Osasuna vs Espanyol Previsione

La Liga · Regular Season - 5

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Espanyol

Away

Previsione AI Osasuna o pareggio

45%

30%

25%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Osasuna vs Espanyol: Sportiko assegna a Osasuna una probabilità di vittoria del 45%, a Espanyol del 25% e al pareggio del 30%. Ultimo aggiornamento 12 Sep 2026, 16:07.

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Casa a Segno 75%
2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
1st Half Draw or Away 74%
Oltre 1.5 Gol 70%

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Match Report

Espanyol claimed a comfortable 2–0 victory at El Sadar in matchday five of La Liga, with the points effectively secured inside the opening 20 minutes. Roberto Fernández was the decisive figure, netting twice in quick succession — first in the third minute and again in the 17th — to give the visitors a commanding lead that Osasuna never looked capable of overturning.

The hosts had a difficult afternoon throughout, struggling to impose themselves on a disciplined Espanyol side that controlled possession at 61 percent and registered 11 total shots to Osasuna's six. The home side's frustrations were evident in a feisty first half that produced four yellow cards before the break, with Kike Barja, Jon Moncayola, Clemens Riedel, and Omar El Hilali all booked. Despite a flurry of substitutions from Osasuna after the interval, they managed only three shots on target and never seriously threatened a comeback.

Our pre-match AI model had rated an Osasuna win as the most likely outcome at 45 percent — a call that proved well wide of the mark as Espanyol's clinical early finishing proved the difference.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 3'

Roberto Fernández assist: Marcos Fernández

⚽ 0–2 17'

Roberto Fernández assist: Omar El Hilali

Kike Barja Yellow Card

30' ▮

Jon Moncayola Yellow Card

39' ▮

▮ 40'

Clemens Riedel Yellow Card

▮ 45'

Omar El Hilali Yellow Card

Diego Rico ⇄ Abel Bretones

45' ⇄

HT 0–2

Iñigo Arguibide ⇄ Asier Osambela

59' ⇄

Rubén García ⇄ Raúl Moro

60' ⇄

Kike Barja ⇄ Jonathan Dubasin

60' ⇄

⇄ 66'

Marcos Fernández ⇄ Gabriel Moscardo

⇄ 66'

Tyrhys Dolan ⇄ Álex Calatrava

Raúl García de Haro ⇄ Romain Del Castillo

71' ⇄

⇄ 80'

Roberto Fernández ⇄ Pere Milla

⇄ 80'

Javier Hernández ⇄ Bryan Zaragoza

▮ 87'

Roger Hinojo Yellow Card

⇄ 89'

Edu Expósito ⇄ Vanja Drkušić

FT 0–2

Osasuna

Match Stats

Espanyol

61% Ball Possession 39%

11 Total Shots 6

4 Shots on Goal 3

5 Shots off Goal 1

2 Blocked Shots 2

5 Shots insidebox 3

6 Shots outsidebox 3

3 Corner Kicks 4

10 Fouls 24

2 Yellow Cards 3

0 Red Cards 0

1 Goalkeeper Saves 4

489 Total passes 317

410 Passes accurate 252

22 Free Kicks 8

Osasuna

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
48 Rockson Yeboah D	7.1	90'	–	–	–	66 (60%)	2
24 Alejandro Catena D	6.8	90'	–	–	–	76 (63%)	4
18 Raúl Moro F	6.8	30'	–	–	3	10 (8%)	–
23 Abel Bretones D	6.7	44'	–	–	–	35 (32%)	1
8 Iker Muñoz M	6.6	90'	–	–	1	66 (58%)	–
11 Kike Barja M	6.6	60'	–	–	–	8 (4%)	–
7 Jon Moncayola M	6.5	90'	–	–	–	50 (44%)	2
17 Ante Budimir F	6.4	90'	–	–	1	17 (12%)	–
15 Diego Rico D	6.4	46'	–	–	–	20 (17%)	2
14 Rubén García M	6.4	60'	–	–	2	27 (20%)	4
9 Raúl García de Haro M	6.3	71'	–	–	2	12 (10%)	–
21 Jonathan Dubasin F	6.3	30'	–	–	2	19 (19%)	–
20 Romain Del Castillo M	6.1	19'	–	–	–	8 (8%)	1
27 Iñigo Arguibide D	6.1	59'	–	–	–	18 (16%)	1
29 Asier Osambela M	5.9	31'	–	–	–	23 (18%)	1
1 Sergio Herrera G	5.7	90'	–	–	–	26 (16%)	1

Espanyol

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
9 Roberto Fernández F	8.8	80'	2	–	2	10 (3%)	–
23 Omar El Hilali D	7.8	90'	–	1	–	33 (30%)	5
18 Marcos Fernández M	7.7	66'	–	1	2	8 (5%)	–
13 Marko Dmitrović G	7.5	90'	–	–	–	32 (16%)	–
6 Leandro Cabrera D	7.5	90'	–	–	–	41 (37%)	–
8 Edu Expósito M	7.2	89'	–	–	1	35 (32%)	1
16 Vanja Drkušić D	7.0	1'	–	–	–	–	–
20 Gabriel Moscardo M	6.9	24'	–	–	–	6 (6%)	2
5 Clemens Riedel D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	44 (35%)	2
11 Pere Milla M	6.8	10'	–	–	1	1	1
4 Urko González M	6.7	90'	–	–	–	27 (24%)	–
28 Javier Hernández M	6.7	80'	–	–	–	23 (19%)	4
21 Roger Hinojo D	6.6	90'	–	–	–	39 (31%)	1
22 Álex Calatrava F	6.6	24'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	1
15 Bryan Zaragoza F	6.5	10'	–	–	–	1	–
24 Tyrhys Dolan M	6.4	66'	–	–	–	12 (11%)	–

