AC Milan vs Genoa Previsione

Serie A · Regular Season - 25

21 Feb 2027, 17:30

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Genoa

Away

Previsione AI Genoa o pareggio

26%

34%

40%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico AC Milan vs Genoa: Sportiko assegna a AC Milan una probabilità di vittoria del 26%, a Genoa del 40% e al pareggio del 34%. Ultimo aggiornamento 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 15.1%

Both teams to score

42%

Over 2.5 goals

33%

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AC Milan

WLDDW

Genoa

LWDLL

Last 3 meetings AC Milan · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

In this Serie A matchup, AC Milan faces Genoa, with both teams striving for crucial points in the league. AC Milan has demonstrated strong form this season, currently sitting higher in the table, with a solid home record contributing to their overall performance. Genoa, while competitive, has struggled on the road, evidenced by their lower points tally away from home. Key players for Milan, particularly in attack and midfield, will be pivotal in breaking down Genoa's defense. A victory for Milan could solidify their position in the top tier, while Genoa will look to capitalize on any defensive lapses to secure a vital away result.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Genoa goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	15	13	9	3	1
1	10	15	8	3	1
2	5	6	3	1
3	2	2	1
4
5

↑ AC Milan goals · most likely 1–1 (15.1%)

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Players in form

AC Milan

Diego Moreira 3 gls

A. Rabiot 2 gls

Genoa

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

40%

Draw

34%

Home Win

26%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

38%

1.5

62%

67%

2.5

33%

85%

3.5

15%

95%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

40%

Draw

34%

Home Win

26%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

60% Away (No Draw) 40% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

17% Away Win by 2+ 9% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

40% Away Scores More 34% Equal Goals 26% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

38%

1.5

62%

67%

2.5

33%

85%

3.5

15%

95%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

15%

23%

29%

18%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	15.0%	13.4%	8.6%	3.3%	0.9%
1	10.0%	15.1%	7.6%	2.9%	0.8%
2	5.1%	5.9%	3.3%	1.3%	0.4%
3	1.5%	1.7%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%
4	0.3%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

76%

1.5

24%

94%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

41%

35%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

68%

1.5

32%

90%

2.5

10%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

34%

22%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	AC Milan	Draw	Genoa
AC Milan	15.1%	4.1%	1.6%
Draw	11.2%	23.6%	16.2%
Genoa	1.1%	3.9%	23.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

41%

37%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

67%

0.5

33%

94%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

69%

1.5

31%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

32%

37%

21%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

60%

0.5

40%

91%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: AC Milan vs Genoa

2 AC Milan Wins

1 Draws

0 Genoa Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
17 May 2026	Genoa	1 - 2	AC Milan
08 Jan 2026	AC Milan	1 - 1	Genoa
05 May 2025	Genoa	1 - 2	AC Milan

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AC Milan — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Lecce	W	3 - 0
16 Sep	H Benfica	L	0 - 2
12 Sep	A Lazio	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	A Juventus	D	1 - 1
28 Aug	H Venezia	W	2 - 0

Genoa — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Parma	L	2 - 1
15 Sep	H Sudtirol	W	1 - 0
12 Sep	H Frosinone	D	1 - 1
04 Sep	H Como	L	1 - 4
30 Aug	A Lazio	L	1 - 0

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14	3	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15	8	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5	2	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10	4	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	9	4	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9	6	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9	9	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5	7	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5	10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8	11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5	8	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	8	12	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6	12	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3	6	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3	10	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4	13	-9	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.