Fiorentina vs Atalanta Previsione

Serie A · Regular Season - 9

28 Oct 2026, 17:30

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Atalanta

Away

Previsione AI Atalanta o pareggio

31%

32%

37%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Fiorentina vs Atalanta: Sportiko assegna a Fiorentina una probabilità di vittoria del 31%, a Atalanta del 37% e al pareggio del 32%. Ultimo aggiornamento 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 15%

Both teams to score

48%

Over 2.5 goals

41%

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Fiorentina

DWWLL

Atalanta

LLLWW

Last 3 meetings Fiorentina · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Fiorentina faces Atalanta in a crucial Serie A clash. Both teams have shown strong attacking capabilities, with Atalanta averaging 2.1 goals per match this season, while Fiorentina sits at 1.8. Defensively, Fiorentina has conceded 1.2 goals per game compared to Atalanta's slightly better record of 1.0. The match will likely hinge on Fiorentina's ability to contain Atalanta's potent forward line, especially with their dynamic play on the flanks. Expect a competitive encounter as both sides vie for points in the race for European qualification.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Atalanta goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	12	10	7	3	1
1	9	15	8	3	1
2	6	7	4	2	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Fiorentina goals · most likely 1–1 (15.0%)

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Players in form

Fiorentina

Franco Mastantuono 3 gls

Atalanta

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

37%

Draw

32%

Home Win

31%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 48% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

31%

1.5

69%

59%

2.5

41%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

37%

Draw

32%

Home Win

31%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

54% Away (No Draw) 46% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

16% Away Win by 2+ 13% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

37% Away Scores More 32% Equal Goals 31% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

31%

1.5

69%

59%

2.5

41%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 48% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

20%

28%

20%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.7%	10.3%	7.3%	2.9%	0.9%
1	9.2%	15.0%	8.0%	3.2%	1.0%
2	6.0%	7.3%	4.4%	1.8%	0.5%
3	2.2%	2.7%	1.6%	0.7%	0.2%
4	0.6%	0.7%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

37%

34%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Fiorentina	Draw	Atalanta
Fiorentina	18.4%	4.4%	1.8%
Draw	12.5%	20.9%	14.6%
Atalanta	1.5%	4.2%	21.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

33%

37%

20%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Fiorentina vs Atalanta

1 Fiorentina Wins

1 Draws

1 Atalanta Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
22 May 2026	Fiorentina	1 - 1	Atalanta
30 Nov 2025	Atalanta	2 - 0	Fiorentina
30 Mar 2025	Fiorentina	1 - 0	Atalanta

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Fiorentina — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Napoli	D	1 - 1
15 Sep	H Pisa	W	3 - 0
11 Sep	A Venezia	W	2 - 4
05 Sep	H Torino	L	1 - 2
29 Aug	H Frosinone	L	0 - 3

Atalanta — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Juventus	L	2 - 0
12 Sep	H Cagliari	L	1 - 2
05 Sep	A AS Roma	L	2 - 1
31 Aug	H Bologna	W	1 - 0
27 Aug	A Hapoel Tel Aviv	W	0 - 1

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14	3	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15	8	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5	2	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10	4	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	9	4	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9	6	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9	9	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5	7	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5	10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8	11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5	8	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	8	12	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6	12	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3	6	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3	10	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4	13	-9	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.