Valencia vs Barcelona Previsione

La Liga · Regular Season - 4

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Barcelona

Away

Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia

Previsione AI Barcelona vince o pareggia

11%

18%

72%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Valencia vs Barcelona: Sportiko assegna a Valencia una probabilità di vittoria del 11%, a Barcelona del 72% e al pareggio del 18%. Ultimo aggiornamento 6 Sep 2026, 16:19.

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Ospite a Segno 2+ 74%
Under 4.5 74%
1st Half Over 0.5 72%

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Match Report

Barcelona dismantled Valencia with a commanding 5–0 victory at Mestalla, with the tone set inside the opening ten minutes. Lamine Yamal opened the scoring in the sixth minute, though a second effort two minutes later was ruled out by VAR. Fermín López doubled the advantage on 22 minutes, and Barcelona headed into the break with a comfortable two-goal cushion despite an injury-forced substitution to Eric García before half-time.

The second half brought more of the same. Raphinha extended the lead five minutes after the restart, and Valencia's triple substitution on 54 minutes did little to stem the tide. Pedri added a fourth on 79 minutes before Yamal rounded off the scoring with a VAR-confirmed goal on 84 minutes, capping a dominant individual display. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Barcelona win at 72%, and the result emphatically vindicated that assessment.

The statistics underlined Barcelona's total control — they held 74 percent possession, registered 25 shots to Valencia's three, and kept the hosts to just two shots on target throughout the entire match.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 6'

Lamine Yamal assist: Fermín López

🖵 8'

Lamine Yamal Goal cancelled

⚽ 0–2 22'

Fermín López assist: Anthony Gordon

⇄ 29'

Eric García ⇄ Jules Koundé

▮ 45+3'

Pau Cubarsí Yellow Card

HT 0–2

▮ 47'

Rodri Yellow Card

⚽ 0–3 50'

Raphinha assist: Fermín López

Pepelu ⇄ César Tárrega

54' ⇄

Pablo Maffeo ⇄ H. Elliott

54' ⇄

Jesús Vázquez ⇄ José Luis Gayà

54' ⇄

⇄ 62'

Anthony Gordon ⇄ Karim Adeyemi

⇄ 62'

Rodri ⇄ Marc Bernal

⇄ 62'

Pau Cubarsí ⇄ Andreas Christensen

Mouctar Diakhaby ⇄ Iker Cordoba

62' ⇄

Javier Guerra ⇄ R. Sato

62' ⇄

▮ 65'

Fermín López Yellow Card

⇄ 75'

Fermín López ⇄ Dani Olmo

David Otorbi ⇄ Hugo Duro

76' ⇄

⚽ 0–4 79'

Pedri assist: Dani Olmo

Arnau Martínez Yellow Card

81' ▮

⇄ 81'

Pedri ⇄ Gabriel Jesus

⚽ 0–5 84'

Lamine Yamal assist: Dani Olmo

🖵 84'

Lamine Yamal Goal confirmed

FT 0–5

Valencia

Match Stats

Barcelona

26% Ball Possession 74%

3 Total Shots 25

2 Shots on Goal 10

1 Shots off Goal 10

0 Blocked Shots 5

3 Shots insidebox 19

0 Shots outsidebox 6

1 Corner Kicks 4

2 Offsides 4

7 Fouls 6

1 Yellow Cards 3

0 Red Cards 0

5 Goalkeeper Saves 2

280 Total passes 789

203 Passes accurate 726

6 Free Kicks 6

Valencia

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
1 Stole Dimitrievski G	6.6	90'	–	–	–	38 (12%)	–
9 Hugo Duro F	6.3	14'	–	–	–	7 (6%)	–
15 Aliou Dieng M	6.3	90'	–	–	–	20 (19%)	3
7 Arnaut Danjuma F	6.2	90'	–	–	3	12 (11%)	–
39 R. Sato M	6.0	28'	–	–	–	10 (6%)	1
23 Filip Ugrinić M	5.9	90'	–	–	–	34 (28%)	–
10 H. Elliott M	5.9	36'	–	–	–	23 (18%)	2
27 David Otorbi M	5.8	76'	–	–	–	16 (11%)	1
8 Javier Guerra M	5.7	62'	–	–	–	10 (6%)	1
18 Pepelu D	5.7	54'	–	–	–	19 (16%)	1
21 Jesús Vázquez D	5.6	54'	–	–	–	10 (9%)	2
4 Mouctar Diakhaby D	5.6	62'	–	–	–	16 (10%)	–
36 Iker Cordoba D	5.5	28'	–	–	–	17 (14%)	–
22 Arnau Martínez D	5.4	90'	–	–	–	21 (18%)	2
24 Pablo Maffeo D	5.4	54'	–	–	–	5 (2%)	–
14 José Luis Gayà D	5.3	36'	–	–	–	15 (12%)	4
5 César Tárrega D	5.0	36'	–	–	–	7 (5%)	–

Barcelona

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
7 Fermín López M	9.6	75'	1	2	4	47 (40%)	–
10 Lamine Yamal F	9.1	90'	2	–	7	78 (65%)	–
8 Pedri M	8.2	81'	1	–	2	74 (71%)	2
20 Dani Olmo M	7.8	15'	–	2	2	16 (15%)	1
11 Raphinha F	7.6	90'	1	–	3	49 (39%)	–
1 Joan García G	7.5	90'	–	–	–	15 (14%)	–
23 Jules Koundé D	7.4	61'	–	–	–	78 (75%)	1
18 Gerard Martín D	7.4	90'	–	–	–	86 (79%)	1
15 Andreas Christensen D	7.4	28'	–	–	–	46 (46%)	–
17 Anthony Gordon F	7.3	62'	–	1	2	26 (24%)	1
24 Eric García D	7.2	29'	–	–	–	34 (32%)	–
22 Marc Bernal M	7.2	28'	–	–	–	32 (31%)	–
16 Rodri M	7.1	62'	–	–	1	83 (81%)	1
12 Xavi Espart D	7.0	90'	–	–	1	38 (30%)	6
9 Gabriel Jesus F	6.9	9'	–	–	2	11 (11%)	–
5 Pau Cubarsí D	6.8	62'	–	–	–	56 (55%)	1
14 Karim Adeyemi F	6.6	28'	–	–	–	12 (11%)	–

