Fiorentina vs Atalanta Previsione

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 9
FT
Post on X
Stadio Artemio Franchi, Firenze
Previsione AI Fiorentina o pareggio
42%
26%
33%
Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Fiorentina vs Atalanta: Sportiko assegna a Fiorentina una probabilità di vittoria del 42%, a Atalanta del 33% e al pareggio del 26%. Ultimo aggiornamento 29 Oct 2026, 21:48.

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  • Casa o Trasferta 74%
  • 1st Half Home or Draw 70%
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Match Report

Atalanta dominated possession and territory throughout this Serie A clash, but a dramatic second half saw Fiorentina rescue a point in a 2–2 draw at the Stadio Artemio Franchi. The visitors took a deserved lead through Charles De Ketelaere just before half-time, with Atalanta controlling 60% of possession and generating 26 total shots across the contest.

Fiorentina turned the game around after the break, with Alieu Njie equalising in the 53rd minute before João Mário put the hosts ahead on 61 minutes. Atalanta responded swiftly, however, as Nicola Zalewski levelled at 74 minutes to ensure the points were shared. The home side's xG of 1.1 against Atalanta's 1.6 reflected the visitors' overall superiority, though Fiorentina's clinical finishing proved decisive in key moments.

The result was notable given Fiorentina's limited attacking output — just five shots on goal — yet they converted twice in an eight-minute spell. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Fiorentina win as the most likely outcome at 42%, a call that nearly proved correct before Zalewski's late intervention denied the hosts all three points.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⇄ 4'
Thomas Kristensen ⇄ Giorgio Scalvini
▮ 12'
Eljif Elmas Yellow Card
Viery Yellow Card
30' ▮
⚽ 0–1 41'
Charles De Ketelaere assist: Nicola Zalewski
Nicolò Fagioli ⇄ Christ Inao Oulaï
45' ⇄
HT 0–1
Mateo Pellegrino Yellow Card
51' ▮
Alieu Njie assist: Álex Jiménez
53' ⚽ 1–1
⇄ 57'
Gianluca Gaetano ⇄ Mario Pašalić
⇄ 58'
Eljif Elmas ⇄ Jonathan Rowe
João Mário assist: Alieu Njie
61' ⚽ 2–1
Alieu Njie ⇄ Wilfried Gnonto
69' ⇄
⚽ 2–2 74'
Nicola Zalewski assist: Charles De Ketelaere
Wilfried Gnonto Yellow Card
75' ▮
▮ 83'
Relja Obrić Yellow Card
⇄ 84'
Nicola Zalewski ⇄ Kamaldeen Sulemana
Franco Mastantuono ⇄ Pedro Gonçalves
90+1' ⇄
Mateo Pellegrino ⇄ Beto
90+1' ⇄
FT 2–2
Fiorentina

Match Stats

Atalanta
60% Ball Possession 40%
1.6 Expected Goals (xG) 1.1
26 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Goal 5
14 Shots off Goal 2
8 Blocked Shots 3
11 Shots insidebox 8
14 Shots outsidebox 2
8 Corner Kicks 2
0 Offsides 1
10 Fouls 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
3 Goalkeeper Saves 2
459 Total passes 477
401 Passes accurate 409
12 Free Kicks 9
Fiorentina
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
25 Alieu Njie F 8.8 69' 1 1 2 21 (16%) 2
20 Álex Jiménez D 7.8 90' – 1 4 54 (49%) 6
17 João Mário D 7.5 90' 1 – 5 52 (49%) –
33 Viery D 6.8 90' – – – 70 (65%) 3
42 Christ Inao Oulaï M 6.7 44' – – 1 20 (18%) 1
43 David De Gea G 6.5 90' – – – 30 (23%) –
44 Nicolò Fagioli M 6.4 46' – – 1 38 (34%) –
4 Marco Brescianini M 6.3 90' – – 2 32 (27%) –
3 Radu Drăguşin D 6.3 90' – – – 57 (50%) –
30 Franco Mastantuono F 6.2 91' – – 4 33 (29%) 6
27 Cher Ndour M 6.2 90' – – 2 36 (30%) 3
29 Wilfried Gnonto F 6.1 21' – – 2 11 (9%) –
32 Mateo Pellegrino F 6.0 91' – – 2 7 (2%) 1
Atalanta
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
59 Nicola Zalewski M 8.9 84' 1 1 1 34 (31%) 6
17 Charles De Ketelaere M 7.9 90' 1 1 2 34 (21%) –
47 Lorenzo Bernasconi D 6.8 90' – – 1 40 (37%) 4
99 Eljif Elmas M 6.8 58' – – 1 28 (26%) 5
77 Davide Zappacosta D 6.7 90' – – – 36 (31%) 1
11 Jonathan Rowe F 6.6 32' – – 1 12 (8%) 1
42 Giorgio Scalvini D 6.6 86' – – – 75 (69%) 1
7 Kamaldeen Sulemana F 6.5 6' – – – – –
40 Relja Obrić D 6.5 90' – – – 57 (52%) 4
70 Gianluca Gaetano M 6.4 57' – – 2 39 (34%) 1
90 Nikola Krstović F 6.3 90' – – 2 18 (11%) 1
31 Thomas Kristensen D 6.3 4' – – – 1 –
8 Mario Pašalić M 6.2 33' – – – 18 (16%) –
29 Marco Carnesecchi G 6.1 90' – – – 42 (31%) –
13 Éderson M 5.9 90' – – – 46 (42%) 3
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Confidence Low (42%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio
Fiorentina o pareggio
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Fiorentina
WDLLL
Atalanta
DLDDL
Last 3 meetings Fiorentina · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Fiorentina faces Atalanta in a crucial Serie A clash. Both teams have shown strong attacking capabilities, with Atalanta averaging 2.1 goals per match this season, while Fiorentina sits at 1.8. Defensively, Fiorentina has conceded 1.2 goals per game compared to Atalanta's slightly better record of 1.0. The match will likely hinge on Fiorentina's ability to contain Atalanta's potent forward line, especially with their dynamic play on the flanks. Expect a competitive encounter as both sides vie for points in the race for European qualification.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Players in form

