Napoli vs AS Roma Previsione

Serie A · Regular Season - 8

25 Oct 2026, 17:30

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AS Roma

Away

Previsione AI Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Napoli

54%

27%

19%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Napoli vs AS Roma: Sportiko assegna a Napoli una probabilità di vittoria del 54%, a AS Roma del 19% e al pareggio del 27%. Ultimo aggiornamento 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 13%

Both teams to score

50%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

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Napoli

DWLLL

AS Roma

DWDWW

Last 3 meetings Napoli · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A clash between Napoli and AS Roma, both teams will be eager to secure crucial points. Napoli currently boasts a strong home record, with a win rate of over 65% at their ground this season, while AS Roma has shown resilience in away matches, maintaining a solid defense. The key players to watch include Napoli's prolific striker, who has netted 10 goals this season, and Roma's midfield maestro, contributing significantly to their attacking plays. Tactical battles in midfield will likely dictate the match's tempo, making it a must-watch encounter for fans.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

54%

45%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

19%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

AS Roma goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	9	5	3	1
1	11	13	5	2
2	11	10	4	1
3	6	5	2	1
4	3	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Napoli goals · most likely 1–1 (13.0%)

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Players in form

Napoli

No scorer data.

AS Roma

D. Malen 6 gls

M. Soulé 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

54%

Draw

27%

Away Win

19%

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS Yes 50% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

54%

Draw

27%

Away Win

19%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

74% Home (No Draw) 26% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

30% Home Win by 2+ 7% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

54% Home Scores More 27% Equal Goals 19% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS Yes 50% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.0%	5.3%	3.1%	0.9%	0.2%
1	11.2%	13.0%	5.2%	1.6%	0.4%
2	10.7%	9.7%	4.4%	1.3%	0.3%
3	6.0%	5.5%	2.5%	0.8%	0.2%
4	2.6%	2.3%	1.1%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Napoli	Draw	AS Roma
Napoli	34.1%	3.9%	1.1%
Draw	18.9%	17.3%	7.8%
AS Roma	2.4%	3.9%	10.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

50%

1.5

50%

77%

2.5

23%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

19%

31%

27%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

40%

37%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Napoli vs AS Roma

1 Napoli Wins

2 Draws

0 AS Roma Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
15 Feb 2026	Napoli	2 - 2	AS Roma
30 Nov 2025	AS Roma	0 - 1	Napoli
02 Feb 2025	AS Roma	1 - 1	Napoli

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Napoli — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Fiorentina	D	1 - 1
13 Sep	H Bologna	W	1 - 0
09 Sep	H Arsenal	L	0 - 1
05 Sep	A Inter	L	3 - 2
30 Aug	H Como	L	1 - 2

AS Roma — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Inter	D	2 - 2
14 Sep	A Torino	W	0 - 2
10 Sep	A Fenerbahçe	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	H Atalanta	W	2 - 1
31 Aug	A Lecce	W	0 - 4

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14	3	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15	8	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5	2	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10	4	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	9	4	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9	6	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9	9	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5	7	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5	10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8	11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5	8	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	8	12	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6	12	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3	6	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3	10	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4	13	-9	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.