Barcelona vs Alaves Previsione

La Liga La Liga · Regular Season - 11
FT
Post on X
Camp Nou, Barcelona
Previsione AI Vittoria Barcelona
84%
11%
5%
Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Barcelona vs Alaves: Sportiko assegna a Barcelona una probabilità di vittoria del 84%, a Alaves del 5% e al pareggio del 11%. Ultimo aggiornamento 31 Oct 2026, 21:59.

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  • Home 1H Over 0.5 76%
  • Home/Away & Over 2.5 73%
  • 2nd Half Over 1.5 72%
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Match Report

Barcelona were dominant from the first whistle, taking control of this La Liga fixture with an emphatic first-half display. Raphinha opened the scoring in the eighth minute before Fermín López doubled the advantage midway through the half. Raphinha struck again on 41 minutes, and Lamine Yamal added a fourth in stoppage time to put the game beyond doubt at 4–0. Both sides made enforced changes at the break, with Pedri and Carlos Benavídez withdrawn after picking up yellow cards. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Barcelona win at 84%, a call that proved well-founded.

The second half saw Barcelona continue to press, with Lamine Yamal adding a fifth on 64 minutes — confirmed by VAR — before being substituted off shortly after. Bookings continued to mount on both sides, with João Cancelo also withdrawn following his caution in the 57th minute.

Alaves grabbed a late consolation through Anthony Gordon on 81 minutes, before Mariano Diaz rounded off the scoring for Barcelona three minutes later. The hosts' 77 percent possession and an expected goals figure of 3.24 to 0.64 underlined the gulf between the two sides on the day.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Raphinha assist: Fermín López
8' ⚽ 1–0
Fermín López assist: Lamine Yamal
23' ⚽ 2–0
▮ 27'
Carlos Benavídez Yellow Card
Pedri Yellow Card
40' ▮
Raphinha assist: Fermín López
41' ⚽ 3–0
Pedri ⇄ Marc Bernal
45' ⇄
⇄ 45'
Carlos Benavídez ⇄ Toni Martínez
Lamine Yamal assist: João Cancelo
45+1' ⚽ 4–0
▮ 45+3'
Ángel Pérez Yellow Card
HT 4–0
⇄ 55'
Denis Suarez ⇄ Pablo Ibáñez
⇄ 55'
Abderrahman Rebbach ⇄ Aitor Mañas
João Cancelo Yellow Card
57' ▮
▮ 60'
Pablo Ibáñez Yellow Card
João Cancelo ⇄ Alejandro Balde
62' ⇄
Raphinha ⇄ Gabriel Jesus
62' ⇄
Lamine Yamal assist: Gabriel Jesus
64' ⚽ 5–0
Lamine Yamal Goal confirmed
64' 🖵
Lamine Yamal ⇄ Anthony Gordon
74' ⇄
⇄ 74'
Ángel Pérez ⇄ Hugo Novoa
⇄ 74'
Lucas Boyé ⇄ Mariano Diaz
Anthony Gordon assist: Rodri
81' ⚽ 6–0
F. de Jong ⇄ Gerard Martín
82' ⇄
⚽ 6–1 84'
Mariano Diaz
FT 6–1
Barcelona

Match Stats

Alaves
77% Ball Possession 23%
3.24 Expected Goals (xG) 0.64
13 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Goal 3
3 Shots off Goal 1
3 Blocked Shots 3
10 Shots insidebox 6
3 Shots outsidebox 1
4 Corner Kicks 3
1 Offsides 5
14 Fouls 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
2 Goalkeeper Saves 1
831 Total passes 242
769 Passes accurate 182
11 Free Kicks 14
Barcelona
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
7 Fermín López M 9.5 90' 1 2 2 73 (62%) 1
10 Lamine Yamal F 9.2 74' 2 1 6 55 (45%) 2
11 Raphinha F 8.7 62' 2 – 3 13 (13%) –
16 Rodri M 7.7 90' – 1 – 128 (122%) 3
17 Anthony Gordon F 7.5 16' 1 – 1 5 (4%) –
5 Pau Cubarsí D 7.3 90' – – – 116 (113%) 3
4 Brian Fariñas D 7.1 90' – – – 99 (96%) 2
9 Gabriel Jesus F 7.0 28' – 1 – 9 (9%) 1
1 Joan García G 6.9 90' – – – 20 (20%) –
2 João Cancelo D 6.8 62' – 1 – 36 (33%) 1
21 F. de Jong D 6.8 82' – – – 129 (124%) –
22 Marc Bernal M 6.7 44' – – – 29 (25%) 1
8 Pedri M 6.6 46' – – – 40 (34%) –
3 Alejandro Balde D 6.6 28' – – – 15 (12%) 1
14 Karim Adeyemi F 6.4 90' – – 1 36 (31%) 1
18 Gerard Martín D 6.3 8' – – – 7 (6%) –
Alaves
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 Mariano Diaz F 7.1 16' 1 – 1 2 (1%) –
6 Ander Guevara M 6.4 90' – – – 24 (22%) 1
4 Denis Suarez M 6.3 55' – – – 19 (14%) –
11 Toni Martínez F 6.3 44' – – 1 10 (8%) –
7 Ángel Pérez M 6.2 74' – – 1 9 (5%) 1
15 Lucas Boyé F 6.2 74' – – 2 11 (7%) 1
12 Hugo Novoa F 6.1 16' – – – 5 (4%) –
20 Aitor Mañas F 6.0 35' – – – 4 (4%) –
19 Pablo Ibáñez M 5.9 35' – – – 13 (8%) –
1 Antonio Sivera G 5.8 90' – – – 23 (10%) –
16 Ville Koski D 5.7 90' – – – 23 (18%) 2
23 Carlos Benavídez M 5.7 46' – – 1 12 (8%) –
14 Nahuel Tenaglia D 5.6 90' – – – 27 (24%) –
21 Abderrahman Rebbach M 5.6 55' – – 1 14 (13%) 1
3 Youssef Enriquez Lekhedim D 5.5 90' – – – 21 (17%) 2
17 Jonny Otto D 5.4 90' – – – 23 (18%) 2
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Confidence High (84%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio
Vittoria Barcelona
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Barcelona
WWLLW
Alaves
DLDLL
Last 3 meetings Barcelona · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

