Alaves vs Malaga Previsione

La Liga · Regular Season - 10

25 Oct 2026, 16:00

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Malaga

Away

Previsione AI Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Alaves

63%

24%

14%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Alaves vs Malaga: Sportiko assegna a Alaves una probabilità di vittoria del 63%, a Malaga del 14% e al pareggio del 24%. Ultimo aggiornamento 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

2:0 · 12.2%

Both teams to score

49%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

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Alaves

DLLWW

Malaga

LLDDL

Last 3 meetings Alaves · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming La Liga clash, Alaves will face Malaga, both teams striving for crucial points as the season progresses. Alaves has shown a solid home record, leveraging their tactical discipline and strong defensive setup. Meanwhile, Malaga has struggled on the road, often conceding goals, which could be pivotal in this match. Key players to watch include Alaves' leading scorer, who could exploit Malaga's defensive vulnerabilities. Overall, this matchup promises to be competitive, with both teams needing a win to enhance their standings.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Malaga goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	8	4	2	1
1	11	11	4	1
2	12	10	4	1
3	8	7	3	1
4	4	3	1
5	2	1	1

↑ Alaves goals · most likely 2–0 (12.2%)

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Players in form

Alaves

L. Boyé 4 gls

M. Díaz 3 gls

Malaga

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

63%

Draw

24%

Away Win

14%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

48%

2.5

52%

71%

3.5

29%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

63%

Draw

24%

Away Win

14%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

82% Home (No Draw) 18% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

39% Home Win by 2+ 4% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

63% Home Scores More 24% Equal Goals 14% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

48%

2.5

52%

71%

3.5

29%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

15%

26%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.6%	3.8%	2.1%	0.6%	0.1%
1	11.1%	11.4%	4.1%	1.1%	0.2%
2	12.2%	9.9%	4.0%	1.1%	0.2%
3	8.0%	6.5%	2.6%	0.7%	0.1%
4	4.0%	3.2%	1.3%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

54%

1.5

46%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

31%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Alaves	Draw	Malaga
Alaves	41.3%	3.4%	0.9%
Draw	20.5%	14.9%	5.6%
Malaga	2.6%	3.5%	7.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

42%

1.5

58%

70%

2.5

30%

88%

3.5

12%

Home Exact Goals

14%

28%

27%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

81%

1.5

19%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

44%

36%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

69%

0.5

31%

95%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

93%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Alaves vs Malaga

3 Alaves Wins

0 Draws

0 Malaga Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
06 May 2018	Malaga	0 - 3	Alaves
21 Dec 2017	Alaves	1 - 0	Malaga
11 Mar 2017	Malaga	1 - 2	Alaves

Vedi tutti i 4 incontri — Premium

Alaves — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Athletic Club	D	0 - 0
15 Sep	H Valencia	L	0 - 1
12 Sep	A Racing Santander	L	2 - 1
06 Sep	H Osasuna	W	5 - 2
28 Aug	H Villarreal	W	1 - 0

Malaga — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Getafe	L	1 - 0
17 Sep	H Villarreal	L	1 - 3
13 Sep	A Celta Vigo	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	H Levante	D	0 - 0
30 Aug	A Real Madrid	L	4 - 0

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.