Brighton vs Bournemouth Previsione

Premier League · Regular Season - 20

06 Jan 2027, 20:00

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Bournemouth

Away

Previsione AI Troppo equilibrato per una previsione

35%

29%

36%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Brighton vs Bournemouth: Sportiko assegna a Brighton una probabilità di vittoria del 35%, a Bournemouth del 36% e al pareggio del 29%. Ultimo aggiornamento 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 13.6%

Both teams to score

58%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

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Brighton

WWWDL

Bournemouth

LWDWD

Last 3 meetings Brighton · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Brighton hosts Bournemouth in a Premier League clash on January 6, 2027. Brighton has shown strong home form, with an average of 2.1 goals scored per match this season, while Bournemouth struggles defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals away. Both teams have experienced mixed results recently, but Brighton's attacking prowess and midfield control could be decisive. Key players to watch include Brighton's top scorer and Bournemouth's leading playmaker, as their performances will likely influence the outcome. Overall, Brighton's ability to dominate possession could tilt the match in their favor.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

35%

45%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

36%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Bournemouth goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	7	6	3	1
1	7	14	8	4	1
2	6	8	6	3	1
3	3	4	3	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Brighton goals · most likely 1–1 (13.6%)

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Players in form

Brighton

P. Groß 3 gls

C. Kostoulas 2 gls

M. Yalcouyé 2 gls

Bournemouth

M. Tavernier 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

36%

Home Win

35%

Draw

29%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

47%

2.5

53%

70%

3.5

30%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

36%

Home Win

35%

Draw

29%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

50% Away (No Draw) 50% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

17% Away Win by 2+ 17% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

36% Away Scores More 35% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

47%

2.5

53%

70%

3.5

30%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

26%

22%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.7%	7.1%	6.1%	2.8%	1.0%
1	7.0%	13.6%	8.4%	3.9%	1.4%
2	6.0%	8.4%	5.9%	2.7%	1.0%
3	2.8%	3.9%	2.7%	1.3%	0.4%
4	1.0%	1.4%	0.9%	0.4%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

53%

1.5

47%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Brighton	Draw	Bournemouth
Brighton	21.0%	4.6%	2.2%
Draw	13.3%	17.3%	13.3%
Bournemouth	2.2%	4.7%	21.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Brighton vs Bournemouth

1 Brighton Wins

1 Draws

1 Bournemouth Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
19 Jan 2026	Brighton	1 - 1	Bournemouth
13 Sep 2025	Bournemouth	2 - 1	Brighton
25 Feb 2025	Brighton	2 - 1	Bournemouth

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Brighton — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Arsenal	W	3 - 0
16 Sep	A Manchester United	W	2 - 3
13 Sep	A Coventry	W	0 - 5
05 Sep	H Leeds	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	A Chelsea	L	4 - 3

Bournemouth — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Liverpool	L	0 - 1
17 Sep	A Real Sociedad	W	1 - 2
12 Sep	H Brentford	D	2 - 2
08 Sep	H Lincoln	W	4 - 0
05 Sep	A Newcastle	D	2 - 2

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8	4	+4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10	4	+6	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7	3	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7	4	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6	3	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10	12	-2	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	7	11	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	8	8	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6	10	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6	11	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6	8	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	1	10	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5	8	-3	2
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2	8	-6	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.