Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund Previsione

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 8

31 Oct 2026, 14:30

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Borussia Dortmund

Away

Previsione AI Bayern München vince o pareggia

66%

22%

12%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund: Sportiko assegna a Bayern München una probabilità di vittoria del 66%, a Borussia Dortmund del 12% e al pareggio del 22%. Ultimo aggiornamento 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

2:0 · 12%

Both teams to score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

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Bayern München

WWWDW

Borussia Dortmund

WWWWW

Last 3 meetings Bayern München · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

In this Bundesliga clash, Bayern München faces off against Borussia Dortmund, two of the league's most formidable sides. Bayern has been strong offensively, averaging 2.5 goals per match this season, while Dortmund has shown resilience, with a solid defensive record conceding only 1 goal per match. Both teams are well-matched in terms of attacking flair, but Bayern's depth in their squad may provide a crucial edge. Expect a closely contested match with individual brilliance likely to play a decisive role.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

66%

45%

Draw

22%

45%

Away

12%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Borussia Dortmund goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	6	3	2	1
1	10	11	4	1
2	12	10	4	1
3	9	7	3	1
4	5	4	2
5	2	2	1

↑ Bayern München goals · most likely 2–0 (12.0%)

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Players in form

Bayern München

M. Olise 4 gls

H. Kane 3 gls

Borussia Dortmund

S. Guirassy 2 gls

F. Nmecha 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

66%

Draw

22%

Away Win

12%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

20%

1.5

80%

44%

2.5

56%

67%

3.5

33%

84%

4.5

16%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

66%

Draw

22%

Away Win

12%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

84% Home (No Draw) 16% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

42% Home Win by 2+ 4% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

66% Home Scores More 22% Equal Goals 12% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

20%

1.5

80%

44%

2.5

56%

67%

3.5

33%

84%

4.5

16%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Exact Goals

13%

24%

23%

17%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.5%	3.1%	1.8%	0.5%	0.1%
1	10.0%	10.5%	3.9%	1.1%	0.2%
2	12.0%	10.0%	4.1%	1.2%	0.2%
3	8.6%	7.1%	3.0%	0.8%	0.2%
4	4.6%	3.8%	1.6%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

28%

33%

25%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

50%

1.5

50%

77%

2.5

23%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

21%

29%

27%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Bayern München	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
Bayern München	43.9%	3.3%	0.9%
Draw	20.6%	13.4%	5.1%
Borussia Dortmund	2.7%	3.3%	6.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

38%

1.5

62%

65%

2.5

35%

85%

3.5

15%

Home Exact Goals

12%

26%

28%

20%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

67%

1.5

33%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

44%

36%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

69%

0.5

31%

95%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund

3 Bayern München Wins

0 Draws

0 Borussia Dortmund Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
22 Aug 2026	Borussia Dortmund	1 - 2	Bayern München
28 Feb 2026	Borussia Dortmund	2 - 3	Bayern München
18 Oct 2025	Bayern München	2 - 1	Borussia Dortmund

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Bayern München — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Union Berlin	W	7 - 0
13 Sep	A SV Elversberg	W	1 - 2
10 Sep	H Bodo/Glimt	W	5 - 0
05 Sep	A FC Schalke 04	D	0 - 0
02 Sep	A VfL Osnabrück	W	1 - 4

Borussia Dortmund — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A VfB Stuttgart	W	0 - 1
12 Sep	H SC Paderborn 07	W	3 - 0
08 Sep	H Villarreal	W	3 - 2
05 Sep	A 1899 Hoffenheim	W	2 - 3
01 Sep	A HEBC	W	0 - 5

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14	2	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12	3	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11	6	+5	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10	5	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	10	6	+4	7
7	SV Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8	8	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9	5	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9	10	-1	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	3	4	-1	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	1	1	2	6	9	-3	4
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7	10	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6	9	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2	13	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6	16	-10	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.