Borussia Dortmund vs Union Berlin Previsione

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 23

27 Feb 2027, 14:30

Post on X

Union Berlin

Away

Previsione AI Vittoria Borussia Dortmund

81%

16%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Borussia Dortmund vs Union Berlin: Sportiko assegna a Borussia Dortmund una probabilità di vittoria del 81%, a Union Berlin del 3% e al pareggio del 16%. Ultimo aggiornamento 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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74% 71% 72%

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At a glance

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Most likely score

2:0 · 20.3%

Both teams to score

24%

Over 2.5 goals

45%

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Borussia Dortmund

WWWWW

Union Berlin

LLLDW

Last 3 meetings Borussia Dortmund · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Bundesliga clash, Borussia Dortmund will face Union Berlin. Dortmund has demonstrated strong attacking prowess, averaging 2.2 goals per match this season, while their defense has been solid, conceding only 1.1 goals per game. Union Berlin, though resilient, has struggled against top-tier teams, with a record of 1 win in their last 5 encounters against the league's top 6. Key players like Erling Haaland for Dortmund could exploit Union's backline, making this a challenging match for the visitors. Expect Dortmund to leverage their offensive strength to secure a crucial three points.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Union Berlin goals →

	0	1	2
0	9	2
1	17	6	1
2	20	6	1
3	15	5	1
4	9	3
5	4	1

↑ Borussia Dortmund goals · most likely 2–0 (20.3%)

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Players in form

Borussia Dortmund

S. Guirassy 2 gls

F. Nmecha 2 gls

Union Berlin

T. Skarke 2 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

81%

Draw

16%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

77%

3.5

23%

91%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

81%

Draw

16%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

96% Home (No Draw) 4% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

57% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

81% Home Scores More 16% Equal Goals 3% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

77%

3.5

23%

91%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

19%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

51% Even Total Goals 49% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.8%	1.7%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%
1	17.5%	6.2%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
2	20.3%	6.1%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	15.2%	4.6%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
4	8.5%	2.6%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

35%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

33%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Union Berlin
Borussia Dortmund	56.5%	1.3%	0.1%
Draw	24.2%	11.8%	1.5%
Union Berlin	1.3%	1.5%	1.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

35%

1.5

65%

63%

2.5

37%

83%

3.5

17%

Home Exact Goals

11%

25%

27%

20%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

74%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

87%

0.5

13%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Borussia Dortmund vs Union Berlin

3 Borussia Dortmund Wins

0 Draws

0 Union Berlin Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
24 Jan 2026	Union Berlin	0 - 3	Borussia Dortmund
31 Aug 2025	Borussia Dortmund	3 - 0	Union Berlin
22 Feb 2025	Borussia Dortmund	6 - 0	Union Berlin

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Borussia Dortmund — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A VfB Stuttgart	W	0 - 1
12 Sep	H SC Paderborn 07	W	3 - 0
08 Sep	H Villarreal	W	3 - 2
05 Sep	A 1899 Hoffenheim	W	2 - 3
01 Sep	A HEBC	W	0 - 5

Union Berlin — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Bayern München	L	7 - 0
11 Sep	H FC Schalke 04	L	1 - 3
05 Sep	A Bayer Leverkusen	L	4 - 0
29 Aug	H Eintracht Frankfurt	D	3 - 3
23 Aug	A Eintracht Braunschweig	W	2 - 4

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14	2	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12	3	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11	6	+5	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10	5	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	10	6	+4	7
7	SV Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8	8	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9	5	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9	10	-1	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	3	4	-1	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	1	1	2	6	9	-3	4
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7	10	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6	9	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2	13	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6	16	-10	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.