Getafe vs Celta Vigo Previsione

La Liga · Regular Season - 4

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Celta Vigo

Away

Previsione AI Getafe o pareggio

38%

35%

27%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Getafe vs Celta Vigo: Sportiko assegna a Getafe una probabilità di vittoria del 38%, a Celta Vigo del 27% e al pareggio del 35%. Ultimo aggiornamento 7 Sep 2026, 19:02.

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Under 2.5 Gol 70%
1st Half Draw or Away 70%

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Match Report

Getafe and Celta Vigo played out a 1–1 draw in La Liga's fourth matchday, though the hosts were forced into an early reshuffle when Kiko Femenia went off injured in the eighth minute. Despite that disruption, Getafe took control and were rewarded when Martín Satriano broke the deadlock in the 21st minute, a lead they carried into half-time.

Celta levelled shortly after the restart through Carl Starfelt in the 57th minute, and the match shifted dramatically ten minutes later when Zaid Romero, already on a yellow card, received a second booking to leave the visitors down to ten men. Despite the numerical advantage, Getafe — who dominated possession at 70% and registered 16 total shots — could not find a winner, with both sides finishing level.

The closing stages were feisty, with yellow cards shown to Starfelt, Ramón Terrats, and Marcos Alonso in the final quarter-hour. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Getafe win as the most likely outcome at 38%, and while the hosts did edge the contest on chances, a point apiece was ultimately all either side could take.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Kiko Femenia ⇄ Andrés García

8' ⇄

Martín Satriano

21' ⚽ 1–0

Johan Mojica Yellow Card

45+6' ▮

HT 1–0

Zaid Romero Yellow Card

55' ▮

⚽ 1–1 57'

Carl Starfelt assist: Hugo González

⇄ 64'

Javi Galán ⇄ Javier Rueda

⇄ 64'

Iago Aspas ⇄ Sergio Carreira

⇄ 64'

Jones El-Abdellaoui ⇄ Couhaib Driouech

Zaid Romero Red Card

67' ▮

⇄ 69'

Pablo Durán ⇄ Borja Iglesias

Martín Satriano ⇄ Ivan Azón

73' ⇄

▮ 77'

Carl Starfelt Yellow Card

⇄ 83'

Hugo González ⇄ Ferran Jutglà

Ramón Terrats Yellow Card

85' ▮

▮ 85'

Marcos Alonso Yellow Card

Ramón Terrats ⇄ O. Lopez

90+4' ⇄

Orel Mangala ⇄ Sebastián Boselli

90+4' ⇄

FT 1–1

Getafe

Match Stats

Celta Vigo

30% Ball Possession 70%

10 Total Shots 16

2 Shots on Goal 3

6 Shots off Goal 8

2 Blocked Shots 5

6 Shots insidebox 8

4 Shots outsidebox 8

3 Corner Kicks 5

0 Offsides 3

8 Fouls 9

2 Yellow Cards 2

1 Red Cards 0

2 Goalkeeper Saves 1

254 Total passes 590

171 Passes accurate 499

8 Free Kicks 8

Getafe

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
10 Martín Satriano F	7.8	73'	1	–	3	13 (9%)	–
6 Mario Martín M	6.6	90'	–	–	2	24 (19%)	2
11 Ramón Terrats M	6.5	94'	–	–	2	19 (16%)	1
19 Enes Ünal F	6.5	90'	–	–	1	10 (4%)	1
20 Ivan Azón F	6.4	17'	–	–	–	2	–
23 Orel Mangala M	6.3	94'	–	–	–	16 (12%)	–
17 Kiko Femenia D	6.3	8'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	–
13 David Soria G	6.2	90'	–	–	–	41 (18%)	–
21 Andrés García D	6.2	82'	–	–	–	23 (17%)	1
2 Djené D	6.1	90'	–	–	–	25 (18%)	–
8 Nemanja Gudelj D	6.1	90'	–	–	1	30 (17%)	1
22 Johan Mojica D	5.9	90'	–	–	–	15 (12%)	2
24 Zaid Romero D	5.7	67'	–	–	1	31 (24%)	–

Celta Vigo

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
2 Carl Starfelt D	7.7	90'	1	–	2	92 (87%)	3
16 Hugo González F	7.7	83'	–	1	4	29 (21%)	–
24 Couhaib Driouech F	6.9	26'	–	–	1	11 (8%)	1
17 Javier Rueda D	6.9	26'	–	–	–	9 (8%)	1
13 Ionuț Radu G	6.8	90'	–	–	–	24 (21%)	–
7 Borja Iglesias F	6.6	21'	–	–	1	5 (4%)	–
9 Ferran Jutglà F	6.6	7'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	1
18 Yoel Lago D	6.5	90'	–	–	–	79 (70%)	–
6 Ilaix Moriba M	6.4	90'	–	–	1	79 (71%)	2
8 Miguel Román M	6.4	90'	–	–	3	57 (46%)	1
5 Sergio Carreira D	6.3	26'	–	–	–	20 (16%)	–
11 Pablo Durán F	6.3	69'	–	–	1	18 (14%)	–
3 Marcos Alonso D	6.2	90'	–	–	–	83 (65%)	2
39 Jones El-Abdellaoui M	6.2	64'	–	–	1	20 (17%)	–
10 Iago Aspas F	6.0	64'	–	–	1	35 (29%)	1
22 Javi Galán M	5.9	64'	–	–	–	25 (18%)	2

