Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid Previsione
Pronostico Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid: Sportiko assegna a Sevilla una probabilità di vittoria del 31%, a Atletico Madrid del 40% e al pareggio del 29%. Ultimo aggiornamento 29 Aug 2026, 21:30.
Pronostici Premium
Premium- Casa a Segno 75%
- 1st Half Draw or Away 76%
- Oltre 1.5 Gol 74%
- Ospite a Segno 70%
Match Report
Atletico Madrid made a blistering start at the Ramon Sanchez-Pizjuan, effectively settling this La Liga contest inside the opening half-hour. Alex Baena struck early in the fourth minute to give the visitors the lead, before Ademola Lookman doubled the advantage on 26 minutes. Baena added a third just seven minutes later, and Atletico headed into the break with a commanding 3-0 lead despite Sevilla enjoying 60% of possession throughout the half.
The second half offered the hosts little respite, though Miguel Angel Sierra Ortega pulled one back on 66 minutes to give the scoreline a degree of respectability. Atletico managed the remainder of the game comfortably, with a flurry of substitutions from both sides shaping the closing stages. Marcos Llorente's first-half yellow card and three late bookings for Sevilla players added a fractious edge to the final exchanges.
The result was a comfortable away win for Atletico, who produced 20 total shots to Sevilla's 12. Our pre-match AI model had rated an Atletico victory as the most likely outcome at 40%, a call that proved correct.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Sevilla
Match Stats
Sevilla
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Miguel Ángel Sierra Ortega M | 7.3 | 80' | 1 | – | 4 | 16 (10%) | 1 |
| 21 Chidera Ejuke F | 7.2 | 36' | – | – | 1 | 12 (12%) | – |
| 4 Kike Salas D | 6.9 | 91' | – | – | 1 | 54 (39%) | 1 |
| 6 Lucien Agoumé M | 6.9 | 91' | – | – | 1 | 43 (38%) | 2 |
| 10 Peque Fernández M | 6.7 | 68' | – | – | 1 | 19 (16%) | 1 |
| 5 Andres Castrin D | 6.6 | 91' | – | – | – | 34 (30%) | – |
| 8 Giorgi Kochorashvili M | 6.6 | 36' | – | – | 1 | 20 (19%) | 1 |
| 2 Juan Iglesias D | 6.5 | 91' | – | – | 1 | 19 (12%) | 2 |
| 7 Alfon González F | 6.3 | 11' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 16 Isaac Romero F | 6.3 | 23' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 9 Robbie Ure F | 6.2 | 91' | – | 1 | 3 | 15 (12%) | – |
| 3 Julio Díaz M | 6.2 | 55' | – | – | – | 12 (10%) | 1 |
| 18 Jon Guridi M | 6.0 | 55' | – | – | 1 | 18 (15%) | 1 |
| 17 Gabriel Suazo D | 5.9 | 91' | – | – | – | 57 (45%) | – |
| 1 Odysseas Vlachodimos G | 5.3 | 91' | – | – | – | 16 (9%) | – |
Atletico Madrid
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Alex Baena F | 9.3 | 85' | 2 | – | 3 | 43 (38%) | – |
| 11 Ademola Lookman M | 7.7 | 66' | 1 | – | 1 | 32 (26%) | – |
| 8 Pablo Barrios M | 7.7 | 91' | – | 1 | 1 | 79 (71%) | 3 |
| 14 Marcos Llorente D | 7.6 | 66' | – | 1 | – | 51 (48%) | 2 |
| 23 Morten Hjulmand M | 7.5 | 85' | – | – | – | 49 (46%) | 3 |
| 7 Kang-in Lee F | 7.3 | 72' | – | 1 | – | 32 (30%) | – |
| 17 Dávid Hancko D | 7.2 | 91' | – | – | – | 70 (61%) | 1 |
| 18 Marc Pubill D | 6.9 | 91' | – | – | 1 | 57 (51%) | – |
| 13 Jan Oblak G | 6.7 | 91' | – | – | – | 34 (22%) | – |
| 16 Arnau Ortiz F | 6.6 | 25' | – | – | 1 | 1 (1%) | – |
| 2 José María Giménez D | 6.5 | 25' | – | – | – | 8 (4%) | – |
| 22 Alejandro Grimaldo D | 6.3 | 91' | – | – | 1 | 35 (28%) | 2 |
| 6 Koke M | 6.3 | 19' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
| 20 Giuliano Simeone M | 6.2 | 91' | – | – | – | 27 (20%) | 2 |
| 5 Johnny Cardoso M | — | 6' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | – |
| 4 Rodrigo Mendoza M | — | 6' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
Sblocca l'analisi completa dell'AI su Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid
- Tutti i 70+ mercati di probabilità
- Report di analisi approfondita AI
- Value Edge — modello vs mercato
- Tipologie di esito che scegli
At a glance
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowMatch summary
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowPlayers in form
No scorer data.
