Bayer Leverkusen vs 1899 Hoffenheim Previsione

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 24

03 Mar 2027, 19:30

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1899 Hoffenheim

Away

Previsione AI Bayer Leverkusen o pareggio

50%

26%

25%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Bayer Leverkusen vs 1899 Hoffenheim: Sportiko assegna a Bayer Leverkusen una probabilità di vittoria del 50%, a 1899 Hoffenheim del 25% e al pareggio del 26%. Ultimo aggiornamento 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 11.9%

Both teams to score

61%

Over 2.5 goals

59%

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Bayer Leverkusen

WWDWL

1899 Hoffenheim

LLWLL

Last 3 meetings Bayer Leverkusen · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

Bayer Leverkusen currently sits in a strong position in the Bundesliga, showcasing a potent attack averaging 2.5 goals per game this season. Their solid defense, conceding only 1.2 goals per match, adds to their resilience. In contrast, 1899 Hoffenheim has struggled defensively, allowing 1.8 goals per game, which could be a critical factor in this matchup. Leverkusen's high pressing and quick transitions could exploit Hoffenheim's defensive vulnerabilities. Overall, Leverkusen appears to have the upper hand in both offensive and defensive metrics heading into this clash.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

50%

45%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

25%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

1899 Hoffenheim goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6	4	4	1
1	7	12	7	3	1
2	8	10	6	3	1
3	5	6	4	2
4	2	3	2	1
5	1	1	1

↑ Bayer Leverkusen goals · most likely 1–1 (11.9%)

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Players in form

Bayer Leverkusen

P. Schick 4 gls

Christian Kofane 2 gls

1899 Hoffenheim

A. Daghim 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

50%

Draw

26%

Away Win

25%

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS Yes 39% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

17%

1.5

83%

41%

2.5

59%

63%

3.5

37%

81%

4.5

19%

92%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

50%

Draw

26%

Away Win

25%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

67% Home (No Draw) 33% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

28% Home Win by 2+ 11% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

50% Home Scores More 26% Equal Goals 25% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

17%

1.5

83%

41%

2.5

59%

63%

3.5

37%

81%

4.5

19%

92%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS Yes 39% BTTS No

Exact Goals

11%

23%

18%

11%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.9%	4.3%	3.6%	1.5%	0.5%
1	7.1%	11.9%	6.6%	2.8%	0.9%
2	7.8%	9.8%	6.1%	2.5%	0.8%
3	4.8%	6.0%	3.8%	1.6%	0.5%
4	2.2%	2.8%	1.7%	0.7%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

58%

1.5

42%

84%

2.5

16%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

26%

32%

26%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

47%

1.5

53%

76%

2.5

24%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

20%

28%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	1899 Hoffenheim
Bayer Leverkusen	31.4%	4.4%	1.8%
Draw	16.7%	15.0%	9.2%
1899 Hoffenheim	2.9%	4.4%	14.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

45%

1.5

55%

73%

2.5

27%

89%

3.5

11%

Home Exact Goals

16%

29%

27%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

29%

36%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Bayer Leverkusen vs 1899 Hoffenheim

1 Bayer Leverkusen Wins

0 Draws

2 1899 Hoffenheim Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
17 Jan 2026	1899 Hoffenheim	1 - 0	Bayer Leverkusen
23 Aug 2025	Bayer Leverkusen	1 - 2	1899 Hoffenheim
02 Feb 2025	Bayer Leverkusen	3 - 1	1899 Hoffenheim

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Bayer Leverkusen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H RB Leipzig	W	2 - 0
16 Sep	H Celje	W	2 - 0
12 Sep	A FC Augsburg	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	H Union Berlin	W	4 - 0
29 Aug	A SV Elversberg	L	3 - 2

1899 Hoffenheim — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A SC Paderborn 07	L	3 - 1
17 Sep	A OFI	L	2 - 0
12 Sep	H VfB Stuttgart	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	H Borussia Dortmund	L	2 - 3
29 Aug	A 1. FC Köln	L	3 - 2

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14	2	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12	3	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11	6	+5	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10	5	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	10	6	+4	7
7	SV Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8	8	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9	5	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9	10	-1	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	3	4	-1	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	1	1	2	6	9	-3	4
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7	10	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6	9	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2	13	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6	16	-10	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.