Aston Villa vs Leeds Previsione

Premier League · Regular Season - 17

26 Dec 2026, 15:00

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Leeds

Away

Villa Park, Birmingham

Previsione AI Aston Villa vince o pareggia

74%

20%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Aston Villa vs Leeds: Sportiko assegna a Aston Villa una probabilità di vittoria del 74%, a Leeds del 5% e al pareggio del 20%. Ultimo aggiornamento 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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71%

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At a glance

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Most likely score

2:0 · 19%

Both teams to score

27%

Over 2.5 goals

40%

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Aston Villa

WWLWD

Leeds

DWLDD

Last 3 meetings Aston Villa · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

Aston Villa hosts Leeds in a Premier League clash on December 26, 2026. Villa has shown strong form, particularly at home, with an average of 2.1 goals per game this season and a solid defensive record, conceding only 1.1 goals per game. Leeds, on the other hand, has struggled with consistency, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.6 conceded away from home. Key players to watch include Villa's leading scorer and Leeds' creative midfielders, who will be crucial in dictating the tempo. This match could be pivotal for both teams as they aim to secure vital points in the league standings.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Leeds goals →

	0	1	2
0	11	3	1
1	19	8	1
2	19	7	1
3	12	5	1
4	6	2
5	2	1

↑ Aston Villa goals · most likely 2–0 (19.0%)

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Players in form

Aston Villa

No scorer data.

Leeds

D. Calvert-Lewin 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

74%

Draw

20%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

73% BTTS No 27% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

32%

1.5

68%

60%

2.5

40%

81%

3.5

19%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

74%

Draw

20%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

93% Home (No Draw) 7% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

48% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

74% Home Scores More 20% Equal Goals 5% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

32%

1.5

68%

60%

2.5

40%

81%

3.5

19%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

73% BTTS No 27% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

21%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.9%	2.8%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
1	18.5%	8.1%	1.3%	0.2%	0.0%
2	19.0%	7.0%	1.3%	0.2%	0.0%
3	12.3%	4.6%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
4	6.0%	2.2%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

35%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

63%

1.5

37%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

29%

34%

23%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Aston Villa	Draw	Leeds
Aston Villa	49.8%	1.9%	0.2%
Draw	24.2%	15.1%	2.6%
Leeds	1.5%	2.0%	2.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

43%

1.5

57%

70%

2.5

30%

88%

3.5

12%

Home Exact Goals

14%

28%

27%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

69%

0.5

31%

95%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

69%

26%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

84%

0.5

16%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

82%

0.5

18%

98%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Aston Villa vs Leeds

2 Aston Villa Wins

1 Draws

0 Leeds Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
21 Feb 2026	Aston Villa	1 - 1	Leeds
23 Nov 2025	Leeds	1 - 2	Aston Villa
13 Jan 2023	Aston Villa	2 - 1	Leeds

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Aston Villa — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Tottenham	W	2 - 3
16 Sep	A Coventry	W	1 - 3
12 Sep	H Nottingham Forest	L	1 - 2
08 Sep	A Club Brugge KV	W	2 - 3
05 Sep	A Hull City	D	0 - 0

Leeds — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Crystal Palace	D	0 - 0
14 Sep	H Newcastle	W	4 - 1
09 Sep	A Chelsea	L	6 - 3
05 Sep	A Brighton	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	H Brentford	D	1 - 1

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8	4	+4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10	4	+6	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7	3	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7	4	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6	3	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10	12	-2	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	7	11	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	8	8	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6	10	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6	11	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6	8	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	1	10	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5	8	-3	2
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2	8	-6	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.