|
10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 13 |
| 11 |
Stade Brestois 29
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | +4 | 12 |
| 12 |
Lorient
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 |
Strasbourg
|
10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 10 |
| 14 |
Auxerre
|
10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 10 |
| 15 |
Angers
|
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 |
Estac Troyes
|
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |
Le Mans
|
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 7 |
| 18 |
Le Havre
|
9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 2 |
Marseille
Formation: 4-1-4-1
Coach: Bruno Genesio
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. de Lange | G |
| 22 | T. Weah | D |
| 4 | C. Egan-Riley | D |
| 21 | N. Aguerd | D |
| 33 | Emerson | D |
| 23 | P. Højbjerg | M |
| 77 | A. Harit | M |
| 8 | H. Abdelli | M |
| 6 | T. Nnadi | M |
| 14 | Igor Paixão | M |
| 9 | A. Gouiri | F |
Substitutes
| 92 | T. Vermot | G |
| 74 | K. Bezahaf | D |
| 7 | A. Gomes | M |
| 25 | U. Garcia | D |
| 42 | Nouhoum Kamissoko | M |
| 19 | G. Kondogbia | M |
| 18 | B. Meité | D |
| 11 | N. Maupay | F |
| 43 | T. Mmadi | F |
Toulouse
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: Arturo Ruiz
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | G. Restes | G |
| 94 | I. Diallo | D |
| 3 | M. McKenzie | D |
| 2 | R. Nicolaisen | D |
| 12 | C. Tapé | D |
| 8 | T. Jørgensen | M |
| 14 | N. Sigur | M |
| 23 | C. Cásseres | M |
| 15 | A. Dønnum | M |
| 13 | J. Russell-Rowe | F |
| 20 | C. Tengstedt | F |
Substitutes
| 5 | S. Koumbassa | D |
| 9 | S. Hidalgo | F |
| 1 | T. Collin | G |
| 37 | Y. Azizi | F |
| 18 | M. Amougou | M |
| 11 | S. Oppong | F |
| 31 | N. Schmidt | M |
| 6 | A. Vossah | M |
| 7 | Julián Vignolo | F |