Bologna vs Inter Previsione

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 7
FT
Post on X
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna
Previsione AI Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Inter
17%
24%
60%
Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Bologna vs Inter: Sportiko assegna a Bologna una probabilità di vittoria del 17%, a Inter del 60% e al pareggio del 24%. Ultimo aggiornamento 17 Oct 2026, 17:56.

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  • Away 2H Over 0.5 73%
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Match Report

Bologna fell behind early when Tommaso Pobega opened the scoring in the 10th minute, giving the hosts a promising start at the Dall'Ara. However, Inter quickly asserted their dominance in possession and Marcus Thuram levelled matters on 44 minutes to ensure the sides went in level at the break.

The second half belonged to Inter. Carlos Augusto put the visitors ahead on 69 minutes, and despite a flurry of substitutions and yellow cards on both sides keeping the match feisty, Inter maintained control. The xG figures told the story clearly — Inter generated 3.41 expected goals to Bologna's 0.98, and their 65% possession advantage reflected a comfortable authority throughout. Our pre-match AI model had rated an Inter win as the most likely outcome at 60%, a call that proved accurate. Ange-Yoan Bonny added a fourth for Inter in the 83rd minute to seal the points.

Bologna's afternoon was further complicated by bookings for Theate, Pobega, Miranda, and Bernardeschi, while Inter also collected their share of cards. Ultimately, the result was a convincing away win that the statistics fully supported.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Tommaso Pobega assist: Juan Miranda
10' ⚽ 1–0
Roberto Piccoli ⇄ Jay Enem
30' ⇄
Arthur Theate Yellow Card
34' ▮
▮ 35'
Francesco Pio Esposito Yellow Card
⚽ 1–1 44'
Marcus Thuram assist: Nicolò Barella
HT 1–1
Tommaso Pobega Yellow Card
57' ▮
⇄ 58'
Francesco Pio Esposito ⇄ Ange-Yoan Bonny
▮ 61'
Marcus Thuram Yellow Card
Arthur Theate ⇄ Eivind Helland
63' ⇄
⚽ 1–2 69'
Carlos Augusto assist: Piotr Zieliński
⇄ 69'
Federico Dimarco ⇄ Carlos Augusto
⇄ 69'
Luís Henrique ⇄ Andy Diouf
Juan Miranda Yellow Card
71' ▮
Federico Bernardeschi Yellow Card
72' ▮
Nicolò Cambiaghi ⇄ Artem Dovbyk
76' ⇄
Tommaso Pobega ⇄ Nikola Moro
76' ⇄
▮ 79'
Carlos Augusto Yellow Card
⇄ 79'
Piotr Zieliński ⇄ Hakan Çalhanoğlu
⇄ 79'
Marcus Thuram ⇄ Henrikh Mkhitaryan
⚽ 1–3 83'
Ange-Yoan Bonny assist: Carlos Augusto
FT 1–3
Bologna

Match Stats

Inter
35% Ball Possession 65%
0.98 Expected Goals (xG) 3.41
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Goal 8
5 Shots off Goal 5
2 Blocked Shots 4
6 Shots insidebox 11
5 Shots outsidebox 6
2 Corner Kicks 7
2 Offsides 3
9 Fouls 11
4 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
5 Goalkeeper Saves 3
360 Total passes 683
296 Passes accurate 624
8 Free Kicks 7
Bologna
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
4 Tommaso Pobega M 7.7 76' 1 – 3 23 (18%) 3
1 Łukasz Skorupski G 6.7 90' – – – 31 (18%) –
19 Lewis Ferguson M 6.5 90' – – – 60 (57%) –
33 Juan Miranda M 6.5 90' – 1 – 35 (28%) 2
36 Matteo Darmian D 6.4 90' – – – 29 (26%) 1
22 Jay Enem F 6.3 60' – – 1 8 (5%) 1
9 Artem Dovbyk F 6.3 14' – – – – –
91 Roberto Piccoli F 6.2 30' – – – 2 (2%) –
16 Nicolò Casale D 6.2 90' – – – 26 (22%) 2
10 Federico Bernardeschi M 6.1 90' – – 2 31 (24%) –
28 Nicolò Cambiaghi M 6.1 76' – – 2 14 (12%) 2
5 Eivind Helland D 6.0 27' – – – 20 (19%) 1
3 Arthur Theate D 5.8 63' – – 1 36 (29%) –
6 Nikola Moro M 5.8 14' – – – 19 (18%) –
20 Nadir Zortea M 5.2 90' – – 2 23 (15%) –
Inter
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
23 Nicolò Barella M 7.7 90' – 1 3 71 (62%) –
7 Piotr Zieliński M 7.7 79' – 1 1 61 (56%) –
9 Marcus Thuram F 7.6 79' 1 – 2 18 (14%) 2
25 Manuel Akanji D 7.5 90' – – – 75 (75%) 4
30 Carlos Augusto D 7.4 21' 1 1 1 16 (15%) –
14 Ange-Yoan Bonny F 7.3 32' 1 – 3 9 (9%) –
8 Petar Sučić M 7.2 90' – – 3 80 (75%) 1
1 Josep Martínez G 7.0 90' – – – 31 (29%) –
95 Alessandro Bastoni D 6.9 90' – – – 91 (83%) 2
32 Federico Dimarco M 6.7 69' – – 1 42 (32%) –
31 Yann Bisseck D 6.7 90' – – – 87 (83%) –
11 Luís Henrique M 6.6 69' – – 2 51 (46%) –
20 Hakan Çalhanoğlu M 6.4 11' – – – 15 (14%) 1
94 Francesco Pio Esposito F 6.3 58' – – 1 15 (12%) –
22 Henrikh Mkhitaryan M 6.3 11' – – – 11 (10%) –
17 Andy Diouf M 6.2 21' – – – 10 (9%) –
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Confidence Medium (60%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio
Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Inter
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Bologna
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Inter
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Last 3 meetings Bologna · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A match, Bologna hosts Inter, a clash that promises to be competitive. Bologna has shown resilience this season, with a solid defensive record, averaging 1.1 goals conceded per match. Conversely, Inter enters the game as one of the league’s top scorers, netting an average of 2.2 goals per match, showcasing their attacking prowess. The match will hinge on Bologna's ability to contain Inter's dynamic forwards while maximizing their own scoring opportunities. Expect a tactical battle as both teams aim to secure crucial points in the league standings.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
17%
10%
Draw
24%
45%
Away
60%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Bologna

