Atalanta vs Sassuolo Previsione

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 1
FT
Post on X
Previsione AI Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Atalanta
57%
26%
17%
Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Atalanta vs Sassuolo: Sportiko assegna a Atalanta una probabilità di vittoria del 57%, a Sassuolo del 17% e al pareggio del 26%. Ultimo aggiornamento 23 Aug 2026, 20:39.

Match Report

Atalanta came from behind to claim a 2–1 Serie A victory over Sassuolo, with the decisive action concentrated in a frantic second half. Sassuolo had taken a surprise lead through Giacomo Raspadori in the sixth minute, and the visitors carried that advantage into the break despite Atalanta dominating in terms of attacking intent.

The hosts drew level through Cas Odenthal just ten minutes after the restart, and a flurry of substitutions from both sides around the hour mark reshaped the contest. Nikola Krstović then put Atalanta ahead on 65 minutes, completing the turnaround and ultimately settling the outcome. Our pre-match AI model had rated an Atalanta win as the most likely result at 57%, a call that proved correct.

The underlying numbers told a clear story of Atalanta's dominance — they generated an expected goals figure of 2.70 compared to Sassuolo's 0.67, and registered 21 total shots to the visitors' 14. Sassuolo's greater ball possession of 57% ultimately counted for little as Atalanta's clinical finishing proved the difference.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Giacomo Raspadori assist: Gianluca Gaetano
6' 1–0
HT 1–0
1–1 55'
Cas Odenthal
Nicola Zalewski ⇄ Charles De Ketelaere
60'
Gianluca Scamacca ⇄ Nikola Krstović
60'
Mario Pašalić ⇄ Lazar Samardžić
60'
64'
Vasilije Adžić ⇄ Kristian Thorstvedt
Nikola Krstović
65' 2–1
Lorenzo Bernasconi ⇄ Sead Kolašinac
71'
74'
Nemanja Matić ⇄ Benjamín Domínguez
74'
Tommaso Macchioni ⇄ Fedde Leysen
Giacomo Raspadori ⇄ Eljif Elmas
82'
88'
Kieron Bowie ⇄ Gabriel Kulla
88'
Cristian Volpato ⇄ Riccardo Ciervo
FT 2–1
Atalanta

Match Stats

Sassuolo
57% Ball Possession 43%
0.67 Expected Goals (xG) 2.70
14 Total Shots 21
7 Shots on Goal 8
4 Shots off Goal 8
3 Blocked Shots 5
8 Shots insidebox 11
6 Shots outsidebox 10
4 Corner Kicks 4
0 Offsides 1
9 Fouls 10
Yellow Cards
Red Cards
7 Goalkeeper Saves 5
590 Total passes 432
541 Passes accurate 388
92% Passes % 90%
-0.81 goals_prevented -0.81
Atalanta
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
18 Giacomo Raspadori F 8.2 82' 1 1 17 (16%) 3
29 Marco Carnesecchi G 7.9 93' 40 (28%)
59 Nicola Zalewski F 7.7 60' 1 31 (29%)
90 Nikola Krstović F 7.3 33' 1 3 10 (8%)
17 Charles De Ketelaere F 7.2 33' 18 (16%) 1
70 Gianluca Gaetano M 7.2 93' 1 1 68 (63%) 4
9 Gianluca Scamacca F 7.2 60' 23 (22%) 2
77 Davide Zappacosta D 7.0 93' 1 58 (53%) 2
10 Lazar Samardžić M 6.9 33' 1 14 (12%) 2
23 Sead Kolašinac D 6.7 22' 14 (13%)
42 Giorgio Scalvini D 6.7 93' 1 98 (95%)
13 Éderson M 6.3 93' 2 37 (33%) 1
8 Mario Pašalić M 6.3 60' 39 (35%) 1
99 Eljif Elmas M 6.3 11' 5 (5%)
3 Odilon Kossounou D 6.2 93' 92 (89%)
47 Lorenzo Bernasconi D 6.2 71' 27 (24%)
Sassuolo
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
26 Cas Odenthal D 7.5 93' 1 1 66 (64%)
3 Josh Doig D 7.3 93' 34 (30%) 4
7 Cristian Volpato F 7.2 88' 2 35 (29%) 1
50 Darryl Bakola M 7.2 93' 1 53 (41%) 5
18 Nemanja Matić M 7.0 74' 1 52 (46%)
16 Fedde Leysen D 6.9 19' 18 (17%)
42 Kristian Thorstvedt M 6.7 29' 1 20 (19%)
45 Armand Laurienté F 6.7 93' 5 34 (33%) 1
46 Simone Cinquegrano D 6.7 93' 34 (33%) 1
49 Arijanet Murić G 6.6 93' 21 (19%)
9 Kieron Bowie F 6.5 88' 2 13 (10%)
17 Vasilije Adžić M 6.5 64' 2 16 (13%)
25 Benjamín Domínguez F 6.2 19' 1 2 (1%)
31 Tommaso Macchioni D 5.9 74' 43 (42%)
20 Riccardo Ciervo F 5' 2 (2%)
14 Gabriel Kulla F 5'
Premium

