Newcastle vs Manchester City Previsione

Premier League · Regular Season - 17

26 Dec 2026, 15:00

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Manchester City

Away

Previsione AI Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Manchester City

17%

25%

57%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Newcastle vs Manchester City: Sportiko assegna a Newcastle una probabilità di vittoria del 17%, a Manchester City del 57% e al pareggio del 25%. Ultimo aggiornamento 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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70%

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 12.2%

Both teams to score

53%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

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Newcastle

WLWDW

Manchester City

WWWWW

Last 3 meetings Newcastle · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

In this Premier League clash, Newcastle will face a formidable challenge against Manchester City. Historically, City has dominated this matchup, boasting a strong offensive record, averaging over 2.5 goals per game in recent encounters. Newcastle, while resilient defensively, has struggled against top-tier teams, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game in their last five fixtures against the league's elite. Key to this match will be City's ability to control possession, as they typically hold around 65% of the ball, which could limit Newcastle's attacking opportunities. The outcome will heavily depend on Newcastle's defensive organization and City's efficiency in front of goal.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Manchester City goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8	10	11	7	3	1
1	4	12	10	6	3	1
2	3	5	5	3	1	1
3	1	2	1	1
4
5

↑ Newcastle goals · most likely 1–1 (12.2%)

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Players in form

Newcastle

J. Willock 2 gls

Manchester City

E. Haaland 5 gls

R. Cherki 3 gls

A. Semenyo 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

57%

Draw

25%

Home Win

17%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

57%

Draw

25%

Home Win

17%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

77% Away (No Draw) 23% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

34% Away Win by 2+ 6% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

57% Away Scores More 25% Equal Goals 17% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

26%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.6%	10.1%	10.7%	6.6%	3.1%
1	4.4%	12.2%	10.0%	6.2%	2.9%
2	2.7%	5.1%	4.7%	2.9%	1.4%
3	0.9%	1.6%	1.5%	0.9%	0.4%
4	0.2%	0.4%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

51%

1.5

49%

78%

2.5

22%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

21%

29%

27%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Newcastle	Draw	Manchester City
Newcastle	10.9%	4.8%	3.7%
Draw	6.3%	15.6%	22.3%
Manchester City	0.9%	3.0%	32.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

93%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

39%

37%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

45%

1.5

55%

72%

2.5

28%

89%

3.5

11%

Away Exact Goals

16%

29%

27%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

69%

1.5

31%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Newcastle vs Manchester City

1 Newcastle Wins

0 Draws

2 Manchester City Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
07 Mar 2026	Newcastle	1 - 3	Manchester City
21 Feb 2026	Manchester City	2 - 1	Newcastle
22 Nov 2025	Newcastle	2 - 1	Manchester City

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Newcastle — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Hull City	W	2 - 1
14 Sep	A Leeds	L	4 - 1
08 Sep	A Millwall	W	0 - 1
05 Sep	H Bournemouth	D	2 - 2
29 Aug	A Tottenham	W	0 - 2

Manchester City — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Sunderland	W	5 - 3
17 Sep	H Norwich	W	5 - 0
13 Sep	A Manchester United	W	0 - 1
08 Sep	A FC Porto	W	0 - 2
05 Sep	H Coventry	W	1 - 0

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8	4	+4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10	4	+6	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7	3	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7	4	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6	3	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10	12	-2	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	7	11	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	8	8	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6	10	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6	11	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6	8	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	1	10	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5	8	-3	2
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2	8	-6	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.