Barcelona will face Alaves in a La Liga encounter on November 1, 2026. Historically, Barcelona has dominated this fixture, showcasing a strong offensive lineup that typically excels at home, averaging over 2.5 goals per match in recent seasons. Alaves, while resilient, has struggled against top-tier teams, often conceding goals from set pieces and open play. With Barcelona's high possession rate and attacking prowess, they are favored to control the match and create numerous scoring opportunities. Alaves will need a solid defensive performance to secure any points in this matchup.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
84%
45%
Draw
11%
45%
Away
5%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Barcelona
Raphinha 15 gls
Lamine Yamal 10 gls
Fermín 5 gls
Alaves
L. Boyé 5 gls
M. Díaz 4 gls

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Head to Head: Barcelona vs Alaves

2 Barcelona Wins
0 Draws
1 Alaves Wins
Date Home Score Away
13 May 2026 Alaves 1 - 0 Barcelona
29 Nov 2025 Barcelona 3 - 1 Alaves
02 Feb 2025 Barcelona 1 - 0 Alaves
Vedi tutti i 10 incontri — Premium

Barcelona — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
03 Nov H Aston Villa W 3 - 0
31 Oct H Alaves W 6 - 1
25 Oct H Real Madrid L 1 - 2
20 Oct A Paris Saint Germain L 4 - 2
17 Oct A Real Betis W 2 - 5

Alaves — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
06 Nov A Sevilla D 0 - 0
31 Oct A Barcelona L 6 - 1
23 Oct H Malaga D 1 - 1
18 Oct A Celta Vigo L 2 - 1
10 Oct H Atletico Madrid L 1 - 2

La Liga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Barcelona
11 10 0 1 +34 30
2
Real Madrid
12 10 0 2 +21 30
3
Atletico Madrid
11 9 1 1 +14 28
4
Real Betis
11 7 2 2 +3 23
5
Real Sociedad
11 6 1 4 0 19
6
Sevilla
12 5 3 4 -2 18
7
Athletic Club
11 4 4 3 +4 16
8
Deportivo La Coruna
12 3 6 3 +1 15
9
Racing Santander
12 4 2 6 -13 14
10
Alaves
12 3 4 5 -2 13
11
Villarreal
11 3 3 5 0 12
12
Celta Vigo
11 2 6 3 0 12
13
Espanyol
12 3 3 6 -1 12
14
Rayo Vallecano
10 3 3 4 -5 12
15
Getafe
11 3 3 5 -8 12
16
Osasuna
12 3 3 6 -11 12
17
Elche
11 2 4 5 -4 10
18
Levante
11 2 4 5 -5 10
19
Valencia
12 2 3 7 -12 9
20
Malaga
12 0 5 7 -14 5

Barcelona

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: H. Flick
1 García
2 Cancelo
21 Jong
5 Paredes
4 Farinas
8 Pedri
16 Rodri
7 Fermín
14 Adeyemi
11 Raphinha
10 Yamal

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Joan García G
4 B. Farinas D
5 Pau Cubarsí Paredes D
21 F. de Jong D
2 João Cancelo D
7 Fermín M
16 Rodri M
8 Pedri M
10 Lamine Yamal F
11 Raphinha F
14 K. Adeyemi F

Substitutes

3 Alejandro Balde D
29 H. Abdelkarim F
22 Marc Bernal M
41 A. Campos D
9 Gabriel Jesus F
6 Gavi M
17 A. Gordon F
25 D. Livaković G
18 Gerard Martín D
13 W. Szczęsny G
30 E. Tunkara M
40 Guillem Víctor D

Alaves

Formation: 4-5-1 Coach: Quique Sánchez Flores
1 Sivera
3 Yusi
16 Koski
14 Tenaglia
17 Jonny
21 Rebbach
4 Suárez
6 Guevara
23 Benavídez
7 Pérez
15 Boyé

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Sivera G
17 Jonny D
14 N. Tenaglia D
16 V. Koski D
3 Yusi D
7 Angel Pérez M
23 C. Benavídez M
6 Guevara M
4 Denis Suárez M
21 A. Rebbach M
15 L. Boyé F

Substitutes

2 N. Valentini D
22 Miguel Rodríguez F
13 A. Giménez G
27 X. Olaiz D
12 Hugo Novoa F
11 Toni Martínez F
20 Aitor Mañas F
19 Pablo Ibáñez M
9 M. Díaz F
24 Selu Diallo M
10 Carles Aleñá M
8 Antonio Blanco M

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