Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves Prediction

La Liga · Regular Season - 2

20 Aug 2026, 19:00

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Alaves

Away

Previsione AI Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Alaves

17%

26%

57%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves prediction: Sportiko gives Rayo Vallecano a 17% chance of winning, Alaves 57% and the draw 26%. Last updated 28 Jul 2026, 16:44.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.3%

Both teams to score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

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Rayo Vallecano

WDWWD

Alaves

DWLWW

Last 3 meetings Rayo Vallecano · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming La Liga clash, Rayo Vallecano faces Alaves. Rayo Vallecano has shown a solid attacking form, averaging 1.6 goals per game last season, while Alaves struggled defensively, conceding 1.8 goals per match. Both teams will look to capitalize on set pieces, as Rayo was particularly effective in this area, scoring 15 goals from corners last season. The match could hinge on Rayo's ability to maintain possession, as they averaged 53% possession in their home games, allowing them to control the tempo. Alaves will need to tighten their defense to avoid being overwhelmed.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Alaves goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8	11	11	7	3	1
1	5	12	10	6	3	1
2	3	5	5	3	1
3	1	2	1	1
4
5

↑ Rayo Vallecano goals · most likely 1–1 (12.3%)

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Match Result

Away Win

57%

Draw

26%

Home Win

17%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

57%

Draw

26%

Home Win

17%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

77% Away (No Draw) 23% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

33% Away Win by 2+ 6% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

57% Away Scores More 26% Equal Goals 17% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.0%	10.6%	10.9%	6.6%	3.0%
1	4.6%	12.3%	9.9%	6.0%	2.7%
2	2.7%	5.0%	4.5%	2.7%	1.3%
3	0.8%	1.5%	1.4%	0.8%	0.4%
4	0.2%	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

33%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

54%

1.5

46%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

31%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Alaves
Rayo Vallecano	9.6%	3.8%	2.5%
Draw	7.1%	16.1%	19.3%
Alaves	1.1%	3.8%	36.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

40%

37%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

94%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

46%

1.5

54%

73%

2.5

27%

90%

3.5

10%

Away Exact Goals

16%

30%

27%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves

3 Rayo Vallecano Wins

0 Draws

0 Alaves Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
23 May 2026	Alaves	1 - 2	Rayo Vallecano
26 Oct 2025	Rayo Vallecano	1 - 0	Alaves
29 Mar 2025	Alaves	0 - 2	Rayo Vallecano

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Rayo Vallecano — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	A Charleroi	W	2 - 3
26 Jul	A Feyenoord	D	1 - 1
23 May	A Alaves	W	1 - 2
17 May	H Villarreal	W	2 - 0
14 May	A Valencia	D	1 - 1

Alaves — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Aug	A Racing Santander	D	1 - 1
25 Jul	A Girona	W	0 - 1
23 May	H Rayo Vallecano	L	1 - 2
17 May	A Oviedo	W	0 - 1
13 May	H Barcelona	W	1 - 0

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Athletic Club	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Atletico Madrid	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Osasuna	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Alaves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Elche	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Barcelona	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Levante	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Malaga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Racing Santander	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Celta Vigo	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Deportivo La Coruna	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Espanyol	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Rayo Vallecano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Real Betis	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Real Madrid	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Real Sociedad	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Sevilla	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	Valencia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Villarreal	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.