Aston Villa vs Liverpool Previsione

Premier League · Regular Season - 18

30 Dec 2026, 20:00

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Liverpool

Away

Villa Park, Birmingham

Previsione AI Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Aston Villa

56%

26%

18%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Aston Villa vs Liverpool: Sportiko assegna a Aston Villa una probabilità di vittoria del 56%, a Liverpool del 18% e al pareggio del 26%. Ultimo aggiornamento 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 12.6%

Both teams to score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

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Aston Villa

WWLWD

Liverpool

WWDWW

Last 3 meetings Aston Villa · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League clash, Aston Villa will face Liverpool on December 30, 2026. Aston Villa has shown a solid attacking form, averaging 1.8 goals per match this season, while Liverpool boasts a potent offense, netting 2.4 goals per game. Defensively, both teams have room for improvement, with Villa conceding 1.5 goals per match and Liverpool allowing 1.2. The matchup will likely hinge on Villa's ability to contain Liverpool's high-pressing style and explosive counterattacks. Overall, it promises to be a competitive encounter with significant implications for both teams' standings.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

56%

10%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

18%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Liverpool goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	8	5	3	1
1	11	13	5	2
2	11	10	5	1
3	6	6	3	1
4	3	3	1
5	1	1

↑ Aston Villa goals · most likely 1–1 (12.6%)

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Players in form

Aston Villa

No scorer data.

Liverpool

A. Isak 4 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

56%

Draw

26%

Away Win

18%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

24%

1.5

76%

50%

2.5

50%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

56%

Draw

26%

Away Win

18%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

75% Home (No Draw) 25% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

32% Home Win by 2+ 6% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

56% Home Scores More 26% Equal Goals 18% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

24%

1.5

76%

50%

2.5

50%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.3%	4.9%	2.9%	0.9%	0.2%
1	10.7%	12.6%	5.1%	1.6%	0.4%
2	10.7%	9.9%	4.6%	1.4%	0.3%
3	6.3%	5.8%	2.7%	0.8%	0.2%
4	2.8%	2.6%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

31%

27%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Aston Villa	Draw	Liverpool
Aston Villa	35.3%	3.9%	1.2%
Draw	19.2%	16.5%	7.5%
Liverpool	2.5%	3.9%	10.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

48%

1.5

52%

75%

2.5

25%

90%

3.5

10%

Home Exact Goals

17%

30%

27%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

74%

1.5

26%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

93%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

40%

37%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

60%

0.5

40%

91%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Aston Villa vs Liverpool

1 Aston Villa Wins

1 Draws

1 Liverpool Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
15 May 2026	Aston Villa	4 - 2	Liverpool
01 Nov 2025	Liverpool	2 - 0	Aston Villa
19 Feb 2025	Aston Villa	2 - 2	Liverpool

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Aston Villa — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Tottenham	W	2 - 3
16 Sep	A Coventry	W	1 - 3
12 Sep	H Nottingham Forest	L	1 - 2
08 Sep	A Club Brugge KV	W	2 - 3
05 Sep	A Hull City	D	0 - 0

Liverpool — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Bournemouth	W	0 - 1
15 Sep	H Tottenham	W	3 - 1
12 Sep	H Fulham	D	0 - 0
09 Sep	H Atletico Madrid	W	2 - 1
04 Sep	A Ipswich	W	0 - 2

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8	4	+4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10	4	+6	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7	3	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7	4	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6	3	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10	12	-2	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	7	11	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	8	8	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6	10	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6	11	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6	8	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	1	10	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5	8	-3	2
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2	8	-6	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.