Marseille vs Le Havre Previsione
Pronostico Marseille vs Le Havre: Sportiko assegna a Marseille una probabilità di vittoria del 64%, a Le Havre del 15% e al pareggio del 22%. Ultimo aggiornamento 25 Oct 2026, 18:17.
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Match Report
Marseille edged a chaotic seven-goal thriller against Le Havre at the Vélodrome, securing a 4–3 victory that looked far more comfortable at the interval. Conrad Jaden Egan-Riley opened the scoring inside five minutes and Tim Weah doubled the lead on 33 minutes, giving the hosts a commanding 2–0 cushion at the break.
The second half told a very different story. Igor Paixão extended Marseille's advantage shortly after the restart, but Le Havre responded immediately through Himad Abdelli and then pulled another back via Josh Maja's penalty on 77 minutes to set up a nervy finale. A goal on 86 minutes briefly threatened to level matters before Maja struck again on 89 minutes to make it 4–3, capping a remarkable comeback attempt that ultimately fell short. A late VAR intervention cancelled a Le Havre penalty in stoppage time, adding further drama to a frantic closing spell that also produced three yellow cards.
The result was perhaps surprising given the underlying numbers — Le Havre generated an xG of 3.04 against Marseille's 1.63 and managed 21 total shots — though the home side's clinical finishing proved decisive. The pre-match AI model had rated a Marseille win as the most likely outcome at 64%, a call that held up despite the visitors' second-half pressure.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Marseille
Match Stats
Marseille
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Igor Paixão F | 8.2 | 92' | 1 | – | 2 | 26 (23%) | 3 |
| 8 Himad Abdelli M | 8.1 | 84' | 1 | – | 3 | 47 (45%) | 4 |
| 22 Tim Weah M | 7.6 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 50 (44%) | 5 |
| 4 Conrad Jaden Egan-Riley D | 7.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 40 (37%) | – |
| 21 Nayef Aguerd D | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 51 (47%) | 3 |
| 9 Amine Gouiri F | 7.0 | 78' | – | 1 | – | 14 (12%) | 1 |
| 33 Emerson Palmieri D | 6.9 | 90' | – | 1 | 1 | 58 (49%) | – |
| 6 Tochukwu Nnadi M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 40 (36%) | 2 |
| 48 Keyliane Abdallah F | 6.5 | 12' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
| 11 Neal Maupay F | 6.4 | 12' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
| 23 Pierre-Emile Højbjerg M | 6.3 | 84' | – | – | 2 | 71 (60%) | – |
| 1 Jeffrey de Lange G | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 30 (22%) | – |
| 77 Amine Harit M | 6.3 | 78' | – | – | – | 40 (34%) | 1 |
| 7 Angel Gomes M | 5.7 | 6' | – | – | – | 1 | – |
Le Havre
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Josh Maja F | 8.2 | 29' | 2 | – | 3 | 9 (7%) | – |
| 30 Sota Nakamura F | 6.8 | 29' | – | – | 2 | 15 (12%) | – |
| 25 Mbwana Ally Samatta F | 6.6 | 61' | – | – | 1 | 14 (12%) | – |
| 38 Rayan Fofana F | 6.6 | 84' | – | – | 3 | 15 (11%) | – |
| Seamus Maughan | 6.4 | 13' | 1 | – | 2 | 7 (6%) | – |
| 26 Simon Ebonog M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 41 (36%) | – |
| 15 Ayumu Seko D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 44 (37%) | 3 |
| 6 Junior Mwanga M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 53 (47%) | 2 |
| 17 Kaito Mizuta F | 6.3 | 6' | – | 1 | 1 | 5 (5%) | – |
| 5 Ahmed Touba D | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 49 (45%) | 2 |
| 14 Rassoul Ndiaye M | 6.0 | 61' | – | – | – | 19 (10%) | 1 |
| 78 Daren Nbenbege Mosengo M | 5.9 | 13' | – | – | – | 17 (12%) | – |
| 93 G. Gallon G | 5.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 29 (27%) | 1 |
