Athletic Club vs Sevilla Previsione

La Liga · Regular Season - 2

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Sevilla

Away

Previsione AI Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Athletic Club

50%

29%

21%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Athletic Club vs Sevilla: Sportiko assegna a Athletic Club una probabilità di vittoria del 50%, a Sevilla del 21% e al pareggio del 29%. Ultimo aggiornamento 22 Aug 2026, 17:03.

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Casa a Segno 73%
1st Half Draw or Away 74%
Oltre 1.5 Gol 73%

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Match Report

Athletic Club were reduced to ten men as early as the 11th minute when Yuri Berchiche received a red card, and Sevilla wasted no time exploiting the numerical advantage. Oso struck four minutes later to give the visitors a deserved lead, and despite Athletic dominating possession at 69%, they managed just two shots on target for the entire match — a reflection of how effectively Sevilla nullified the home side.

The second half brought further misery for Athletic. Chidera Ejuke doubled Sevilla's lead five minutes after the restart, and Isaac Romero added a third on 57 minutes to effectively seal the contest. Athletic did pull one back through Aitor Paredes on 70 minutes, but it proved nothing more than a consolation as Sevilla held firm to claim a comfortable victory.

The result was a significant upset — our pre-match AI model had rated an Athletic Club win as the most likely outcome at 50%. In the end, the early red card proved the decisive turning point, leaving Athletic to rue a disciplinary lapse that derailed their evening entirely.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Yuri Berchiche Red Card

11' ▮

⚽ 0–1 15'

Oso

▮ 22'

Peque Fernández Yellow Card

Gorka Guruzeta Yellow Card

25' ▮

▮ 25'

Miguel Ángel Sierra Ortega Yellow Card

▮ 39'

Jon Guridi Yellow Card

HT 0–1

⇄ 46'

Peque Fernández

⇄ 46'

Miguel Ángel Sierra Ortega ⇄ Chidera Ejuke

⇄ 46'

Jon Guridi ⇄ Isaac Romero

⚽ 0–2 50'

Chidera Ejuke assist: Isaac Romero

⚽ 0–3 57'

Isaac Romero assist: Oso

Iñaki Williams ⇄ Nico Williams

58' ⇄

Jesús Areso ⇄ Aymeric Laporte

58' ⇄

Gorka Guruzeta ⇄ Maroan Sannadi

58' ⇄

⇄ 68'

Arouna Sangante ⇄ José Ángel Carmona

Aitor Paredes assist: Yeray Álvarez

70' ⚽ 1–3

Aitor Paredes ⇄ Hugo Rincón

74' ⇄

⇄ 78'

Oso ⇄ Julio Díaz

Beñat Gerenabarrena ⇄ Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta

83' ⇄

Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta Yellow Card

87' ▮

▮ 90+1'

Isaac Romero Yellow Card

FT 1–3

Athletic Club

Match Stats

Sevilla

69% Ball Possession 31%

0.03 Expected Goals (xG) 0.00

2 Total Shots 0

2 Shots on Goal 0

0 Shots off Goal 0

0 Blocked Shots 0

0 Shots insidebox 0

2 Shots outsidebox 0

1 Corner Kicks 1

0 Offsides 1

2 Fouls 1

Yellow Cards

Red Cards

0 Goalkeeper Saves 2

83 Total passes 36

69 Passes accurate 26

83% Passes % 72%

0.01 goals_prevented 0.01

Athletic Club

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
17 Yuri Berchiche D	6.7	11'	–	–	–	17 (14%)	–
12 Jesús Areso D	6.7	11'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	1
28 Peio Canales M	6.7	11'	–	–	–	8 (8%)	–
4 Aitor Paredes D	6.6	11'	–	–	–	16 (15%)	1
11 Gorka Guruzeta F	6.5	11'	–	–	–	3	–
24 Beñat Gerenabarrena M	6.5	11'	–	–	1	3 (3%)	–
1 Unai Simón G	6.3	11'	–	–	–	6 (5%)	–
9 Iñaki Williams M	6.3	11'	–	–	1	5 (3%)	–
5 Yeray Álvarez D	6.3	11'	–	–	–	10 (8%)	–
8 Oihan Sancet M	6.3	11'	–	–	–	6 (6%)	–
7 Álex Berenguer M	6.3	11'	–	–	–	7 (5%)	–

Sevilla

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
5 Andres Castrin D	6.7	11'	–	–	–	7 (6%)	–
6 Lucien Agoumé M	6.7	11'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	–
30 Miguel Ángel Sierra Ortega M	6.7	11'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	1
19 Oso M	6.6	11'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–
12 Arouna Sangante D	6.5	11'	–	–	–	5 (1%)	–
2 Juan Iglesias D	6.5	11'	–	–	–	–	–
10 Peque Fernández M	6.5	11'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
18 Jon Guridi M	6.5	11'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	–
9 Robbie Ure F	6.3	11'	–	–	–	–	–
1 Odysseas Vlachodimos G	6.3	11'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	–
17 Gabriel Suazo D	6.3	11'	–	–	–	9 (6%)	–