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Confidence High (72%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

Barcelona vince o pareggia

Most likely score

0:2 · 10%

Both teams to score

58%

Over 2.5 goals

69%

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Valencia

LWLLL

Barcelona

WWWWW

Last 3 meetings Valencia · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

In this La Liga encounter, Valencia will face Barcelona in a crucial clash. Valencia, known for their solid defensive setup, will need to contain Barcelona's prolific attacking unit, spearheaded by key players. Barcelona has shown strong form, boasting a high possession percentage and an effective goal conversion rate. Valencia's effectiveness in transitions could be pivotal, especially if they can exploit any defensive vulnerabilities in Barcelona's backline. The match promises to be competitive, with tactical battles likely shaping the outcome.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Barcelona goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	4	6	10	9	6	3
1	2	8	10	9	6	3
2	1	3	5	4	3	2
3		1	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Valencia goals · most likely 0–2 (9.9%)

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Players in form

Valencia

No scorer data.

Barcelona

Raphinha 12 gls

Lamine Yamal 7 gls

Fermín 4 gls

K. Adeyemi 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

72%

Draw

18%

Home Win

11%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

96%

12%

1.5

88%

31%

2.5

69%

53%

3.5

47%

74%

4.5

26%

89%

5.5

11%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

72%

Draw

18%

Home Win

11%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

87% Away (No Draw) 13% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

51% Away Win by 2+ 4% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

72% Away Scores More 18% Equal Goals 11% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

96%

12%

1.5

88%

31%

2.5

69%

53%

3.5

47%

74%

4.5

26%

89%

5.5

11%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Exact Goals

19%

22%

20%

15%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.7%	6.5%	10.0%	9.0%	6.0%
1	1.7%	8.0%	9.6%	8.6%	5.8%
2	1.3%	3.4%	4.6%	4.1%	2.8%
3	0.4%	1.1%	1.5%	1.3%	0.9%
4	0.1%	0.3%	0.4%	0.3%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

28%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

31%

1.5

69%

59%

2.5

41%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

11%

20%

28%

21%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Valencia	Draw	Barcelona
Valencia	5.2%	3.1%	4.2%
Draw	4.3%	10.0%	25.1%
Barcelona	0.9%	2.7%	44.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

38%

37%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

26%

1.5

74%

52%

2.5

48%

76%

3.5

24%

Away Exact Goals

19%

26%

23%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

75%

1.5

25%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

48%

1.5

52%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Valencia vs Barcelona

1 Valencia Wins

0 Draws

2 Barcelona Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
23 May 2026	Valencia	3 - 1	Barcelona
14 Sep 2025	Barcelona	6 - 0	Valencia
26 Jan 2025	Barcelona	7 - 1	Valencia

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Valencia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Real Sociedad	L	2 - 3
15 Sep	A Alaves	W	0 - 1
11 Sep	A Sevilla	L	1 - 0
06 Sep	H Barcelona	L	0 - 5
30 Aug	A Deportivo La Coruna	L	3 - 1

Barcelona — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Sevilla	W	1 - 3
16 Sep	H Racing Santander	W	7 - 2
13 Sep	A Levante	W	2 - 4
09 Sep	H Feyenoord	W	5 - 1
06 Sep	A Valencia	W	0 - 5

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Barcelona

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: H. Flick

1 García

12 Espart

18 Martín

5 Paredes

24 García

8 Pedri

16 Rodri

7 Fermín

17 Gordon

11 Raphinha

10 Yamal

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Joan García	G
24	Eric García	D
5	Pau Cubarsí Paredes	D
18	Gerard Martín	D
12	X. Espart	D
7	Fermín	M
16	Rodri	M
8	Pedri	M
10	Lamine Yamal	F
11	Raphinha	F
17	A. Gordon	F

Substitutes

14	K. Adeyemi	F
29	H. Abdelkarim	F
3	Alejandro Balde	D
22	Marc Bernal	M
2	João Cancelo	D
15	A. Christensen	D
9	Gabriel Jesus	F
6	Gavi	M
23	J. Koundé	D
25	D. Livaković	G
20	Dani Olmo	M
13	W. Szczęsny	G

Valencia

Formation: 5-4-1 Coach: David Pagou

1 Dimitrievski

21 Vázquez

18 Pepelu

4 Diakhaby

22 Martínez

24 Maffeo

8 Guerra

15 Dieng

23 Ugrinic

27 Otorbi

7 Danjuma

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	S. Dimitrievski	G
24	Pablo Maffeo	D
22	Arnau Martínez	D
4	M. Diakhaby	D
18	Pepelu	D
21	Jesús Vázquez	D
27	David Otorbi	M
23	F. Ugrinic	M
15	A. Dieng	M
8	Javi Guerra	M
7	A. Danjuma	F

Substitutes

25	K. van Oevelen	G
5	César Tárrega	D
39	R. Sato	M
19	Dani Raba	F
33	Aaron Mayol	M
14	José Gayà	D
31	Rodrigo Gamón	M
10	H. Elliott	M
9	Hugo Duro	F
38	J. Dura	M
36	Iker Córdoba	D
37	Aimar Blázquez	F