No scorer data.

Inter
M. Thuram 5 gls
Lautaro Martínez 4 gls

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Head to Head: Bologna vs Inter

1 Bologna Wins
1 Draws
1 Inter Wins
Date Home Score Away
23 May 2026 Bologna 3 - 3 Inter
04 Jan 2026 Inter 3 - 1 Bologna
20 Apr 2025 Bologna 1 - 0 Inter
Vedi tutti i 10 incontri — Premium

Bologna — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov A Parma W 1 - 2
31 Oct H Monza W 2 - 1
28 Oct A AC Milan W 2 - 4
24 Oct A Cagliari W 0 - 2
17 Oct H Inter L 1 - 3

Inter — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
03 Nov A Feyenoord W 0 - 3
31 Oct A AC Milan L 3 - 1
28 Oct A Venezia W 0 - 2
25 Oct H Fiorentina W 2 - 1
21 Oct H Shakhtar Donetsk W 1 - 0

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Lazio
10 9 1 0 +16 28
2
AS Roma
11 8 3 0 +21 27
3
Inter
10 8 1 1 +13 25
4
Como
10 7 2 1 +10 23
5
AC Milan
10 6 3 1 +9 21
6
Frosinone
11 6 2 3 +9 20
7
Juventus
10 5 2 3 +3 17
8
Bologna
11 5 2 4 +2 17
9
Cagliari
11 5 1 5 -5 16
10
Napoli
10 4 2 4 +4 14
11
Torino
11 4 2 5 -2 14
12
Genoa
10 4 1 5 -4 13
13
Atalanta
10 3 2 5 -4 11
14
Lecce
11 3 1 7 -10 10
15
Fiorentina
10 2 2 6 -8 8
16
Parma
11 2 2 7 -8 8
17
Sassuolo
11 2 2 7 -13 8
18
Monza
10 2 1 7 -7 7
19
Venezia
11 2 0 9 -13 6
20
Udinese
11 1 2 8 -13 5

Bologna

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Seong-jae Kim
1 Skorupski
3 Theate
16 Casale
36 Darmian
33 Miranda
4 Pobega
19 Ferguson
20 Zortea
28 Cambiaghi
10 Bernardeschi
91 Piccoli

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Ł. Skorupski G
36 M. Darmian D
16 N. Casale D
3 A. Theate D
20 N. Zortea M
19 L. Ferguson M
4 T. Pobega M
33 Juan Miranda M
10 F. Bernardeschi M
28 N. Cambiaghi M
91 R. Piccoli F

Substitutes

22 J. Enem F
5 E. Helland D
17 O. El Azzouzi M
72 U. Happonen G
14 T. Heggem D
9 A. Dovbyk F
18 M. Libra M
11 S. Mbangula F
8 M. Amondarain M
29 L. De Silvestri D
6 N. Moro M
21 J. Odgaard F
25 M. Pessina G
41 M. Vitík D
23 R. Alhassane D

Inter

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: C. Chivu
1 Martínez
95 Bastoni
25 Akanji
31 Bisseck
32 Dimarco
8 Sučić
7 Zieliński
23 Barella
11 Henrique
94 Esposito
9 Thuram

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Josep Martínez G
31 Y. Bisseck D
25 M. Akanji D
95 A. Bastoni D
11 Luis Henrique M
23 N. Barella M
7 P. Zieliński M
8 P. Sučić M
32 F. Dimarco M
9 M. Thuram F
94 F. Esposito F

Substitutes

14 A. Bonny F
46 L. Bovio D
20 H. Çalhanoğlu M
30 Carlos Augusto D
12 R. Di Gennaro G
17 A. Diouf M
22 H. Mkhitaryan M
48 M. Mosconi F
49 I. Provedel G
99 D. Spence D
5 A. Stanković M

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