Elche vs Rayo Vallecano Previsione

La Liga · Regular Season - 21

24 Jan 2027, 16:00

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Rayo Vallecano

Away

Previsione AI Elche vince o pareggia

76%

18%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Elche vs Rayo Vallecano: Sportiko assegna a Elche una probabilità di vittoria del 76%, a Rayo Vallecano del 6% e al pareggio del 18%. Ultimo aggiornamento 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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75% 72% 71%

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At a glance

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Most likely score

2:0 · 17.2%

Both teams to score

34%

Over 2.5 goals

49%

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Elche

WLDLL

Rayo Vallecano

DWLWL

Last 3 meetings Elche · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming La Liga clash, Elche will face Rayo Vallecano, both teams aiming to climb the league table. Elche has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 2 goals per match in the last five outings, which could be exploited by Rayo's attacking prowess. Rayo Vallecano, on the other hand, has shown a stronger offensive form, with key players consistently finding the back of the net. The match is poised to be competitive, with both teams needing points for different reasons in their respective campaigns.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

76%

45%

Draw

18%

45%

Away

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Rayo Vallecano goals →

	0	1	2
0	8	2	1
1	14	8	2
2	17	8	2
3	13	6	1
4	7	3	1
5	3	1

↑ Elche goals · most likely 2–0 (17.2%)

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Players in form

Elche

Fer Niño 5 gls

Rayo Vallecano

Sergio Camello 7 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

76%

Draw

18%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

66% BTTS No 34% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

25%

1.5

75%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

89%

4.5

11%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

76%

Draw

18%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

93% Home (No Draw) 7% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

52% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

76% Home Scores More 18% Equal Goals 6% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

25%

1.5

75%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

89%

4.5

11%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

66% BTTS No 34% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

17%

26%

23%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.8%	2.3%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
1	14.5%	8.2%	1.7%	0.3%	0.0%
2	17.2%	8.1%	1.9%	0.3%	0.0%
3	12.8%	6.0%	1.4%	0.2%	0.0%
4	7.1%	3.3%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

32%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Elche	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
Elche	52.7%	2.1%	0.3%
Draw	23.2%	12.3%	2.6%
Rayo Vallecano	1.9%	2.1%	2.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

36%

1.5

64%

63%

2.5

37%

84%

3.5

16%

Home Exact Goals

11%

25%

27%

20%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

63%

29%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

81%

0.5

19%

98%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

77%

0.5

23%

97%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Elche vs Rayo Vallecano

2 Elche Wins

0 Draws

1 Rayo Vallecano Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
03 Apr 2026	Rayo Vallecano	1 - 0	Elche
21 Dec 2025	Elche	4 - 0	Rayo Vallecano
29 Apr 2023	Elche	4 - 0	Rayo Vallecano

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Elche — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Espanyol	W	1 - 3
15 Sep	H Real Madrid	L	2 - 3
12 Sep	A Athletic Club	D	1 - 1
07 Sep	H Real Sociedad	L	2 - 3
28 Aug	A Racing Santander	L	3 - 2

Rayo Vallecano — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Osasuna	D	1 - 1
15 Sep	H Espanyol	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	A Real Madrid	L	4 - 1
05 Sep	H Racing Santander	W	3 - 2
31 Aug	A Barcelona	L	5 - 2

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.