Frosinone vs Fiorentina Previsione

Serie A · Regular Season - 24

14 Feb 2027, 17:30

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Fiorentina

Away

Stadio Benito Stirpe, Frosinone

Previsione AI Frosinone o pareggio

39%

30%

31%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Frosinone vs Fiorentina: Sportiko assegna a Frosinone una probabilità di vittoria del 39%, a Fiorentina del 31% e al pareggio del 30%. Ultimo aggiornamento 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 14.4%

Both teams to score

53%

Over 2.5 goals

46%

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Frosinone

WDWDW

Fiorentina

DWWLL

Last 3 meetings Frosinone · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Frosinone will face Fiorentina in what promises to be a competitive Serie A clash. Frosinone's recent form shows a struggle in both defense and attack, with a goal difference of -10 over their last five matches. In contrast, Fiorentina has been more consistent, showcasing a robust offense that averages 1.8 goals per game this season. Given Fiorentina's higher ranking and form, they will likely look to exploit Frosinone's vulnerabilities, particularly in set-pieces and transitions. The match could hinge on Frosinone's ability to maintain defensive discipline against Fiorentina's attacking threats.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

39%

10%

Draw

30%

45%

Away

31%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Fiorentina goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	8	6	2	1
1	9	14	7	3	1
2	7	9	5	2	1
3	3	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Frosinone goals · most likely 1–1 (14.4%)

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Players in form

Frosinone

A. Raimondo 4 gls

G. Kvernadze 3 gls

Fiorentina

Franco Mastantuono 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

39%

Away Win

31%

Draw

30%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

39%

Away Win

31%

Draw

30%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

56% Home (No Draw) 44% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

19% Home Win by 2+ 13% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

39% Home Scores More 31% Away Scores More 30% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.7%	7.8%	5.5%	2.2%	0.6%
1	9.3%	14.4%	7.5%	2.9%	0.9%
2	7.4%	8.6%	5.0%	2.0%	0.6%
3	3.3%	3.9%	2.3%	0.9%	0.3%
4	1.1%	1.3%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

68%

1.5

32%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

31%

26%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Frosinone	Draw	Fiorentina
Frosinone	23.3%	4.4%	1.7%
Draw	15.0%	19.1%	12.2%
Fiorentina	2.1%	4.4%	17.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

26%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

31%

36%

21%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Frosinone vs Fiorentina

1 Frosinone Wins

1 Draws

1 Fiorentina Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
29 Aug 2026	Fiorentina	0 - 3	Frosinone
11 Feb 2024	Fiorentina	5 - 1	Frosinone
28 Sep 2023	Frosinone	1 - 1	Fiorentina

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Frosinone — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Como	W	2 - 0
12 Sep	A Genoa	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	H Venezia	W	3 - 2
02 Sep	A Sassuolo	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	A Fiorentina	W	0 - 3

Fiorentina — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Napoli	D	1 - 1
15 Sep	H Pisa	W	3 - 0
11 Sep	A Venezia	W	2 - 4
05 Sep	H Torino	L	1 - 2
29 Aug	H Frosinone	L	0 - 3

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14	3	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15	8	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5	2	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10	4	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	9	4	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9	6	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9	9	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5	7	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5	10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8	11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5	8	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	8	12	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6	12	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3	6	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3	10	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4	13	-9	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.