Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla Previsione

La Liga · Regular Season - 6

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Sevilla

Away

Previsione AI Deportivo La Coruna o pareggio

35%

31%

33%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla: Sportiko assegna a Deportivo La Coruna una probabilità di vittoria del 35%, a Sevilla del 33% e al pareggio del 31%. Ultimo aggiornamento 16 Sep 2026, 18:58.

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1st Half Home or Draw 76%
2nd Half Over 0.5 72%
Casa a Segno 70%
Oltre 1.5 Gol 70%

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Match Report

Deportivo La Coruña and Sevilla were locked in a tight, goalless first half, with the hosts edging possession in spells but neither side creating clear-cut chances before the break. The game's decisive moment arrived early in the second half when Miguel Ángel Sierra Ortega broke the deadlock for Sevilla on 52 minutes, giving the visitors the lead they would ultimately protect.

The match then took a dramatic turn when a VAR review upgraded a decision against Angeliño, resulting in a red card on 59 minutes that left Sevilla with ten men for the remainder of the game. Despite the numerical disadvantage, Sevilla managed the contest effectively, limiting Deportivo to just six shots on target across the full ninety minutes while registering only four total attempts themselves. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Deportivo home win as the most likely outcome at 35%, a call that did not materialise.

Deportivo pushed hard in the closing stages but could not find an equaliser, with a flurry of yellow cards in stoppage time reflecting the game's increasingly fractious finish. Sevilla held firm to claim all three points.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Bil Nsongo ⇄ Adama Traoré

45' ⇄

HT 0–0

⚽ 0–1 52'

Miguel Ángel Sierra Ortega

Riki Rodríguez ⇄ Mario Soriano

57' ⇄

Yeremay Hernández ⇄ Jonathan Asp Jensen

57' ⇄

Angeliño Card upgrade confirmed

58' 🖵

Angeliño Red Card

59' ▮

Luismi Cruz ⇄ Giacomo Quagliata

61' ⇄

▮ 65'

Kike Salas Yellow Card

⇄ 76'

Lucas Stassin ⇄ Isaac Romero

Lorenzo Amatucci Yellow Card

77' ▮

▮ 79'

Jon Guridi Yellow Card

⇄ 81'

Jon Guridi ⇄ Giorgi Kochorashvili

⇄ 81'

Félix Correia ⇄ Julio Díaz

José María Giménez ⇄ Zakaria Eddahchouri

83' ⇄

⇄ 90+1'

Miguel Ángel Sierra Ortega ⇄ Robbie Ure

▮ 90+4'

Isaac Romero Yellow Card

▮ 90+6'

Juan Iglesias Yellow Card

FT 0–1

Deportivo La Coruna

Match Stats

Sevilla

53% Ball Possession 47%

4 Total Shots 11

3 Shots on Goal 6

1 Shots off Goal 3

0 Blocked Shots 2

1 Shots insidebox 5

3 Shots outsidebox 6

4 Corner Kicks 4

15 Fouls 16

1 Yellow Cards 4

1 Red Cards 0

5 Goalkeeper Saves 3

498 Total passes 444

427 Passes accurate 364

16 Free Kicks 15

Deportivo La Coruna

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
13 Leo Román G	7.8	90'	–	–	–	42 (36%)	–
15 Miguel Loureiro D	7.4	90'	–	–	–	76 (66%)	4
20 José María Giménez D	7.0	83'	–	–	–	64 (57%)	1
21 Mario Soriano M	7.0	33'	–	–	1	22 (20%)	2
32 Bil Nsongo F	6.8	45'	–	–	1	8 (7%)	1
10 Yeremay Hernández M	6.8	57'	–	–	–	34 (29%)	5
16 Lorenzo Amatucci M	6.7	90'	–	–	–	65 (59%)	1
14 Riki Rodríguez M	6.6	57'	–	–	–	30 (26%)	–
18 Jonathan Asp Jensen M	6.5	33'	–	–	2	9 (9%)	1
2 Adrià Altimira D	6.5	90'	–	–	–	53 (46%)	–
12 Giacomo Quagliata D	6.4	29'	–	–	–	14 (9%)	1
19 Luismi Cruz M	6.4	61'	–	–	–	22 (19%)	2
7 Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang F	6.3	90'	–	–	–	18 (14%)	–
9 Zakaria Eddahchouri F	6.3	7'	–	–	–	5 (3%)	1
24 Adama Traoré F	6.1	45'	–	–	–	6 (4%)	–
17 Angeliño D	5.1	59'	–	–	–	30 (23%)	1