| 27 Enzo Koffi F | 5.7 | 77' | – | – | 1 | 32 (24%) | 3 |
| 7 Amir Richardson M | 5.7 | 77' | – | – | 1 | 33 (28%) | 1 |
| 20 D. Ouziad F | 5.3 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 29 (19%) | 1 |
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Expected goals (xG)
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A. Gouiri
6 gls
J. Maja
4 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Marseille vs Le Havre
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May 2026 | Le Havre | 0 - 1 | Marseille |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Marseille | 6 - 2 | Le Havre |
| 10 May 2025 | Le Havre | 1 - 3 | Marseille |
Marseille — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | A Bayer Leverkusen | W | 0 - 1 |
| 01 Nov | H Toulouse | W | 2 - 0 |
| 25 Oct | H Le Havre | W | 4 - 3 |
| 22 Oct | A Sturm Graz | L | 1 - 0 |
| 18 Oct | A Angers | W | 2 - 5 |
Le Havre — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct | H Paris Saint Germain | L | 1 - 5 |
| 25 Oct | A Marseille | L | 4 - 3 |
| 18 Oct | H Auxerre | L | 1 - 3 |
| 10 Oct | A Lille | L | 1 - 0 |
| 19 Sep | A Toulouse | L | 3 - 2 |
Ligue 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 10 | +12 | 23 |
| 2 |
Paris FC
|
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 10 | +7 | 20 |
| 3 |
Lille
|
9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 18 |
| 4 |
Lyon
|
9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7 | +8 | 17 |
| 5 |
Rennes
|
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 19 | +1 | 16 |
| 6 |
Marseille
|
9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 13 | +7 | 15 |
| 7 |
Monaco
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 |
Nice
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 14 |
| 9 |
Lens
|
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 13 | +3 | 13 |
| 10 |
Toulouse
|
10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 13 |
| 11 |
Stade Brestois 29
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | +4 | 12 |
| 12 |
Lorient
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 |
Strasbourg
|
10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 10 |
| 14 |
Auxerre
|
10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 10 |
| 15 |
Angers
|
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 |
Estac Troyes
|
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |
Le Mans
|
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 7 |
| 18 |
Le Havre
|
9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 2 |
Marseille
Coach: Bruno Genesio
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | H. Abdelli | M |
| 1 | J. de Lange | G |
| 14 | Igor Paixão | F |
| 6 | T. Nnadi | M |
| 23 | P. Højbjerg | M |
| 77 | A. Harit | M |
| 9 | A. Gouiri | F |
| 33 | Emerson | D |
| 4 | C. Egan-Riley | D |
| 21 | N. Aguerd | D |
| 22 | T. Weah | M |
Substitutes
| 48 | K. Abdallah | F |
| 74 | K. Bezahaf | D |
| 25 | U. Garcia | D |
| 7 | A. Gomes | M |
| 42 | Nouhoum Kamissoko | M |
| 19 | G. Kondogbia | M |
| 11 | N. Maupay | F |
| 18 | B. Meité | D |
| 92 | T. Vermot | G |
Le Havre
Coach: D. Digard
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 93 | G. Gallon | G |
| 26 | S. Ebonog | M |
| 38 | R. Fofana | F |
| 6 | J. Mwanga | M |
| 14 | R. Ndiaye | M |
| 20 | D. Ouziad | F |
| 7 | A. Richardson | M |
| 25 | M. Samatta | F |
| 15 | A. Seko | D |
| 27 | E. Koffi Vinette | F |
| 5 | A. Touba | D |
Substitutes
| 33 | Hakim Dongopandji | F |
| 9 | J. Maja | F |
| 17 | K. Mizuta | F |
| 78 | D. Mosengo | M |
| 97 | Mouhamed N'Diaye | M |
| 30 | S. Nakamura | F |
| 23 | V. Sasso | D |
| 24 | G. Zohouri | M |
| 16 | A. Bodart | G |