Everton vs Liverpool Previsione

Premier League · Regular Season - 12

28 Nov 2026, 15:00

Post on X

Liverpool

Away

Previsione AI Liverpool o pareggio

33%

30%

37%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Everton vs Liverpool: Sportiko assegna a Everton una probabilità di vittoria del 33%, a Liverpool del 37% e al pareggio del 30%. Ultimo aggiornamento 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 14.3%

Both teams to score

54%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

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Everton

WWDDD

Liverpool

WWDWW

Last 3 meetings Everton · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League clash, Everton faces Liverpool in a highly anticipated Merseyside derby. Historically, Liverpool has dominated this fixture, with a strong record in recent encounters, including winning 5 of the last 6 meetings. Everton's defense will be tested against Liverpool's high-powered attack, which averages 2.1 goals per game this season. On the flip side, Everton will need to leverage their midfield to control possession and create scoring opportunities. The match is expected to be competitive, with both teams aiming for crucial points in their respective league positions.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

33%

10%

Draw

30%

45%

Away

37%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Liverpool goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	8	7	3	1
1	8	14	8	4	1
2	6	8	5	2	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Everton goals · most likely 1–1 (14.3%)

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Players in form

Everton

No scorer data.

Liverpool

A. Isak 4 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

37%

Home Win

33%

Draw

30%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

37%

Home Win

33%

Draw

30%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

53% Away (No Draw) 47% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

18% Away Win by 2+ 15% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

37% Away Scores More 33% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.2%	8.5%	6.8%	3.0%	1.0%
1	7.8%	14.3%	8.5%	3.8%	1.3%
2	5.9%	7.9%	5.3%	2.4%	0.8%
3	2.5%	3.3%	2.2%	1.0%	0.3%
4	0.8%	1.0%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

66%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Everton	Draw	Liverpool
Everton	19.4%	4.5%	2.1%
Draw	12.8%	18.7%	14.1%
Liverpool	1.9%	4.5%	22.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

29%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

26%

35%

24%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Everton vs Liverpool

0 Everton Wins

0 Draws

3 Liverpool Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
19 Apr 2026	Everton	1 - 2	Liverpool
20 Sep 2025	Liverpool	2 - 1	Everton
02 Apr 2025	Liverpool	1 - 0	Everton

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Everton — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Ipswich	W	1 - 0
16 Sep	H Wolves	W	1 - 0
12 Sep	A Tottenham	D	0 - 0
06 Sep	H Manchester United	D	2 - 2
29 Aug	A Bournemouth	D	1 - 1

Liverpool — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Bournemouth	W	0 - 1
15 Sep	H Tottenham	W	3 - 1
12 Sep	H Fulham	D	0 - 0
09 Sep	H Atletico Madrid	W	2 - 1
04 Sep	A Ipswich	W	0 - 2

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8	4	+4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10	4	+6	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7	3	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7	4	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6	3	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10	12	-2	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	7	11	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	8	8	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6	10	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6	11	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6	8	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	1	10	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5	8	-3	2
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2	8	-6	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.