Genoa vs Como Previsione

Serie A · Regular Season - 3

Post on X

Como

Away

Previsione AI Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Como

20%

28%

52%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Genoa vs Como: Sportiko assegna a Genoa una probabilità di vittoria del 20%, a Como del 52% e al pareggio del 28%. Ultimo aggiornamento 4 Sep 2026, 20:40.

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Under 3.5 Gol 76%
2nd Half Over 0.5 72%

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Match Report

Genoa were swept aside at home as Como delivered a commanding Serie A performance, running out convincing 4–1 winners. The visitors took control early, with Milutin Osmajić opening the scoring in the 19th minute before Martin Baturina and Assane Diao struck in quick succession. Nico Paz added a fourth before the break, leaving Genoa with an insurmountable deficit at half-time despite holding 38% of the ball across the match.

The second half offered little relief for the hosts. Genoa struggled to threaten, managing just two shots on target across the entire game compared to Como's nine, while the visitors' 62% possession reflected their dominance throughout. Diao wrapped up the scoring with his second goal in the 78th minute, capping a thoroughly professional away display.

Como's only blemish was a solitary Genoa goal, though the result was never seriously in doubt after their devastating first-half burst. Our pre-match AI model had flagged a Como win as the most likely outcome at 52%, a call that proved well-founded as the visitors controlled proceedings from start to finish.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Milutin Osmajić assist: Lorenzo Colombo

19' ⚽ 1–0

⚽ 1–1 25'

Martin Baturina assist: Álex Valle

⚽ 1–2 30'

Assane Diao

Djibril Sow Yellow Card

36' ▮

⚽ 1–3 40'

Nico Paz assist: Yan Couto

Stefano Sabelli ⇄ Vitinha

45' ⇄

HT 1–3

▮ 60'

Martin Baturina Yellow Card

Leo Østigård Yellow Card

62' ▮

⇄ 66'

Anastasios Douvikas ⇄ Moise Kean

⇄ 66'

Martin Baturina ⇄ Maxence Caqueret

Tommaso Baldanzi ⇄ Kingsley Ehizibue

66' ⇄

Lorenzo Colombo ⇄ Junior Messias

66' ⇄

Djibril Sow ⇄ Alexsandro Amorim

75' ⇄

⚽ 1–4 78'

Assane Diao assist: Moise Kean

⇄ 79'

Lucas Da Cunha ⇄ Samuele Ricci

⇄ 80'

Nico Paz ⇄ Luis Milla

Alessandro Marcandalli ⇄ Franz-Ethan Meichtry

81' ⇄

⇄ 84'

Assane Diao ⇄ Mattia Liberali

FT 1–4

Genoa

Match Stats

Como

38% Ball Possession 62%

11 Total Shots 20

2 Shots on Goal 9

5 Shots off Goal 6

4 Blocked Shots 5

8 Shots insidebox 9

3 Shots outsidebox 11

5 Corner Kicks 4

6 Offsides 2

8 Fouls 7

2 Yellow Cards 1

0 Red Cards 0

5 Goalkeeper Saves 1

360 Total passes 617

307 Passes accurate 568

7 Free Kicks 8

Genoa

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
18 Milutin Osmajić F	7.9	90'	1	–	2	7 (7%)	–
29 Lorenzo Colombo F	7.1	66'	–	1	1	11 (8%)	2
1 Justin Bijlow G	7.0	90'	–	–	–	36 (32%)	–
10 Junior Messias F	6.5	24'	–	–	2	5 (4%)	1
9 Vitinha F	6.5	44'	–	–	1	12 (9%)	1
8 Tommaso Baldanzi M	6.4	66'	–	–	3	23 (20%)	2
97 Djibril Sow M	6.3	75'	–	–	–	33 (30%)	1
32 Morten Frendrup M	6.3	90'	–	–	–	45 (40%)	1
5 Leo Østigård D	6.2	90'	–	–	–	40 (35%)	1
77 Mikael Ellertsson D	6.1	90'	–	–	1	26 (19%)	3
22 Johan Vásquez M	6.0	90'	–	–	1	59 (52%)	1
4 Alexsandro Amorim M	6.0	15'	–	–	–	11 (11%)	1
20 Stefano Sabelli M	5.9	46'	–	–	–	8 (5%)	–
11 Franz-Ethan Meichtry M	5.8	9'	–	–	–	5 (5%)	–
3 Kingsley Ehizibue D	5.8	24'	–	–	–	10 (9%)	–
27 Alessandro Marcandalli D	5.4	81'	–	–	–	29 (21%)	1

Como

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
11 Assane Diao M	9.5	84'	2	–	3	38 (35%)	3
10 Nico Paz M	8.2	80'	1	–	3	67 (60%)	2
27 Yan Couto D	7.9	90'	–	1	2	70 (65%)	1
20 Martin Baturina M	7.7	66'	1	–	1	37 (33%)	1
3 Álex Valle D	7.2	90'	–	1	1	45 (41%)	–
5 Máximo Perrone M	7.2	90'	–	–	2	91 (89%)	2
7 Lucas Da Cunha M	7.1	79'	–	–	3	56 (52%)	2
90 Moise Kean F	6.8	24'	–	1	–	6 (6%)	–
4 Jacobo Ramón D	6.8	90'	–	–	1	57 (55%)	1
99 Trevoh Chalobah D	6.7	90'	–	–	–	69 (67%)	–
1 Jean Butez G	6.6	90'	–	–	–	34 (27%)	–
14 Samuele Ricci M	6.5	11'	–	–	1	4 (4%)	1
8 Maxence Caqueret M	6.3	24'	–	–	–	19 (17%)	–
6 Luis Milla M	6.3	10'	–	–	–	6 (5%)	–
30 Mattia Liberali M	6.2	6'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
9 Anastasios Douvikas F	5.9	66'	–	–	3	15 (9%)	–