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Confidence Medium (50%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Athletic Club

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.5%

Both teams to score

52%

Over 2.5 goals

45%

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Athletic Club

DDWWL

Sevilla

LWWDL

Last 3 meetings Athletic Club · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

Athletic Club faces Sevilla in a La Liga matchup with both teams looking to assert their early-season form. Athletic finished last season strong, showcasing a solid home record, while Sevilla has historically been resilient away from home. Key player performances will be crucial, particularly in midfield where both teams excel. Tactical setups will likely focus on possession and pressing, making control of the midfield pivotal for securing points in this encounter.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Sevilla goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	8	6	2	1
1	9	15	8	3	1
2	7	8	5	2	1
3	3	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Athletic Club goals · most likely 1–1 (14.5%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

50%

Draw

29%

Away Win

21%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

55%

2.5

45%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

50%

Draw

29%

Away Win

21%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

55% Home (No Draw) 45% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

18% Home Win by 2+ 13% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

38% Home Scores More 31% Away Scores More 30% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

55%

2.5

45%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

17%

27%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.0%	8.1%	5.7%	2.2%	0.7%
1	9.3%	14.5%	7.5%	2.9%	0.9%
2	7.3%	8.5%	5.0%	1.9%	0.6%
3	3.2%	3.7%	2.2%	0.9%	0.3%
4	1.1%	1.2%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

74%

1.5

26%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

40%

34%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

53%

1.5

47%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Athletic Club	Draw	Sevilla
Athletic Club	20.1%	4.1%	1.8%
Draw	17.0%	19.7%	13.5%
Sevilla	2.4%	4.5%	17.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

85%

2.5

15%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

27%

35%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

31%

36%

21%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Athletic Club vs Sevilla

2 Athletic Club Wins

0 Draws

1 Sevilla Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
24 Jan 2026	Sevilla	2 - 1	Athletic Club
17 Aug 2025	Athletic Club	3 - 2	Sevilla
16 Mar 2025	Sevilla	0 - 1	Athletic Club

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Athletic Club — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Alaves	D	0 - 0
12 Sep	H Elche	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	H Atletico Madrid	W	3 - 0
30 Aug	A Celta Vigo	W	0 - 2
27 Aug	A Barcelona	L	2 - 0

Sevilla — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Barcelona	L	1 - 3
16 Sep	A Deportivo La Coruna	W	0 - 1
11 Sep	H Valencia	W	1 - 0
06 Sep	A Espanyol	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	H Atletico Madrid	L	1 - 3

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Athletic Club

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Edin Terzic

1 Simón

17 Berchiche

4 Paredes

5 Álvarez

12 Areso

28 Canales

24 Gerenabarrena

7 Berenguer

8 Sancet

9 Williams

11 Guruzeta

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Unai Simón	G
12	Jesús Areso	D
5	Yeray Álvarez	D
4	Aitor Paredes	D
17	Yuri Berchiche	D
24	Beñat Gerenabarrena	M
28	Peio Canales	M
9	Iñaki Williams	M
8	Oihan Sancet	M
7	Álex Berenguer	M
11	Gorka Guruzeta	F

Substitutes

13	Alex Padilla	G
19	Adama Boiro	D
15	Hugo Rincón	D
31	Johaneko Louis Jean	D
14	Aymeric Laporte	D
20	Alejandro Rego Mora	M
10	Nico Williams	F
16	Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta	M
18	Mikel Jauregizar	M
23	Robert Navarro	M
21	Maroan Sannadi	F
25	Álvaro Djaló	F

Sevilla

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Luis Garcia Plaza

1 Vlachodimos

17 Suazo

5 Castrin

12 Sangante

2 Iglesias

18 Guridi

6 Agoumé

19 Oso

10 Fernández

30 Sierra

9 Ure

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Odysseas Vlachodimos	G
2	Juan Iglesias	D
12	Arouna Sangante	D
5	Andres Castrin	D
17	Gabriel Suazo	D
6	Lucien Agoumé	M
18	Jon Guridi	M
30	Miguel Sierra	M
10	Peque Fernández	M
19	Oso	M
9	Robbie Ure	F

Substitutes

13	Fran González	G
33	Rafa Romero	G
34	Iker Muñoz	D
3	Julio Díaz	D
22	José Ángel Carmona	D
27	Nico Guillén	M
37	Ibra Sow	F
28	Manu Bueno	M
8	Giorgi Kochorashvili	M
16	Isaac Romero	F
21	Chidera Ejuke	F
26	Manuel Ángel Castillo	F