RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach Previsione

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 1

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Borussia Mönchengladbach

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Previsione AI Vittoria o pareggio difficile per RB Leipzig

52%

25%

22%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: Sportiko assegna a RB Leipzig una probabilità di vittoria del 52%, a Borussia Mönchengladbach del 22% e al pareggio del 25%. Ultimo aggiornamento 29 Aug 2026, 15:28.

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1st Half Over 0.5 72%

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Match Report

RB Leipzig opened their Bundesliga campaign with a commanding 3–0 victory over Borussia Mönchengladbach, with Ridle Baku breaking the deadlock on 25 minutes to give the hosts a half-time lead. Antonio Nusa doubled the advantage four minutes after the restart, and despite Gladbach responding with a flurry of substitutions around the hour mark, Rocco Reitz added a third on 66 minutes to put the result beyond doubt. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Leipzig win as the most likely outcome at 52%, a call that proved correct.

The scoreline belied a surprisingly competitive contest in terms of chances created. Gladbach generated 11 shots on target to Leipzig's four and attempted 25 shots in total, yet lacked the clinical edge to trouble the scoreboard. A VAR-cancelled goal for Hugo Bolin deep in stoppage time further summed up the visitors' frustrating evening.

Nusa picked up a yellow card on 72 minutes, while a late VAR intervention denied Gladbach even a consolation. Leipzig, despite being outshot, were ruthlessly efficient and take maximum points from their opening fixture.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Ridle Baku assist: Tidiam Gomis

25' ⚽ 1–0

HT 1–0

Antonio Nusa assist: Tidiam Gomis

49' ⚽ 2–0

⇄ 64'

Robin Hack ⇄ Isac Lidberg

⇄ 64'

Kevin Stöger ⇄ Franck Honorat

⇄ 64'

Lukas Ullrich ⇄ Mathieu Nguefack

⇄ 64'

⇄ David Herold

Tidiam Gomis ⇄ Christopher Nkunku

64' ⇄

Rocco Reitz assist: Christopher Nkunku

66' ⚽ 3–0

Antonio Nusa Yellow Card

72' ▮

Brajan Gruda ⇄ Johan Bakayoko

73' ⇄

Ridle Baku ⇄ Benjamin Henrichs

73' ⇄

⇄ 76'

Daiki Hashioka ⇄ Joe Scally

Rocco Reitz ⇄ Arthur Vermeeren

83' ⇄

Ezechiel Banzuzi ⇄ Conrad Harder

83' ⇄

🖵 90+6'

Hugo Bolin Goal cancelled

FT 3–0

RB Leipzig

Match Stats

Borussia Mönchengladbach

47% Ball Possession 53%

25 Total Shots 14

11 Shots on Goal 4

10 Shots off Goal 5

4 Blocked Shots 5

19 Shots insidebox 9

6 Shots outsidebox 5

7 Corner Kicks 6

0 Offsides 5

10 Fouls 13

1 Yellow Cards 0

0 Red Cards 0

4 Goalkeeper Saves 8

430 Total passes 475

360 Passes accurate 409

13 Free Kicks 10

RB Leipzig

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
7 Antonio Nusa F	8.2	90'	1	–	4	29 (20%)	3
22 David Raum D	8.0	90'	–	–	1	41 (36%)	–
20 Rocco Reitz M	8.0	83'	1	–	2	26 (19%)	–
26 Maarten Vandevoordt G	7.8	90'	–	–	–	40 (35%)	–
17 Ridle Baku D	7.5	73'	1	–	2	47 (34%)	3
4 Willi Orbán D	7.1	90'	–	–	2	57 (50%)	–
23 Castello Lukeba D	7.1	90'	–	–	1	65 (58%)	–
27 Tidiam Gomis F	7.0	64'	–	2	4	16 (14%)	1
9 Conrad Harder F	6.9	7'	–	–	2	1 (1%)	–
28 Christopher Nkunku F	6.8	26'	–	1	–	7 (7%)	–
6 Ezechiel Banzuzi M	6.7	83'	–	–	4	20 (19%)	2
39 Benjamin Henrichs D	6.7	17'	–	–	–	9 (6%)	–
10 Brajan Gruda F	6.6	73'	–	–	2	34 (28%)	1
48 Arthur Vermeeren M	6.5	7'	–	–	1	4 (4%)	–
11 Johan Bakayoko F	6.4	17'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	–
13 Nicolas Seiwald M	6.3	90'	–	–	–	32 (27%)	3

