Newcastle vs Chelsea Previsione

Premier League · Regular Season - 25

10 Feb 2027, 20:00

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Chelsea

Away

Previsione AI Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Chelsea

13%

27%

60%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Newcastle vs Chelsea: Sportiko assegna a Newcastle una probabilità di vittoria del 13%, a Chelsea del 60% e al pareggio del 27%. Ultimo aggiornamento 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

0:1 · 15%

Both teams to score

40%

Over 2.5 goals

41%

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Newcastle

WLWDW

Chelsea

LDWLW

Last 3 meetings Newcastle · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League clash between Newcastle and Chelsea, both teams will be looking to solidify their positions in the league standings. Newcastle has shown a strong defensive record, conceding only 1.1 goals per match on average this season, while Chelsea's attack has been inconsistent, averaging 1.5 goals per match. Key players like Newcastle's forward and Chelsea's playmaker will be crucial in determining the outcome. The match could hinge on set-pieces and midfield control, making it a tactical battle worth watching.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Chelsea goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	11	15	14	8	3	1
1	5	12	9	5	2	1
2	2	4	3	2	1
3		1	1
4
5

↑ Newcastle goals · most likely 0–1 (15.0%)

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Players in form

Newcastle

J. Willock 2 gls

Chelsea

João Pedro 3 gls

M. Rogers 3 gls

C. Palmer 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

60%

Draw

27%

Home Win

13%

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS No 40% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

31%

1.5

69%

60%

2.5

41%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

60%

Draw

27%

Home Win

13%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

82% Away (No Draw) 18% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

34% Away Win by 2+ 4% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

60% Away Scores More 27% Equal Goals 13% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

31%

1.5

69%

60%

2.5

41%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS No 40% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

20%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.3%	15.0%	13.6%	7.6%	3.1%
1	5.1%	12.3%	9.0%	5.0%	2.1%
2	2.2%	3.6%	3.0%	1.6%	0.7%
3	0.5%	0.8%	0.7%	0.4%	0.2%
4	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

40%

35%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Newcastle	Draw	Chelsea
Newcastle	7.6%	3.8%	2.6%
Draw	5.7%	18.4%	24.7%
Chelsea	0.6%	2.7%	33.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

97%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

52%

34%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

51%

1.5

49%

77%

2.5

23%

92%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

19%

32%

26%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Newcastle vs Chelsea

2 Newcastle Wins

1 Draws

0 Chelsea Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
14 Mar 2026	Chelsea	0 - 1	Newcastle
20 Dec 2025	Newcastle	2 - 2	Chelsea
11 May 2025	Newcastle	2 - 0	Chelsea

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Newcastle — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Hull City	W	2 - 1
14 Sep	A Leeds	L	4 - 1
08 Sep	A Millwall	W	0 - 1
05 Sep	H Bournemouth	D	2 - 2
29 Aug	A Tottenham	W	0 - 2

Chelsea — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Brentford	L	3 - 0
12 Sep	H Hull City	D	2 - 2
09 Sep	H Leeds	W	6 - 3
06 Sep	A Arsenal	L	2 - 1
30 Aug	H Brighton	W	4 - 3

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8	4	+4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10	4	+6	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7	3	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7	4	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6	3	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10	12	-2	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	7	11	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	8	8	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6	10	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6	11	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6	8	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	1	10	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5	8	-3	2
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2	8	-6	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.