Barcelona vs Alaves Previsione

La Liga · Regular Season - 11

01 Nov 2026, 16:00

Post on X

Alaves

Away

Camp Nou, Barcelona

Previsione AI Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Barcelona

60%

23%

17%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Barcelona vs Alaves: Sportiko assegna a Barcelona una probabilità di vittoria del 60%, a Alaves del 17% e al pareggio del 23%. Ultimo aggiornamento 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 10.4%

Both teams to score

60%

Over 2.5 goals

63%

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Barcelona

WWWWW

Alaves

DLLWW

Last 3 meetings Barcelona · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

Barcelona will face Alaves in a La Liga encounter on November 1, 2026. Historically, Barcelona has dominated this fixture, showcasing a strong offensive lineup that typically excels at home, averaging over 2.5 goals per match in recent seasons. Alaves, while resilient, has struggled against top-tier teams, often conceding goals from set pieces and open play. With Barcelona's high possession rate and attacking prowess, they are favored to control the match and create numerous scoring opportunities. Alaves will need a solid defensive performance to secure any points in this matchup.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Alaves goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5	3	2	1
1	7	10	5	2	1
2	9	10	6	2	1
3	7	7	4	1
4	4	4	2	1
5	2	2	1

↑ Barcelona goals · most likely 1–1 (10.4%)

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Players in form

Barcelona

Raphinha 12 gls

Lamine Yamal 7 gls

Fermín 4 gls

K. Adeyemi 2 gls

Alaves

L. Boyé 4 gls

M. Díaz 3 gls

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Match Result

Home Win

60%

Draw

23%

Away Win

17%

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS Yes 40% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

15%

1.5

85%

37%

2.5

63%

60%

3.5

40%

78%

4.5

22%

91%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

60%

Draw

23%

Away Win

17%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

78% Home (No Draw) 22% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

38% Home Win by 2+ 7% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

60% Home Scores More 23% Equal Goals 17% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

15%

1.5

85%

37%

2.5

63%

60%

3.5

40%

78%

4.5

22%

91%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS Yes 40% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

22%

23%

19%

12%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.0%	3.0%	2.3%	0.8%	0.2%
1	7.1%	10.4%	5.0%	1.9%	0.5%
2	9.2%	10.1%	5.5%	2.0%	0.6%
3	6.7%	7.4%	4.1%	1.5%	0.4%
4	3.7%	4.1%	2.2%	0.8%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

24%

31%

26%

12%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

44%

1.5

56%

73%

2.5

27%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

18%

26%

28%

16%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Barcelona	Draw	Alaves
Barcelona	40.2%	3.9%	1.4%
Draw	18.7%	12.9%	6.5%
Alaves	3.2%	3.8%	9.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

36%

1.5

64%

2.5

36%

84%

3.5

16%

Home Exact Goals

11%

25%

28%

20%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

33%

37%

20%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Barcelona vs Alaves

2 Barcelona Wins

0 Draws

1 Alaves Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
13 May 2026	Alaves	1 - 0	Barcelona
29 Nov 2025	Barcelona	3 - 1	Alaves
02 Feb 2025	Barcelona	1 - 0	Alaves

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Barcelona — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Sevilla	W	1 - 3
16 Sep	H Racing Santander	W	7 - 2
13 Sep	A Levante	W	2 - 4
09 Sep	H Feyenoord	W	5 - 1
06 Sep	A Valencia	W	0 - 5

Alaves — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Athletic Club	D	0 - 0
15 Sep	H Valencia	L	0 - 1
12 Sep	A Racing Santander	L	2 - 1
06 Sep	H Osasuna	W	5 - 2
28 Aug	H Villarreal	W	1 - 0

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.