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Confidence Medium (52%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Como

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.4%

Both teams to score

49%

Over 2.5 goals

46%

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Genoa

LWDLL

Como

LWWWW

Last 3 meetings Genoa · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

Genoa faces Como in a Serie A clash that sees both teams striving for vital points early in the season. Genoa has historically performed well against teams in the lower half of the table, leveraging their attacking capabilities, while Como will aim to solidify their defense to counteract this. The key matchup will likely be Genoa's forward line, which has shown promise, against Como's backline, which has struggled with consistency. Both teams will need to capitalize on set pieces, as they have been pivotal in previous matchups. Statistically, Genoa's home form will be crucial, but Como's resilience away may provide an intriguing contest.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Como goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	10	11	10	6	2	1
1	6	13	10	5	2	1
2	3	5	4	2	1
3	1	2	1	1
4
5

↑ Genoa goals · most likely 1–1 (13.4%)

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Players in form

Genoa

No scorer data.

Como

M. Baturina 2 gls

Assane Diao 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

52%

Draw

28%

Home Win

20%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

52%

Draw

28%

Home Win

20%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

72% Away (No Draw) 28% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

28% Away Win by 2+ 7% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

52% Away Scores More 28% Equal Goals 20% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.6%	11.5%	10.5%	5.6%	2.3%
1	5.8%	13.4%	9.6%	5.1%	2.1%
2	3.4%	5.4%	4.4%	2.3%	0.9%
3	1.0%	1.6%	1.3%	0.7%	0.3%
4	0.2%	0.4%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Genoa	Draw	Como
Genoa	11.5%	4.0%	2.2%
Draw	8.0%	18.1%	17.8%
Como	1.1%	4.0%	33.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

40%

37%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

65%

0.5

35%

93%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

53%

1.5

48%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

20%

32%

26%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Genoa vs Como

0 Genoa Wins

1 Draws

2 Como Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
26 Apr 2026	Genoa	0 - 2	Como
15 Sep 2025	Como	1 - 1	Genoa
27 Apr 2025	Como	1 - 0	Genoa

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Genoa — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Parma	L	2 - 1
15 Sep	H Sudtirol	W	1 - 0
12 Sep	H Frosinone	D	1 - 1
04 Sep	H Como	L	1 - 4
30 Aug	A Lazio	L	1 - 0

Como — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Frosinone	L	2 - 0
14 Sep	H Parma	W	2 - 1
10 Sep	H RB Leipzig	W	4 - 1
04 Sep	A Genoa	W	1 - 4
30 Aug	A Napoli	W	1 - 2

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14	3	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15	8	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5	2	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10	4	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	9	4	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9	6	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9	9	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5	7	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5	10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8	11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5	8	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	8	12	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6	12	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3	6	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3	10	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4	13	-9	0

Genoa

Formation: 3-4-1-2 Coach: Daniele De Rossi

1 Bijlow

77 Ellertsson

5 Østigård

27 Marcandalli

8 Baldanzi

22 Vásquez

97 Sow

20 Sabelli

32 Frendrup

18 Osmajić

29 Colombo

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	J. Bijlow	G
27	A. Marcandalli	D
5	L. Østigård	D
77	M. Ellertsson	D
20	S. Sabelli	M
97	D. Sow	M
22	J. Vásquez	M
8	T. Baldanzi	M
32	M. Frendrup	M
29	L. Colombo	F
18	M. Osmajić	F

Substitutes

92	S. El Shaarawy	F
4	Alexsandro Amorim	M
9	Vítinha	F
74	M. Doucoure	D
3	K. Ehizibue	D
11	E. Meichtry	M
10	Junior Messias	F
2	M. Mitaj	D
31	D. Puczka	D
39	D. Sommariva	G
99	F. Stolz	G
25	H. Traorè	M
34	S. Otoa	D
71	S. Wiafe	M

Como

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Cesc Fabregas

1 Butez

3 Valle

99 Chalobah

4 Naveros

27 Couto

7 Cunha

5 Perrone

20 Baturina

10 Paz

11 Diao

9 Douvikas

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	J. Butez	G
27	Yan Couto	D
4	Jacobo Ramón Naveros	D
99	T. Chalobah	D
3	Álex Valle	D
5	M. Perrone	M
7	L. da Cunha	M
11	Assane Diao	M
10	N. Paz	M
20	M. Baturina	M
9	T. Douvikas	F

Substitutes

97	Robert Sánchez	G
6	Luis Milla	M
14	S. Ricci	M
28	I. Smolčić	D
22	M. Vigorito	G
16	Kaiki	D
30	M. Liberali	M
15	A. Lahdo	M
2	M. Kempf	D
90	M. Kean	F
53	Willy Kambwala Ndengushi	D
18	E. Goldaniga	D
13	A. Dossena	D
8	M. Caqueret	M
17	Jesús Rodríguez	F