Fiorentina
Franco Mastantuono 4 gls
Atalanta
N. Krstović 6 gls

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Head to Head: Fiorentina vs Atalanta

1 Fiorentina Wins
1 Draws
1 Atalanta Wins
Date Home Score Away
22 May 2026 Fiorentina 1 - 1 Atalanta
30 Nov 2025 Atalanta 2 - 0 Fiorentina
30 Mar 2025 Fiorentina 1 - 0 Atalanta
Vedi tutti i 10 incontri — Premium

Fiorentina — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
02 Nov A Sassuolo W 2 - 4
29 Oct H Atalanta D 2 - 2
25 Oct A Inter L 2 - 1
18 Oct H Como L 1 - 3
10 Oct A Genoa L 2 - 1

Atalanta — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Nov H Kairat Almaty D 1 - 1
02 Nov H Parma L 0 - 3
29 Oct A Fiorentina D 2 - 2
25 Oct H Frosinone D 4 - 4
22 Oct A Ajax L 2 - 0

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Lazio
10 9 1 0 +16 28
2
AS Roma
11 8 3 0 +21 27
3
Inter
10 8 1 1 +13 25
4
Como
10 7 2 1 +10 23
5
AC Milan
10 6 3 1 +9 21
6
Frosinone
11 6 2 3 +9 20
7
Juventus
10 5 2 3 +3 17
8
Bologna
11 5 2 4 +2 17
9
Cagliari
11 5 1 5 -5 16
10
Napoli
10 4 2 4 +4 14
11
Torino
11 4 2 5 -2 14
12
Genoa
10 4 1 5 -4 13
13
Atalanta
10 3 2 5 -4 11
14
Lecce
11 3 1 7 -10 10
15
Fiorentina
10 2 2 6 -8 8
16
Parma
11 2 2 7 -8 8
17
Sassuolo
11 2 2 7 -13 8
18
Monza
10 2 1 7 -7 7
19
Venezia
11 2 0 9 -13 6
20
Udinese
11 1 2 8 -13 5

Atalanta

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: M. Sarri
29 Carnesecchi
47 Bernasconi
40 Obrić
31 Kristensen
77 Zappacosta
13 Éderson
70 Gaetano
59 Zalewski
17 Ketelaere
99 Elmas
90 Krstović

Starting XI

# Player Pos
29 M. Carnesecchi G
77 D. Zappacosta D
31 T. Kristensen D
40 R. Obrić D
47 L. Bernasconi D
70 G. Gaetano M
13 Éderson M
99 E. Elmas M
17 C. De Ketelaere M
59 N. Zalewski M
90 N. Krstović F

Substitutes

11 J. Rowe F
7 K. Sulemana F
57 M. Sportiello G
51 M. Sonzogni G
42 G. Scalvini D
10 L. Samardžić M
53 M. Plaia D
8 Mario Pasalic M
41 J. Idele M

Fiorentina

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: P. Vanoli
43 Gea
17 Mário
33 Viery
3 Drăgușin
20 Jiménez
4 Brescianini
44 Fagioli
27 Ndour
25 Njie
32 Pellegrino
30 Mastantuono

Starting XI

# Player Pos
43 David de Gea G
20 Álex Jiménez D
3 R. Drăgușin D
33 Viery D
17 João Mário D
27 C. Ndour M
44 N. Fagioli M
4 M. Brescianini M
30 Franco Mastantuono F
32 Mateo Pellegrino F
25 A. Njie F

Substitutes

53 O. Christensen G
2 Dodô D
29 W. Gnonto F
23 Beto F
21 Valde D
73 Antonio Pirrò M
28 Pote M
72 B. Mazzeo F
19 L. Lezzerini G
42 C. Inao Oulaï M
75 D. Beldenti D

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