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
1 Moritz Nicolas G	7.5	90'	–	–	–	38 (30%)	–
9 Franck Honorat M	7.2	26'	–	–	2	14 (14%)	–
16 Philipp Sander M	7.0	90'	–	–	2	65 (63%)	4
34 Mathieu Nguefack M	6.5	26'	–	–	–	20 (19%)	–
4 Kevin Diks D	6.4	90'	–	–	–	79 (73%)	2
3 Isac Lidberg F	6.3	26'	–	–	1	1 (1%)	–
11 Tim Kleindienst F	6.2	90'	–	–	1	15 (12%)	2
38 Hugo Bolin M	6.1	90'	–	–	4	23 (19%)	4
26 Lukas Ullrich D	6.1	64'	–	–	1	17 (14%)	2
20 David Herold D	6.1	26'	–	–	–	12 (9%)	3
6 Ko Itakura D	6.0	90'	–	–	–	57 (50%)	–
29 Joe Scally D	5.9	14'	–	–	1	14 (12%)	–
14 Daiki Hashioka D	5.8	76'	–	–	1	33 (25%)	–
7 Kevin Stöger M	5.7	64'	–	–	–	43 (33%)	1
25 Robin Hack M	5.4	64'	–	–	1	23 (16%)	1

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Confidence Medium (52%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

Vittoria o pareggio difficile per RB Leipzig

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.2%

Both teams to score

64%

Over 2.5 goals

60%

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RB Leipzig

LWLLW

Borussia Mönchengladbach

LLLLW

Last 3 meetings RB Leipzig · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Bundesliga match, RB Leipzig will host Borussia Mönchengladbach. Leipzig has been strong at home, boasting a high possession rate and an effective pressing game, which has translated into numerous scoring opportunities. Mönchengladbach, on the other hand, has shown resilience in counter-attacking but has struggled with defensive consistency, particularly against high-pressing teams. Leipzig's attacking prowess, led by their dynamic forwards, could exploit Gladbach's vulnerabilities, making this clash pivotal for both teams as they aim for points early in the season. Expect a match with high intensity and tactical battles in midfield.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Borussia Mönchengladbach goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	6	6	6	3	1
1	5	12	9	5	2	1
2	5	8	7	3	1
3	3	4	3	2	1
4	1	2	1	1
5		1

↑ RB Leipzig goals · most likely 1–1 (12.2%)

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Players in form

RB Leipzig

A. Nusa 2 gls

Borussia Mönchengladbach

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

52%

Draw

25%

Away Win

22%

Both Teams To Score

64% BTTS Yes 36% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

17%

1.5

83%

40%

2.5

60%

62%

3.5

38%

80%

4.5

20%

91%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

52%

Draw

25%

Away Win

22%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

51% Away (No Draw) 49% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

19% Away Win by 2+ 18% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

37% Away Scores More 36% Home Scores More 27% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

17%

1.5

83%

40%

2.5

60%

62%

3.5

38%

80%

4.5

20%

91%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

64% BTTS Yes 36% BTTS No

Exact Goals

11%

23%

18%

11%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.8%	5.6%	5.5%	2.9%	1.2%
1	5.4%	12.2%	8.6%	4.5%	1.8%
2	5.3%	8.4%	6.6%	3.5%	1.4%
3	2.7%	4.3%	3.4%	1.8%	0.7%
4	1.1%	1.7%	1.3%	0.7%	0.3%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

44%

1.5

56%

73%

2.5

27%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

18%

26%

29%

16%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	RB Leipzig	Draw	Borussia Mönchengladbach
RB Leipzig	20.6%	4.5%	2.6%
Draw	13.7%	15.5%	13.7%
Borussia Mönchengladbach	2.7%	4.8%	22.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

54%

1.5

46%

80%

2.5

20%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

53%

1.5

47%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach

1 RB Leipzig Wins

1 Draws

1 Borussia Mönchengladbach Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
11 Apr 2026	RB Leipzig	1 - 0	Borussia Mönchengladbach
28 Nov 2025	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0 - 0	RB Leipzig
29 Mar 2025	Borussia Mönchengladbach	1 - 0	RB Leipzig

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RB Leipzig — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Bayer Leverkusen	L	2 - 0
13 Sep	H Hamburger SV	W	5 - 0
10 Sep	A Como	L	4 - 1
05 Sep	A Werder Bremen	L	3 - 1
29 Aug	H Borussia Mönchengladbach	W	3 - 0

Borussia Mönchengladbach — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H FSV Mainz 05	L	3 - 4
12 Sep	A SC Freiburg	L	5 - 0
05 Sep	H SV Elversberg	L	3 - 4
29 Aug	A RB Leipzig	L	3 - 0
23 Aug	A Schott Mainz	W	0 - 5

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14	2	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12	3	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11	6	+5	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10	5	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	10	6	+4	7
7	SV Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8	8	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9	5	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9	10	-1	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	3	4	-1	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	1	1	2	6	9	-3	4
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7	10	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6	9	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2	13	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6	16	-10	0