Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen Previsione

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 11

28 Nov 2026, 14:30

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Bayer Leverkusen

Away

Previsione AI Borussia Dortmund o pareggio

45%

28%

27%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen: Sportiko assegna a Borussia Dortmund una probabilità di vittoria del 45%, a Bayer Leverkusen del 27% e al pareggio del 28%. Ultimo aggiornamento 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 13.2%

Both teams to score

58%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

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Borussia Dortmund

WWWWW

Bayer Leverkusen

WWDWL

Last 3 meetings Borussia Dortmund · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Bundesliga clash, Borussia Dortmund will face Bayer Leverkusen, both teams showcasing strong attacking capabilities. Dortmund has averaged 2.1 goals per match this season, while Leverkusen follows closely with 1.9 goals per game. Defensively, Dortmund has conceded 1.3 goals on average, which could be tested by Leverkusen's dynamic forward line. Key players to watch include Dortmund's Erling Haaland, who has been prolific, and Leverkusen's Florian Wirtz, known for his creativity and playmaking ability. This match is likely to be a high-scoring encounter given both teams' offensive strengths and defensive vulnerabilities.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

45%

10%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

27%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Bayer Leverkusen goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7	6	4	2	1
1	8	13	7	3	1
2	8	9	6	2	1
3	4	5	3	1
4	2	2	1	1
5	1	1

↑ Borussia Dortmund goals · most likely 1–1 (13.2%)

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Players in form

Borussia Dortmund

S. Guirassy 2 gls

F. Nmecha 2 gls

Bayer Leverkusen

P. Schick 4 gls

Christian Kofane 2 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

45%

Draw

28%

Away Win

27%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

47%

2.5

53%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

45%

Draw

28%

Away Win

27%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

62% Home (No Draw) 38% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

24% Home Win by 2+ 12% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

45% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals 27% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

47%

2.5

53%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

25%

22%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.5%	5.7%	4.4%	1.8%	0.5%
1	8.1%	13.2%	7.1%	2.9%	0.9%
2	7.8%	9.4%	5.7%	2.3%	0.7%
3	4.2%	5.1%	3.1%	1.2%	0.4%
4	1.7%	2.1%	1.3%	0.5%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

52%

1.5

48%

79%

2.5

21%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
Borussia Dortmund	28.0%	4.5%	1.8%
Draw	15.9%	16.8%	10.5%
Bayer Leverkusen	2.5%	4.4%	15.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

52%

1.5

48%

78%

2.5

22%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

20%

32%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen

2 Borussia Dortmund Wins

0 Draws

1 Bayer Leverkusen Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
11 Apr 2026	Borussia Dortmund	0 - 1	Bayer Leverkusen
29 Nov 2025	Bayer Leverkusen	1 - 2	Borussia Dortmund
11 May 2025	Bayer Leverkusen	2 - 4	Borussia Dortmund

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Borussia Dortmund — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A VfB Stuttgart	W	0 - 1
12 Sep	H SC Paderborn 07	W	3 - 0
08 Sep	H Villarreal	W	3 - 2
05 Sep	A 1899 Hoffenheim	W	2 - 3
01 Sep	A HEBC	W	0 - 5

Bayer Leverkusen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H RB Leipzig	W	2 - 0
16 Sep	H Celje	W	2 - 0
12 Sep	A FC Augsburg	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	H Union Berlin	W	4 - 0
29 Aug	A SV Elversberg	L	3 - 2

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14	2	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12	3	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11	6	+5	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10	5	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	10	6	+4	7
7	SV Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8	8	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9	5	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9	10	-1	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	3	4	-1	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	1	1	2	6	9	-3	4
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7	10	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6	9	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2	13	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6	16	-10	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.