Sevilla

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
30 Miguel Ángel Sierra Ortega M	8.2	89'	1	–	2	35 (27%)	5
1 Odysseas Vlachodimos G	7.2	90'	–	–	–	16 (12%)	–
6 Lucien Agoumé M	7.2	90'	–	–	1	65 (60%)	4
5 Andres Castrin D	7.1	90'	–	–	–	57 (51%)	2
20 Félix Correia M	6.7	81'	–	–	1	25 (19%)	3
17 Gabriel Suazo D	6.7	90'	–	–	–	36 (29%)	3
4 Kike Salas D	6.6	90'	–	–	1	50 (40%)	1
8 Giorgi Kochorashvili M	6.6	9'	–	–	1	18 (15%)	–
3 Julio Díaz D	6.5	9'	–	–	–	6 (5%)	–
2 Juan Iglesias D	6.4	90'	–	–	–	44 (35%)	2
18 Jon Guridi M	6.4	81'	–	–	1	29 (23%)	2
16 Isaac Romero F	6.3	14'	–	–	–	8 (5%)	3
24 Youssouf Fofana M	6.2	90'	–	–	–	37 (31%)	3
19 Lucas Stassin F	6.1	76'	–	–	4	14 (9%)	1
9 Robbie Ure F	0.0	1'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–

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Confidence Low (35%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

Deportivo La Coruna o pareggio

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.9%

Both teams to score

50%

Over 2.5 goals

42%

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Deportivo La Coruna

DLDWW

Sevilla

LWWDL

Last 3 meetings Deportivo La Coruna · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

Deportivo La Coruna will face Sevilla in a La Liga matchup that promises to be competitive. Deportivo has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match this season, while Sevilla boasts a more solid backline, allowing just 1.2 goals per game. Offensively, Sevilla has shown greater efficiency, averaging 1.5 goals per match compared to Deportivo's 1.0. Key players to watch include Sevilla’s top scorer, who has been pivotal in their attacking plays. This match could heavily influence both teams' standings as they look to secure crucial points early in the season.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

35%

10%

Draw

31%

45%

Away

33%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Sevilla goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	11	9	6	2	1
1	10	15	8	3	1
2	7	8	5	2	1
3	3	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Deportivo La Coruna goals · most likely 1–1 (14.8%)

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Players in form

Deportivo La Coruna

P. Aubameyang 5 gls

Sevilla

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

35%

Away Win

33%

Draw

31%

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS Yes 50% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

35%

Away Win

33%

Draw

31%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

51% Home (No Draw) 49% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

16% Home Win by 2+ 15% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

35% Home Scores More 33% Away Scores More 31% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS Yes 50% BTTS No

Exact Goals

11%

19%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.0%	9.2%	6.4%	2.5%	0.7%
1	9.5%	14.9%	7.7%	3.0%	0.9%
2	6.8%	8.0%	4.7%	1.8%	0.5%
3	2.7%	3.2%	1.9%	0.7%	0.2%
4	0.8%	1.0%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

70%

1.5

30%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Deportivo La Coruna	Draw	Sevilla
Deportivo La Coruna	21.5%	4.8%	1.9%
Draw	13.3%	20.3%	13.9%
Sevilla	1.6%	4.0%	18.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

31%

36%

21%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla

0 Deportivo La Coruna Wins

1 Draws

2 Sevilla Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
17 Apr 2018	Deportivo La Coruna	0 - 0	Sevilla
02 Dec 2017	Sevilla	2 - 0	Deportivo La Coruna
08 Apr 2017	Sevilla	4 - 2	Deportivo La Coruna

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Deportivo La Coruna — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Real Betis	D	1 - 1
16 Sep	H Sevilla	L	0 - 1
13 Sep	A Getafe	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	A Villarreal	W	2 - 3
30 Aug	H Valencia	W	3 - 1

Sevilla — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Barcelona	L	1 - 3
16 Sep	A Deportivo La Coruna	W	0 - 1
11 Sep	H Valencia	W	1 - 0
06 Sep	A Espanyol	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	H Atletico Madrid	L	1 - 3

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Sevilla

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Luis García

1 Vlachodimos

17 Suazo

4 Salas

5 Castrín

2 Iglesias

24 Fofana

6 Agoumé

20 Correia

18 Guridi

30 Sierra

19 Stassin

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	O. Vlachodimos	G
2	Juan Iglesias	D
5	Andrés Castrín	D
4	Kike Salas	D
17	G. Suazo	D
6	L. Agoumé	M
24	Y. Fofana	M
30	M. Sierra	M
18	Jon Guridi	M
20	Félix Correia	M
19	L. Stassin	F

Substitutes

22	José Ángel Carmona	D
3	Julio Díaz del Romo	D
21	C. Ejuke	F
10	Peque Fernández	F
7	Alfon González	F
13	Fran González	G
8	G. Kochorashvili	M
34	Iker Ortín Muñoz	D
16	Isaac	F
9	R. Ure	F
23	Marcão	D
14	Manu Bueno	M