Marseille vs Strasbourg Previsione
Pronostico Marseille vs Strasbourg: Sportiko assegna a Marseille una probabilità di vittoria del 55%, a Strasbourg del 20% e al pareggio del 24%. Ultimo aggiornamento 21 Aug 2026, 20:44.
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Match Report
Marseille made it a dominant second-half display to open their Ligue 1 campaign with a commanding 4–0 victory over Strasbourg. A goalless first half gave little indication of what was to come, but Amine Gouiri broke the deadlock just seconds after the restart and doubled the lead from the penalty spot on 66 minutes to put Marseille firmly in control.
Strasbourg's task became virtually impossible when Samir El Mourabet was shown a red card on 59 minutes, reducing the visitors to ten men and allowing Marseille to dominate possession — finishing with 66% of the ball and an expected goals figure of 1.79 compared to Strasbourg's 0.20. The match stats underlined the gulf between the two sides, with Marseille registering seven shots on target to Strasbourg's two.
The hosts completed the rout in the closing stages, with Keyliane Abdallah adding a third on 89 minutes before Pierre-Emile Højbjerg capped the performance deep into stoppage time. The pre-match AI model had rated a Marseille win as the most likely outcome at 55%, a call that proved well-founded.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Marseille
Match Stats
Marseille
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Amine Gouiri F | 8.0 | 93' | 2 | – | 4 | 26 (23%) | 1 |
| 7 Angel Gomes M | 7.7 | 91' | – | 1 | 2 | 46 (45%) | 3 |
| 48 Keyliane Abdallah F | 7.6 | 10' | 1 | – | 1 | 13 (12%) | – |
| 4 Conrad Jaden Egan-Riley D | 7.2 | 75' | – | – | – | 73 (70%) | 1 |
| 23 Pierre-Emile Højbjerg M | 7.2 | 93' | – | – | 2 | 83 (75%) | 2 |
| 33 Emerson Palmieri D | 7.2 | 93' | – | – | – | 54 (47%) | 2 |
| 8 Himad Abdelli M | 7.2 | 83' | – | – | – | 58 (53%) | 2 |
| 19 Geoffrey Kondogbia D | 7.2 | 83' | – | – | – | 77 (72%) | 4 |
| 14 Igor Paixão M | 7.0 | 93' | – | – | 1 | 34 (29%) | 1 |
| 12 Jeffrey de Lange G | 6.9 | 93' | – | – | – | 31 (31%) | – |
| 21 Nayef Aguerd D | 6.7 | 18' | – | – | – | 24 (22%) | – |
| 6 Tochukwu Nnadi M | 6.6 | 10' | – | – | – | 20 (18%) | – |
| 13 Derek Cornelius D | 6.3 | 10' | – | – | – | 12 (12%) | – |
| 22 Tim Weah D | 6.3 | 93' | – | – | – | 69 (58%) | – |
| 77 Amine Harit M | 6.3 | 83' | – | – | 1 | 27 (22%) | 1 |
| 11 Neal Maupay F | — | 2' | – | – | – | – | – |
Strasbourg
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Giovanni Reyna M | 6.7 | 24' | – | – | – | 15 (15%) | – |
| 19 Fabio Baldé F | 6.7 | 14' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 30 Jacobo Ortega F | 6.7 | 24' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | 1 |
| 2 Andrew Omobamidele D | 6.6 | 93' | – | – | – | 37 (36%) | 3 |
| 1 Filip Jørgensen G | 6.6 | 93' | – | – | – | 36 (27%) | – |
| 80 Gessime Yassine M | 6.5 | 93' | – | – | 2 | 21 (16%) | 1 |
| 21 Pape Diop M | 6.5 | 24' | – | – | – | 17 (14%) | – |
| 11 Sebastian Nanasi M | 6.3 | 79' | – | – | – | 18 (16%) | 1 |
| 24 Lucas Høgsberg D | 6.3 | 93' | – | – | – | 58 (48%) | 1 |
| 16 Genesis Antwi D | 6.3 | 79' | – | – | – | 23 (19%) | 2 |
| 14 Sékou Mara F | 6.2 | 69' | – | – | – | 6 (6%) | 1 |
| 7 Samuel Amo-Ameyaw M | 6.2 | 69' | – | – | 1 | 15 (13%) | 1 |
| 15 Mateo Del Blanco D | 6.2 | 14' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
| 23 Diogo Sousa M | 5.9 | 69' | – | – | 1 | 19 (13%) | 2 |
| 29 Samir El Mourabet M | 5.3 | 59' | – | – | – | 27 (22%) | 2 |
