Valencia vs Villarreal Previsione
Pronostico Valencia vs Villarreal: Sportiko assegna a Valencia una probabilità di vittoria del 28%, a Villarreal del 45% e al pareggio del 27%. Ultimo aggiornamento 24 Oct 2026, 18:32.
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Premium- 1st Half Over 0.5 73%
- Casa a Segno 71%
Match Report
Valencia fell behind early in a chaotic first half, with Pepelu converting a VAR-confirmed penalty in the 38th minute to give the hosts a 1–0 lead at the break. The opening period was feisty, seeing yellow cards for Dani Raba — who conceded the spot kick — Renato Veiga, and Ayoze Pérez, setting a combative tone that would define the afternoon.
Villarreal, who had dominated possession with 62% of the ball and attempted 19 shots across the match, turned the game around in the second half. Alexander Freeman levelled on 69 minutes before a VAR review upgraded Pape Gueye's yellow card to a red on 79 minutes, leaving Valencia a man down. The visitors capitalised on that numerical advantage when Georges Mikautadze struck deep into stoppage time to seal a 2–1 win, with H. Elliott also receiving a late red card for Valencia to compound their misery.
The result was the outcome our pre-match AI model had rated most likely at 45%. Villarreal's superiority in chances created — expected goals of 1.21 to 1.17 — ultimately proved decisive despite Valencia's greater accuracy on target.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Valencia
Match Stats
Valencia
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Hugo Duro F | 6.8 | 13' | – | – | 1 | 3 (1%) | – |
| 14 José Luis Gayà D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 24 (20%) | – |
| 18 Pepelu M | 6.6 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 40 (31%) | 1 |
| 5 César Tárrega D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 25 (18%) | – |
| 11 Luis Rioja M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 29 (25%) | 2 |
| 8 Javier Guerra F | 6.4 | 70' | – | – | – | 13 (10%) | 4 |
| 23 Filip Ugrinić M | 6.3 | 13' | – | – | 1 | 14 (12%) | 1 |
| 7 Arnaut Danjuma F | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 13 (10%) | – |
| 12 Justin De Haas D | 6.2 | 77' | – | – | – | 23 (17%) | 2 |
| 27 David Otorbi M | 6.1 | 14' | – | – | – | 1 | – |
| 19 Dani Raba F | 6.0 | 56' | – | – | – | 15 (10%) | – |
| 24 Pablo Maffeo D | 6.0 | 77' | – | – | – | 17 (10%) | 1 |
| 2 Guido Rodríguez M | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 43 (35%) | 2 |
| 22 Arnau Martínez D | 5.8 | 20' | – | – | – | 16 (11%) | – |
| 1 Stole Dimitrievski G | 5.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 39 (25%) | – |
| 10 H. Elliott M | 5.4 | 19' | – | – | – | 9 (8%) | – |
Villarreal
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Georges Mikautadze F | 7.8 | 24' | 1 | – | 1 | 9 (6%) | – |
| 3 Alexander Freeman D | 7.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 57 (48%) | 2 |
| 25 Péter Gulácsi G | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 14 (12%) | – |
| 11 Ilias Akhomach M | 7.0 | 65' | – | – | 2 | 22 (19%) | – |
| 23 Sergi Cardona D | 6.8 | 25' | – | 1 | – | 17 (13%) | 4 |
| 8 Juan Foyth D | 6.8 | 65' | – | – | – | 52 (49%) | – |
| 10 Alberto Moleiro M | 6.7 | 25' | – | 1 | 2 | 9 (7%) | – |
| 17 Tajon Buchanan M | 6.6 | 87' | – | – | 4 | 33 (27%) | – |
| 15 Santiago Mouriño D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 61 (56%) | 2 |
| 12 Renato Veiga D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 83 (73%) | 1 |
| 7 Gerard Moreno F | 6.5 | 82' | – | – | 1 | 37 (32%) | 2 |
| 6 Pau Navarro D | 6.4 | 3' | – | – | – | 6 (6%) | – |
| 14 Santi Comesaña M | 6.3 | 8' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | – |
| 22 Ayoze Pérez F | 6.3 | 66' | – | – | 1 | 6 (4%) | – |
| 16 Carlos Maciá M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 55 (45%) | 3 |