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Confidence Low (38%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

Getafe o pareggio

Most likely score

0:0 · 16.6%

Both teams to score

39%

Over 2.5 goals

30%

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Getafe

WLDDL

Celta Vigo

WLDDD

Last 3 meetings Getafe · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Getafe faces Celta Vigo in a La Liga clash that promises to be competitive. Historically, Getafe has shown solid defensive organization, averaging 1.2 goals conceded per match this season. Meanwhile, Celta Vigo has struggled to convert chances, with a conversion rate of just 8% in their last five outings. Both teams will look to capitalize on their opponent's weaknesses, but with Getafe's robust defense against Celta's erratic attack, the match could lean in favor of the home side if they maintain their form. Expect a closely contested battle, possibly with low scoring opportunities.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

38%

45%

Draw

35%

45%

Away

27%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Celta Vigo goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	17	11	5	2
1	14	15	6	2
2	8	7	3	1
3	3	3	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Getafe goals · most likely 0–0 (16.6%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

38%

Draw

35%

Away Win

27%

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS No 39% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

41%

1.5

59%

70%

2.5

30%

87%

3.5

13%

96%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

38%

Draw

35%

Away Win

27%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

59% Home (No Draw) 41% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

16% Home Win by 2+ 9% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

38% Home Scores More 35% Equal Goals 27% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

41%

1.5

59%

70%

2.5

30%

87%

3.5

13%

96%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS No 39% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

17%

25%

29%

17%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

55% Even Total Goals 45% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	16.6%	10.9%	5.4%	1.5%	0.3%
1	14.0%	15.1%	5.7%	1.6%	0.3%
2	8.3%	7.1%	3.0%	0.9%	0.2%
3	2.9%	2.5%	1.1%	0.3%	0.1%
4	0.8%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

79%

1.5

21%

95%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

45%

34%

16%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

35%

34%

21%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Getafe	Draw	Celta Vigo
Getafe	23.6%	4.7%	1.5%
Draw	14.6%	25.0%	13.6%
Celta Vigo	1.0%	3.1%	12.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

35%

37%

19%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

43%

36%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Getafe vs Celta Vigo

1 Getafe Wins

1 Draws

1 Celta Vigo Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
01 Feb 2026	Getafe	0 - 0	Celta Vigo
17 Aug 2025	Celta Vigo	0 - 2	Getafe
24 May 2025	Getafe	1 - 2	Celta Vigo

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Getafe — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Malaga	W	1 - 0
17 Sep	A Real Betis	L	1 - 0
13 Sep	H Deportivo La Coruna	D	1 - 1
07 Sep	H Celta Vigo	D	1 - 1
31 Aug	A Osasuna	L	1 - 0

Celta Vigo — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Racing Santander	W	5 - 0
16 Sep	A Omonia Nicosia	L	1 - 0
13 Sep	H Malaga	D	1 - 1
07 Sep	A Getafe	D	1 - 1
03 Sep	A Real Sociedad	D	0 - 0

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Celta Vigo

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: Horacio Melgarejo

13 Radu

3 Alonso

2 Starfelt

18 Lago

22 Galán

8 Román

6 Moriba

39 Abdellaoui

16 González

11 Durán

10 Aspas

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
13	I. Radu	G
18	Yoel Lago	D
2	C. Starfelt	D
3	Marcos Alonso	D
39	J. El Abdellaoui	M
6	I. Moriba	M
8	Miguel Román	M
22	Javi Galán	M
10	Iago Aspas	F
11	Pablo Durán	F
16	Hugo González	F

Substitutes

5	Sergio Carreira	D
21	S. Cáceres	D
24	C. Driouech	F
7	Borja Iglesias	F
9	Ferran Jutglà	F
15	Álvaro Núñez	D
20	Javi Rodríguez	D
17	Javi Rueda	D
19	W. Swedberg	M
23	Hugo Álvarez	M
30	H. Burcio	M
1	A. Bayındır	G

Getafe

Formation: 5-3-2 Coach: Horacio Melgarejo

13 Soria

22 Mojica

24 Romero

2 Dakonam

8 Gudelj

17 Femenía

6 Martín

23 Mangala

11 Terrats

10 Satriano

19 Ünal

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
13	David Soria	G
17	Kiko Femenía	D
8	N. Gudelj	D
2	D. Dakonam	D
24	Z. Romero	D
22	J. Mojica	D
11	Ramón Terrats	M
23	O. Mangala	M
6	Mario Martín	M
19	E. Ünal	F
10	M. Satriano	F

Substitutes

26	J. Valou	D
30	O. Lopez	M
9	Borja Mayoral	F
3	Davinchi	D
15	S. Boselli	D
20	Iván Azón	F
27	Ebrahima Drammeh	F
35	Diego Ferrer	G
21	Andrés García	D
31	M. Hamdoune	D
1	J. Letáček	G
4	S. Sazonov	D