| 22 Guéla Doué D | 5.2 | 93' | – | – | 1 | 26 (21%) | 2 |
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
A. Gouiri
4 gls
Gessime Yassine
2 gls
S. Amo-Ameyaw
2 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Marseille vs Strasbourg
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb 2026 | Marseille | 2 - 2 | Strasbourg |
| 26 Sep 2025 | Strasbourg | 1 - 2 | Marseille |
| 19 Jan 2025 | Marseille | 1 - 1 | Strasbourg |
Marseille — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Paris Saint Germain | L | 1 - 2 |
| 17 Sep | A Beşiktaş | L | 4 - 1 |
| 11 Sep | A Rennes | L | 1 - 0 |
| 06 Sep | H Paris FC | L | 2 - 3 |
| 30 Aug | A Monaco | L | 2 - 0 |
Strasbourg — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Paris FC | L | 2 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | H Monaco | D | 1 - 1 |
| 06 Sep | A Estac Troyes | W | 2 - 6 |
| 29 Aug | H Lens | W | 2 - 1 |
| 21 Aug | A Marseille | L | 4 - 0 |
Ligue 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Monaco
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 2 |
Lyon
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 2 | +8 | 11 |
| 3 |
Paris FC
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 11 |
| 4 |
Lille
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 |
Rennes
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 8 |
| 7 |
Angers
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 |
Strasbourg
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 |
Le Mans
|
5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 |
Auxerre
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 6 |
| 11 |
Stade Brestois 29
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 |
Lorient
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 |
Toulouse
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 |
Nice
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |
Lens
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 |
Estac Troyes
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 |
Marseille
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 3 |
| 18 |
Le Havre
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 2 |
Marseille
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Bruno Genesio
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Jeffrey De Lange | G |
| 22 | Timothy Weah | D |
| 4 | Conrad Jaden Egan-Riley | D |
| 19 | Geoffrey Kondogbia | D |
| 33 | Emerson | D |
| 8 | Himad Abdelli | M |
| 23 | Pierre-Emile Højbjerg | M |
| 7 | Angel Gomes | M |
| 77 | Amine Harit | F |
| 9 | Amine Gouiri | F |
| 14 | Igor Paixão | F |
Substitutes
| 92 | Théo Vermot | G |
| 13 | Derek Cornelius | D |
| 21 | Nayef Aguerd | D |
| 25 | Ulisses Garcia | D |
| 74 | Kelyann Bezahaf | D |
| 6 | Tochukwu Nnadi | M |
| 48 | Keyliane Abdallah | F |
| 43 | Tadjidine Mmadi | F |
| 11 | Neal Maupay | F |
Strasbourg
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Hugo Oliveira
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Filip Jørgensen | G |
| 22 | Guéla Doué | D |
| 2 | Andrew Omobamidele | D |
| 24 | Lucas Høgsberg | D |
| 16 | Genesis Antwi | D |
| 23 | Diogo Sousa | M |
| 29 | Samir El Mourabet | M |
| 7 | Samuel Amo-Ameyaw | M |
| 11 | Sebastian Nanasi | M |
| 80 | Gessime Yassine | M |
| 14 | Sékou Mara | F |
Substitutes
| 12 | Miłosz Piekutowski | G |
| 15 | Mateo Del Blanco | D |
| 4 | Jeyland Mitchell | D |
| 10 | Giovanni Reyna | M |
| 17 | Mathis Amougou | M |
| 21 | Pape Diop | M |
| 37 | Ghianny Kodia | F |
| 19 | Fabio Baldé | F |
| 30 | Jacobo Ortega | F |