| 18 Pape Gueye M | 5.9 | 79' | – | – | 6 | 59 (52%) | 1 |
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Valencia vs Villarreal
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb 2026 | Villarreal | 2 - 1 | Valencia |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Valencia | 0 - 2 | Villarreal |
| 15 Feb 2025 | Villarreal | 1 - 1 | Valencia |
Valencia — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Real Madrid | L | 0 - 3 |
| 01 Nov | A Elche | W | 0 - 1 |
| 24 Oct | H Villarreal | L | 1 - 2 |
| 17 Oct | H Athletic Club | D | 0 - 0 |
| 11 Oct | A Racing Santander | D | 2 - 2 |
Villarreal — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov | H Paris Saint Germain | L | 0 - 6 |
| 30 Oct | H Espanyol | L | 0 - 1 |
| 27 Oct | A Manacor | W | 0 - 5 |
| 24 Oct | A Valencia | W | 1 - 2 |
| 20 Oct | A Liverpool | L | 4 - 3 |
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 46 | 12 | +34 | 30 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 10 | +21 | 30 |
| 3 |
Atletico Madrid
|
11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 8 | +14 | 28 |
| 4 |
Real Betis
|
11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 15 | +3 | 23 |
| 5 |
Real Sociedad
|
11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 19 |
| 6 |
Sevilla
|
12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 18 |
| 7 |
Athletic Club
|
11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 11 | +4 | 16 |
| 8 |
Deportivo La Coruna
|
12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 |
Racing Santander
|
12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 14 |
| 10 |
Alaves
|
12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 |
Villarreal
|
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 |
Celta Vigo
|
11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 12 |
| 13 |
Espanyol
|
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 |
Rayo Vallecano
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 |
Getafe
|
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 12 |
| 16 |
Osasuna
|
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
| 17 |
Elche
|
11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 10 |
| 18 |
Levante
|
11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 10 |
| 19 |
Valencia
|
12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
| 20 |
Malaga
|
12 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | -14 | 5 |
Valencia
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: J. Aguirre
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Dimitrievski | G |
| 24 | Pablo Maffeo | D |
| 5 | César Tárrega | D |
| 12 | J. de Haas | D |
| 14 | José Gayà | D |
| 27 | David Otorbi | M |
| 2 | G. Rodríguez | M |
| 18 | Pepelu | M |
| 11 | Luis Rioja | M |
| 8 | Javi Guerra | F |
| 7 | A. Danjuma | F |
Substitutes
| 21 | Jesús Vázquez | D |
| 25 | K. van Oevelen | G |
| 23 | F. Ugrinic | M |
| 39 | R. Sato | M |
| 19 | Dani Raba | F |
| 33 | Aaron Mayol | M |
| 22 | Arnau Martínez | D |
| 10 | H. Elliott | M |
| 9 | Hugo Duro | F |
| 15 | A. Dieng | M |
| 4 | M. Diakhaby | D |
| 37 | Aimar Blázquez | F |
Villarreal
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: Iñigo Pérez
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 25 | P. Gulácsi | G |
| 15 | S. Mouriño | D |
| 8 | J. Foyth | D |
| 12 | Renato Veiga | D |
| 3 | A. Freeman | D |
| 11 | Ilias Akhomach | M |
| 16 | C. Macia | M |
| 18 | P. Gueye | M |
| 17 | T. Buchanan | M |
| 7 | Gerard Moreno | F |
| 22 | Ayoze Pérez | F |
Substitutes
| 23 | Sergi Cardona | D |
| 2 | Logan Costa | D |
| 14 | Santi Comesaña | M |
| 5 | A. Diatta | M |
| 27 | N. El Jmili | F |
| 13 | Rubén Gómez | G |
| 1 | Luíz Júnior | G |
| 9 | G. Mikautadze | F |
| 10 | Alberto Moleiro | M |
| 6 | Pau Navarro | D |
| 21 | T. Oluwaseyi | F |
| 28 | Joselillo Gaitán | F |