Le Mans vs Toulouse Previsione
Pronostico Le Mans vs Toulouse: Sportiko assegna a Le Mans una probabilità di vittoria del 31%, a Toulouse del 42% e al pareggio del 27%. Ultimo aggiornamento 16 Oct 2026, 20:40.
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Premium- Casa a Segno 75%
- 1st Half Home or Draw 73%
Match Report
Le Mans and Toulouse were locked in a goalless stalemate at half-time despite the visitors carrying the greater threat, reflected in an expected goals figure of 1.74 against Le Mans's 0.82. The hosts had the majority of possession but managed just one shot on target throughout the entire contest.
Toulouse burst out of the blocks after the break, with Jacen Russell-Rowe opening the scoring just 60 seconds into the second half, though he was immediately cautioned. Aron Dønnum doubled the advantage in the 59th minute before being substituted shortly after, and a VAR review cancelled what would have been a third goal for Casper Tengstedt in the 78th minute. The Danish forward had the last word, however, converting in the 87th minute to complete a comfortable 3-0 victory. Late yellow cards for S. Yohou and Djibril Sidibé added a fractious edge to the closing stages.
The result was a convincing away performance that our pre-match AI model had identified as the most probable outcome at 42%, a prediction that proved well-founded. Toulouse climb the Ligue 1 standings while Le Mans are left to reflect on a toothless attacking display.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Le Mans
Match Stats
Le Mans
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dame Gueye F | 6.8 | 61' | – | – | – | 13 (12%) | – |
| 29 Lucas Bretelle M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 50 (44%) | 2 |
| 10 Jean Vercruysse M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 33 (30%) | 1 |
| 22 Lucas Calodat D | 6.5 | 29' | – | – | 1 | 15 (13%) | 1 |
| 7 Billal Brahimi F | 6.5 | 29' | – | – | 1 | 14 (11%) | 1 |
| 5 Harold Voyer D | 6.4 | 77' | – | – | – | 73 (62%) | 1 |
| 19 Djibril Sidibé D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 100 (90%) | 1 |
| 23 Daouda Traore M | 6.3 | 61' | – | – | 1 | 22 (22%) | 1 |
| 13 Habib Diallo F | 6.2 | 29' | – | – | 1 | 7 (5%) | – |
| 15 Noa Boissé D | 6.2 | 13' | – | – | – | 14 (14%) | 1 |
| 26 Rayan Bamba D | 6.1 | 21' | – | – | – | 17 (15%) | – |
| 18 Lucas Buades M | 6.1 | 69' | – | – | – | 43 (38%) | 1 |
| 17 S. Yohou D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 75 (66%) | – |
| 76 Yasser Larouci M | 5.9 | 61' | – | – | – | 31 (25%) | 1 |
| 14 Louis Mafouta F | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 16 (14%) | – |
| 98 Nicolas Kocik G | 5.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 30 (19%) | – |
Toulouse
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aron Dønnum M | 9.0 | 64' | 1 | 1 | 1 | 52 (43%) | 2 |
| 20 Casper Tengstedt M | 8.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 6 | 15 (10%) | – |
| 23 Cristian Cásseres Jr. M | 7.7 | 90' | – | 1 | 1 | 77 (64%) | 2 |
| 13 Jacen Russell-Rowe F | 7.7 | 76' | 1 | – | 2 | 29 (27%) | – |
| 3 Mark McKenzie D | 7.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 67 (60%) | – |
| 22 Rafik Messali D | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 74 (67%) | 1 |
| 2 Rasmus Nicolaisen D | 7.4 | 85' | – | – | – | 41 (36%) | – |
| 14 Niko Sigur M | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (33%) | 1 |
| 12 Christ Tapé D | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 33 (26%) | 2 |
| 5 Seny Koumbassa D | 7.0 | 5' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 6 Alexis Vossah M | 7.0 | 26' | – | – | – | 9 (8%) | 1 |
| 8 Thomas Jørgensen M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 41 (33%) | 2 |
| 16 Guillaume Restes G | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 39 (30%) | – |
| 7 Julian Vignolo F | 6.6 | 14' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
L. Mafouta
4 gls
A. Bourabaa
3 gls
C. Tengstedt
5 gls
T. Jørgensen
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Le Mans vs Toulouse
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Le Mans — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | A Estac Troyes | L | 2 - 0 |
| 25 Oct | A Auxerre | D | 1 - 1 |
| 16 Oct | H Toulouse | L | 0 - 3 |
| 10 Oct | A Paris Saint Germain | L | 3 - 1 |
| 19 Sep | H Lorient | W | 2 - 1 |
Toulouse — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov | H Strasbourg | W | 3 - 1 |
| 01 Nov | A Marseille | L | 2 - 0 |
| 25 Oct | H Estac Troyes | D | 0 - 0 |
| 16 Oct | A Le Mans | W | 0 - 3 |
| 10 Oct | A Monaco | D | 2 - 2 |
Ligue 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 10 | +12 | 23 |
| 2 |
Paris FC
|
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 10 | +7 | 20 |
| 3 |
Lille
|
9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 18 |
| 4 |
Lyon
|
9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7 | +8 | 17 |
| 5 |
Rennes
|
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 19 | +1 | 16 |
| 6 |
Marseille
|
9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 13 | +7 | 15 |
| 7 |
Monaco
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 |
Nice
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 14 |
| 9 |
Lens
|
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 13 | +3 | 13 |
| 10 |
Toulouse
|
10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 13 |
| 11 |
Stade Brestois 29
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | +4 | 12 |
| 12 |
Lorient
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 |
Strasbourg
|
10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 10 |
| 14 |
Auxerre
|
10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 10 |
| 15 |
Angers
|
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 |
Estac Troyes
|
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |
Le Mans
|
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 7 |
| 18 |
Le Havre
|
9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 2 |
Le Mans
Formation: 3-1-4-2
Coach: P. Videira
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 98 | N. Kocik | G |
| 19 | D. Sidibé | D |
| 17 | S. Yohou | D |
| 5 | H. Voyer | D |
| 29 | L. Bretelle | M |
| 18 | L. Buadés | M |
| 23 | D. Traoré | M |
| 10 | J. Vercruysse | M |
| 76 | Y. Larouci | M |
| 25 | D. Guèye | F |
| 14 | L. Mafouta | F |
Substitutes
| 15 | N. Boissé | D |
| 26 | R. Bamba | D |
| 7 | B. Brahimi | F |
| 22 | L. Calodat | D |
| 13 | H. Diallo | F |
| 20 | W. Harhouz | F |
| 1 | E. Hatfout | G |
| 8 | A. Lauray | M |
| 9 | A. Rabillard | F |
Toulouse
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Peerapong Pichitchotirat
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | G. Restes | G |
| 22 | R. Messali | D |
| 3 | M. McKenzie | D |
| 2 | R. Nicolaisen | D |
| 12 | C. Tapé | D |
| 23 | C. Cásseres | M |
| 14 | N. Sigur | M |
| 15 | A. Dønnum | M |
| 20 | C. Tengstedt | M |
| 8 | T. Jørgensen | M |
| 13 | J. Russell-Rowe | F |
Substitutes
| 6 | A. Vossah | M |
| 18 | M. Amougou | M |
| 1 | T. Collin | G |
| 94 | I. Diallo | D |
| 9 | S. Hidalgo | F |
| 5 | S. Koumbassa | D |
| 19 | D. Odogu | D |
| 31 | N. Schmidt | M |
| 7 | Julián Vignolo | F |