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Confidence Low (45%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

Osasuna o pareggio

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.4%

Both teams to score

49%

Over 2.5 goals

43%

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Osasuna

DLLLW

Espanyol

LLWDL

Last 3 meetings Osasuna · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

Osasuna faces Espanyol in a La Liga matchup that promises to be competitive. Osasuna has shown a solid defensive record with an average of 1.2 goals conceded per match this season, while their attacking output stands at 1.4 goals scored per match. Espanyol, on the other hand, struggles with consistency, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded per game. The effectiveness of Osasuna's midfield in controlling possession and creating chances will be crucial, as Espanyol's defense may be tested. Overall, this match could hinge on Osasuna's ability to capitalize on set pieces and break down Espanyol's defensive organization.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

45%

Draw

30%

45%

Away

25%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Espanyol goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	11	7	5	1
1	11	14	6	2	1
2	9	9	4	1
3	4	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Osasuna goals · most likely 1–1 (14.4%)

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Players in form

Osasuna

A. Budimir 5 gls

Espanyol

Roberto Fernández 6 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

45%

Draw

30%

Away Win

25%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

45%

Draw

30%

Away Win

25%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

64% Home (No Draw) 36% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

22% Home Win by 2+ 10% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

45% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals 25% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

19%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.9%	7.5%	4.5%	1.5%	0.4%
1	11.2%	14.4%	6.3%	2.1%	0.5%
2	9.0%	8.9%	4.4%	1.5%	0.4%
3	4.2%	4.2%	2.1%	0.7%	0.2%
4	1.5%	1.5%	0.7%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

40%

34%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Osasuna	Draw	Espanyol
Osasuna	22.0%	3.2%	1.0%
Draw	20.7%	19.9%	9.8%
Espanyol	3.1%	5.2%	15.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

37%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Osasuna vs Espanyol

1 Osasuna Wins

0 Draws

2 Espanyol Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
17 May 2026	Osasuna	1 - 2	Espanyol
31 Aug 2025	Espanyol	1 - 0	Osasuna
18 May 2025	Osasuna	2 - 0	Espanyol

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Osasuna — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Rayo Vallecano	D	1 - 1
16 Sep	A Atletico Madrid	L	4 - 0
12 Sep	H Espanyol	L	0 - 2
06 Sep	A Alaves	L	5 - 2
31 Aug	H Getafe	W	1 - 0

Espanyol — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Elche	L	1 - 3
15 Sep	A Rayo Vallecano	L	2 - 1
12 Sep	A Osasuna	W	0 - 2
06 Sep	H Sevilla	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	A Real Sociedad	L	2 - 1

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Espanyol

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Manolo González

13 Dmitrović

21 Hinojo

6 Cabrera

5 Riedel

23 Hilali

4 González

8 Expósito

24 Dolan

28 Hernandez

18 Fernández

9 Fernández

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
13	M. Dmitrović	G
23	O. El Hilali	D
5	C. Riedel	D
6	L. Cabrera	D
21	Roger Hinojo	D
8	Edu Expósito	M
4	Urko González	M
18	Marcos Fernández	M
28	Javier Hernandez	M
24	T. Dolan	M
9	Roberto Fernández	F

Substitutes

22	Álex Calatrava	F
26	Rafel Bauzà	M
16	V. Drkušić	D
1	Ángel Fortuño	G
20	Gabriel Moscardo	M
3	Q. Hartman	D
17	Jofre Carreras	F
32	J. A. Lopez	D
10	Pol Lozano	M
11	Pere Milla	M
14	Unai Núñez	D
15	Bryan Zaragoza	F

Osasuna

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Luis Miguel Ramis

1 Herrera

15 Rico

48 Yeboah

24 Catena

27 Arguibide

8 Muñoz

7 Moncayola

11 Barja

9 García

14 García

17 Budimir

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Sergio Herrera	G
27	Íñigo Arguibide	D
24	Catena	D
48	R. Yeboah	D
15	Diego Rico	D
7	Moncayola	M
8	Iker Muñoz	M
14	Rubén García	M
9	Raúl García	M
11	Kike Barja	M
17	A. Budimir	F

Substitutes

13	Aitor Fernández	G
31	Rafa Fernández	G
6	Lucas Torró	M
35	U. Santos	D
18	Raul Moro	F
29	Asier Osambela	M
30	Asier Bonel	F
22	F. Boyomo	D
23	Abel Bretones	D
20	R. Del Castillo	M
21	Jonathan Dubasin	F
26	Mauro Echegoyen	M