Sblocca l'analisi completa dell'AI su Atalanta vs Sassuolo

  • Tutti i 70+ mercati di probabilità
  • Report di analisi approfondita AI
  • Value Edge — modello vs mercato
  • Tipologie di esito che scegli
Confidence Medium (57%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio
Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Atalanta
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now
Atalanta
LLLWW
Sassuolo
LWDDW
Last 3 meetings Atalanta · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A clash, Atalanta will face Sassuolo. Atalanta has been known for their strong attacking play, averaging 2.1 goals per match in the previous season, while Sassuolo has shown vulnerability in defense, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per match. The matchup will likely hinge on Atalanta's ability to exploit Sassuolo's defensive weaknesses. Additionally, set-piece efficiency could play a critical role, as both teams have varied success rates in these situations. Expect an engaging contest with potential for high goal-scoring.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Players in form

Atalanta

No scorer data.

Sassuolo
Vasilije Adžić 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: Atalanta vs Sassuolo

1 Atalanta Wins
0 Draws
2 Sassuolo Wins
Date Home Score Away
01 Mar 2026 Sassuolo 2 - 1 Atalanta
09 Nov 2025 Atalanta 0 - 3 Sassuolo
17 Feb 2024 Atalanta 3 - 0 Sassuolo
Vedi tutti i 10 incontri — Premium

Atalanta — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Juventus L 2 - 0
12 Sep H Cagliari L 1 - 2
05 Sep A AS Roma L 2 - 1
31 Aug H Bologna W 1 - 0
27 Aug A Hapoel Tel Aviv W 0 - 1

Sassuolo — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
18 Sep A Monza L 2 - 1
13 Sep H Juventus W 3 - 2
06 Sep A Bologna D 2 - 2
02 Sep H Frosinone D 1 - 1
29 Aug H Torino W 2 - 1

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
AS Roma
5 4 1 0 +11 13
2
Inter
5 4 1 0 +7 13
3
Lazio
5 4 1 0 +5 13
4
Cagliari
5 4 0 1 +3 12
5
AC Milan
5 3 2 0 +6 11
6
Frosinone
5 3 1 1 +5 10
7
Juventus
5 3 1 1 +4 10
8
Como
5 3 1 1 +3 10
9
Napoli
5 2 1 2 +1 7
10
Sassuolo
5 2 1 2 0 7
11
Atalanta
5 2 0 3 -2 6
12
Lecce
5 2 0 3 -5 6
13
Udinese
5 1 1 3 -3 4
14
Torino
5 1 1 3 -3 4
15
Parma
5 1 1 3 -3 4
16
Monza
5 1 1 3 -4 4
17
Fiorentina
5 1 1 3 -6 4
18
Bologna
5 0 2 3 -3 2
19
Genoa
5 0 1 4 -7 1
20
Venezia
5 0 0 5 -9 0

Sassuolo

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Alberto Aquilani
49 Murić
3 Doig
31 Macchioni
26 Odenthal
46 Cinquegrano
50 Bakola
18 Matić
17 Adžić
45 Laurienté
9 Bowie
7 Volpato

Starting XI

# Player Pos
49 Arijanet Murić G
46 Simone Cinquegrano D
26 Cas Odenthal D
31 Tommaso Macchioni D
3 Josh Doig D
17 Vasilije Adžić M
18 Nemanja Matić M
50 Darryl Bakola M
7 Cristian Volpato F
9 Kieron Bowie F
45 Armand Laurienté F

Substitutes

42 Kristian Thorstvedt M
16 Fedde Leysen D
25 Benjamín Domínguez F
80 Stefano Turati G
21 Jay Idzes D
23 Alessandro Di Bitonto D
33 Rafael Obrador D
44 Edoardo Iannoni M
20 Riccardo Ciervo F
2 Filippo Missori D
8 Andrea Ghion M
35 Luca Lipani M
30 Patrick Amiamo Nuamah F
77 Nicholas Pierini F
14 Gabriel Kulla F

Atalanta

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Maurizio Sarri
29 Carnesecchi
47 Bernasconi
42 Scalvini
3 Kossounou
77 Zappacosta
13 Éderson
70 Gaetano
8 Pašalić
18 Raspadori
9 Scamacca
59 Zalewski

Starting XI

# Player Pos
29 Marco Carnesecchi G
77 Davide Zappacosta D
3 Odilon Kossounou D
42 Giorgio Scalvini D
47 Lorenzo Bernasconi D
8 Mario Pašalić M
70 Gianluca Gaetano M
13 Éderson M
59 Nicola Zalewski F
9 Gianluca Scamacca F
18 Giacomo Raspadori F

Substitutes

10 Lazar Samardžić M
17 Charles De Ketelaere F
90 Nikola Krstović F
23 Sead Kolašinac D
95 Paolo Vismara G
57 Marco Sportiello G
40 Relja Obrić D
16 Raoul Bellanova D
49 Federico Cassa M
6 Ibrahim Sulemana M
99 Eljif Elmas M
15 Marten de Roon M

Assistente Sportiko

Funzionalità, il contest o il calcio

Registrati gratis per chattare con l'Assistente Sportiko — chiedi di previsioni, del contest, di qualsiasi cosa sul calcio.

Registrati gratis Hai già un account? Accedi