Álex Baena
4 gls
J. David
3 gls
AI match tools
Instant AI analysis of this match.
You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.
Unlock all modelsUnlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowHead to Head: Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr 2026 | Sevilla | 2 - 1 | Atletico Madrid |
| 01 Nov 2025 | Atletico Madrid | 3 - 0 | Sevilla |
| 06 Apr 2025 | Sevilla | 1 - 2 | Atletico Madrid |
Sevilla — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Barcelona | L | 1 - 3 |
| 16 Sep | A Deportivo La Coruna | W | 0 - 1 |
| 11 Sep | H Valencia | W | 1 - 0 |
| 06 Sep | A Espanyol | D | 1 - 1 |
| 29 Aug | H Atletico Madrid | L | 1 - 3 |
Atletico Madrid — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Real Madrid | W | 2 - 1 |
| 16 Sep | H Osasuna | W | 4 - 0 |
| 13 Sep | A Real Sociedad | W | 0 - 3 |
| 09 Sep | A Liverpool | L | 2 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | A Athletic Club | L | 3 - 0 |
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 7 | +24 | 21 |
| 2 |
Atletico Madrid
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 16 |
| 3 |
Real Betis
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 16 |
| 4 |
Real Madrid
|
7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | +10 | 15 |
| 5 |
Sevilla
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 |
Alaves
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 11 |
| 7 |
Deportivo La Coruna
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 |
Real Sociedad
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 10 |
| 9 |
Villarreal
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 8 |
| 10 |
Athletic Club
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 |
Getafe
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 |
Rayo Vallecano
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 8 |
| 13 |
Osasuna
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 |
Celta Vigo
|
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 7 |
| 15 |
Espanyol
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 |
| 16 |
Racing Santander
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 7 |
| 17 |
Levante
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 5 |
| 18 |
Elche
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 5 |
| 19 |
Valencia
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 4 |
| 20 |
Malaga
|
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 3 |
Atletico Madrid
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: David Pagou
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | J. Oblak | G |
| 14 | Marcos Llorente | D |
| 18 | Marc Pubill | D |
| 17 | D. Hancko | D |
| 22 | Álex Grimaldo | D |
| 20 | G. Simeone | M |
| 8 | Pablo Barrios | M |
| 23 | M. Hjulmand | M |
| 11 | A. Lookman | M |
| 7 | Lee Kang-In | F |
| 10 | Álex Baena | F |
Substitutes
| 2 | J. Giménez | D |
| 6 | Koke | M |
| 5 | J. Cardoso | M |
| 16 | Arnau Ortiz | F |
| 4 | Rodrigo Mendoza | M |
| 46 | J. Castillo | M |
| 12 | Carlos Martín | F |
| 1 | J. Musso | G |
| 21 | C. Romero | D |
| 27 | J. Dominguez | D |
| 30 | Dani MartÃnez | D |
Sevilla
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: David Pagou
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | O. Vlachodimos | G |
| 2 | Juan Iglesias | D |
| 5 | Andrés Castrín | D |
| 4 | Kike Salas | D |
| 17 | G. Suazo | D |
| 6 | L. Agoumé | M |
| 18 | Jon Guridi | M |
| 30 | Miguel Ángel | M |
| 10 | Peque Fernández | M |
| 3 | Julio Díaz del Romo | M |
| 9 | R. Ure | F |
Substitutes
| 12 | A. Sangante | D |
| 13 | Fran González | G |
| 22 | José Ángel Carmona | D |
| 37 | I. Sow | F |
| 28 | Manu Bueno | M |
| 8 | G. Kochorashvili | M |
| 21 | C. Ejuke | F |
| 16 | Isaac | F |
| 7 | Alfon González | F |
| 26 | M. Castillo | F |