AC Milan vs Atalanta Previsione

Serie A · Regular Season - 7

18 Oct 2026, 16:30

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Atalanta

Away

Previsione AI Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Atalanta

11%

27%

61%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico AC Milan vs Atalanta: Sportiko assegna a AC Milan una probabilità di vittoria del 11%, a Atalanta del 61% e al pareggio del 27%. Ultimo aggiornamento 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

0:1 · 17.5%

Both teams to score

35%

Over 2.5 goals

36%

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AC Milan

WLDDW

Atalanta

LLLWW

Last 3 meetings AC Milan · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A clash, AC Milan will face Atalanta in what promises to be a tightly contested encounter. Milan's recent form has shown strength in both attack and defense, boasting a solid average of 1.8 goals per match while conceding just 0.9. Atalanta, known for their high-scoring games, will look to exploit any defensive lapses with their average of 2.1 goals per match. The tactical battle will hinge on Milan's ability to contain Atalanta's dynamic offense while capitalizing on set pieces and counter-attacks. This match could be pivotal in the race for European qualification.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Atalanta goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	13	17	15	8	3	1
1	5	12	8	4	2	1
2	2	3	2	1
3		1
4
5

↑ AC Milan goals · most likely 0–1 (17.5%)

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Players in form

AC Milan

Diego Moreira 3 gls

A. Rabiot 2 gls

Atalanta

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

61%

Draw

27%

Home Win

11%

Both Teams To Score

65% BTTS No 35% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

36%

1.5

64%

2.5

36%

84%

3.5

16%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

61%

Draw

27%

Home Win

11%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

84% Away (No Draw) 16% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

34% Away Win by 2+ 3% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

61% Away Scores More 27% Equal Goals 11% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

36%

1.5

64%

2.5

36%

84%

3.5

16%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

65% BTTS No 35% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

23%

28%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.2%	17.5%	15.0%	7.9%	3.2%
1	5.2%	11.7%	8.2%	4.4%	1.7%
2	1.8%	2.9%	2.3%	1.2%	0.5%
3	0.3%	0.5%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%
4	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

74%

1.5

26%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

39%

35%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

32%

34%

22%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	AC Milan	Draw	Atalanta
AC Milan	6.2%	3.0%	1.8%
Draw	5.2%	19.6%	22.4%
Atalanta	0.5%	2.9%	38.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

89%

1.5

11%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

58%

32%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

78%

0.5

22%

97%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

53%

1.5

47%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: AC Milan vs Atalanta

0 AC Milan Wins

1 Draws

2 Atalanta Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
10 May 2026	AC Milan	2 - 3	Atalanta
28 Oct 2025	Atalanta	1 - 1	AC Milan
20 Apr 2025	AC Milan	0 - 1	Atalanta

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AC Milan — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Lecce	W	3 - 0
16 Sep	H Benfica	L	0 - 2
12 Sep	A Lazio	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	A Juventus	D	1 - 1
28 Aug	H Venezia	W	2 - 0

Atalanta — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Juventus	L	2 - 0
12 Sep	H Cagliari	L	1 - 2
05 Sep	A AS Roma	L	2 - 1
31 Aug	H Bologna	W	1 - 0
27 Aug	A Hapoel Tel Aviv	W	0 - 1

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14	3	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15	8	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5	2	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10	4	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	9	4	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9	6	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9	9	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5	7	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5	10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8	11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5	8	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	8	12	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6	12	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3	6	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3	10	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4	13	-9	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.